Trump shocked everyone earlier this year when he claimed that he could win New York. Democrats laughed uproariously at the very thought, and Republicans kind of cringed.
But a series of events have shaken the nation, not the least of which are the bogus charges against Trump in New York and the Democrat Hamas terrorist supporters coupled with Democrats’ open hostility not only to Israel but to Jewish people both at home and abroad.
The travesty of the New York charges, trial, and conviction is so obvious and undeniable that Democrats who hate Trump are forced to admit it.
Add in the Democrats’ coddling of Hamas supporters and their violence on campuses and elsewhere, and there is a serious distrust of and dislike for Biden.
Overall . . . Biden’s support among Jewish voters declining by 14 percent over the past four years.The poll’s findings come amid the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas militants, where Biden has faced criticism from some in the Jewish community. On October 7, the Palestinian militant group Hamas launched an attack on southern Israel, killing 1,200 people and taking over 200 hostages. Israel subsequently launched a war against Hamas in Gaza that has killed over 34,000 people, The Associated Press reported, citing Gaza health officials. Since October 7, a war between Israel and Hamas has continued, with the U.S. supplying Israel with several military aid packages.. . . . Biden also faced criticism from other Jewish individuals following the pause of weapons.”Delaying arms transfers to Israel is dangerous…America must continue to stand firmly with our ally Israel as it works to defeat Hamas and defend its citizens,” the American Israel Public Affairs Committee said last month, the Times of Israel reported.
Serious concerns about both the economy and the Biden border crisis are also contributing to Biden’s historic unpopularity.
But polls show Biden diverging from other Democrats to a dramatic degree. The president is not only unpopular — he is more so than both Trump and Obama were at the same point in the fourth year of their presidencies, according to Gallup. He has lost some support among key building blocks of his 2020 coalition, including Black voters and young people. And Republicans hold the advantage on two of the top issues of this election: the economy and immigration.
Sienna released a poll showing that Trump is trailing Biden in New York by just 8%, with a lot of the new support coming from disenchanted black and Jewish New Yorkers.
Donald Trump is within striking distance of President Biden in a new poll of New York voters — with the former president boosted by big gains among black and Jewish Empire Staters.If the election were held today, Biden would receive 47% of the vote to 39% for Trump, Siena College found in a survey of 805 registered voters.The poll’s margin of error — 4.1% — means the race could be even closer.“We are going to win New York!” the presumptive Republican nominee, 78, claimed at a May 23 South Bronx rally, where he courted black and Hispanic voters by arguing they were being badly impacted by record illegal immigration under Biden, as well as by economic issues such as high inflation.The Siena survey found that Trump is supported by 29% of black New Yorkers and 26% of Latino residents ahead of his Nov. 5 rematch against 81-year-old Biden.. . . . Biden narrowly leads Trump among Jewish voters with 52% support, while the former president has 46% backing in the demographic — following months of vacillation by Biden over the Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip.Trump secured just 30% of the Jewish vote nationwide in 2020 after getting 24% in 2016, according to exit polls.
I still find it hard to imagine Trump winning deep blue New York, but who knows? If these numbers hold (including a 10 point lead among independent voters), November could be lit. But, as Insty, is always reminding us, don’t get cocky.
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