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Energy Department Poised to Zap Nation’s Electrical Transformers, Which are Already in Short Supply

Energy Department Poised to Zap Nation’s Electrical Transformers, Which are Already in Short Supply

Regulations trigger “a host of related issues that utilities would need to address.”

Professor Jacobson recently reviewed the alarming state of the nation’s electric grid. Large portions of this country are at risk of running short of power as electricity-hungry data centers and clean-technology factories proliferate around the country.

The situation is not helped by eco-activists throughout the country shuttering energy-efficient nuclear power plants and destroying hydroelectric dams to save fish species. Weather-dependent, energy-inefficient wind and solar power cannot take up the slack caused by closing coal plants.

It must be noted that fuel is just one part of the energy equation. Equipment and materials necessary to distribute the energy are another consideration. For example, distribution transformers are critical to the steady flow of electricity along the power grid by changing high-voltage electricity from transmission lines into low-voltage electricity before it reaches consumers.

Unfortunately, there are concerns arising about the shortage of transformers. National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL) researchers recently produced a report, Major Drivers of Long-Term Distribution Transformer Demand, that looked at this issue.

“Distribution transformers are a bedrock component of our energy infrastructure,” National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) researcher Killian McKenna said. “But utilities needing to add or replace them are currently facing high prices and long wait times due to supply chain shortages. This has the potential to affect energy accessibility, reliability, affordability—everything.”

Reasons given for the shortages and price spikes include increased raw material demand, pandemic-related shortages and backlogs, labor constraints, shipping issues, and geopolitical tensions. In some parts of the world, the shortages are acute.

Now, the Biden Department of Energy has decided to issue new regulations on manufacturing transformers that will likely exacerbate the shortage. Earlier this year, the DOE agreed to dictate how transformers were made in the quest for the utopia of “net zero” and with promises to protect the electric grid.

The US Department of Energy (DOE) has proposed new energy efficiency standards for distribution transformers. Almost all transformers produced under the new standard would feature amorphous steel cores that are, according to the DOE, significantly more energy efficient than those made of traditional, grain-oriented electrical steel.

The aim of the DOEs proposal is to improve grid resiliency, lower utility bills and reduce domestic carbon-dioxide emissions. If adopted within DOE’s proposed timeframe, the new rule will come into effect in 2027.

There were a significant number of public comments blasting the attempt to transform transformers. Portland General Electric has two critical points in its response to the delusional DOE.

First, Mandating a complete overhaul of transformer production during a severe shortage is basically insane.

The proposal for new energy efficiency standards cannot be viewed in a vacuum. Rather, it must be viewed against the backdrop of the current supply chain crisis. DOE is required to consider specific information when prescribing new or amended standards under the Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA). The availability of covered products, as well as the practicability of manufacturing, installing and servicing them, is to be included in this consideration. Each of these raises significant concerns. Requiring manufacturers to shift to a new type of transformer that currently has minimal production, at a time when supplies are already severely constrained, creates a serious risk to the electric grid and the transition to clean energy.

Second, the amorphous core transformers are significantly larger, leading to a host of technical issues that would jack up energy costs even more.

The larger profile of the amorphous core and windings compared to a grain-oriented steel core will also require a larger tank, more winding copper/aluminum wire, more oil, and more labor to produce, resulting in higher up-front procurement costs. We estimate an average of approximately 15%-20% more than grain-oriented steel core. An example for size comparison is that a 25KVA pole mounted amorphous core transformer is roughly the size of a 50KVA steel core transformer. This illustrates how much larger the new amorphous core transformers would need to be.

…This triggers a host of related issues that utilities would need to address. It is anticipated that these heavier transformers would require a replacement of the wood poles that hold them as well as other infrastructure that supports the transformers. This exacerbates our challenges with implementing these requirements, as there is already a supply chain issue with wood poles, as well as other related infrastructure. The required change is also expected to trigger a need for different equipment, which utilities would all need to procure. Additionally, the heavier weight of the transformers triggers transportation considerations and challenges. They would likely require flatbed trucks and cranes to install. Weight and access restrictions for roads and certain areas, especially in rural places, may create further challenges for replacements of transformers.

There is only one Grain-Oriented Electrical Steel (GOES) core maker in the United States (Butler Works, owned by Cleveland-Cliffs). That plant says that the rule is placing its operation in jeopardy.

Given the complete incompetence in setting up the charging stations necessary for electric vehicles, and now with this fiasco, perhaps it is time to reign in regulators on exactly how much control they have on how and what gets made in this country.

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Comments

“Energy Dept poised to zap nation’s electrical transformers”

How shocking!!!

I am more and more confident that the federal bureaucracy centered in DC and largely populated at policy making levels with insular ivory tower ‘elites’ don’t really understand how flipping unworkable their bright idea fairy utopia is in a continental size Nation. These folks are actually quite provincial in regards to the interior of the USA away from the coastal areas. They simply don’t understand how large our Nation is, how many miles of transmission lines, how many utility poles, how many transformers much less the geographic diversity and sometimes less than ideal local terrain exist outside the major coastal cities they inhabit and visit.

    Dathurtz in reply to CommoChief. | March 12, 2024 at 7:59 pm

    I think you are being kind. I am of the opinion they are intentionally destroying our civilization.

      CommoChief in reply to Dathurtz. | March 12, 2024 at 8:21 pm

      Sure some of these folks do know better but many are just flipping ignorant. Certainly the majority of the d/prog electorate is absolutely ignorant of the scale of their political y preference and the second or third order impacts they create. They are the sort of people who enthusiastically want to ban fossil fuels today but don’t understand how their groceries get from farm to table; they just go to the grocery and the magic grocery fairy makes sure food is available.

        Dathurtz in reply to CommoChief. | March 12, 2024 at 8:56 pm

        Oh, I think the dummies are just enthusiastically ignorant. The people who make these decisions know better. Maybe I am just naive, but it seems inconceivable to me that the upper-eschelon management people don’t have the ability to add or multiply.

          Dathurtz in reply to Dathurtz. | March 12, 2024 at 8:58 pm

          Ugh. I have no idea why I put the S in echelon.

          gibbie in reply to Dathurtz. | March 12, 2024 at 9:34 pm

          Read Dilbert.

          CommoChief in reply to Dathurtz. | March 12, 2024 at 9:55 pm

          TBH I really don’t believe many of them have sat down and done the math, even back of the envelopment math, to set an appreciation of the sheer scale. I would wager that if we submitted the folks who signed off on this to questions they couldn’t answer even basic ones. How many transformers are in the USA? Oh you don’t know ok how about the States on the Eastern Seaboard? Oh don’t know that either? Ok how about in DC Maryland and VA? No? Ok, how about just in DC?

          I honestly don’t think they care. What’s important to them isn’t scale or cost or feasibility or timeline or supply constraints. All that matters is their ideology and their ignorant certainty that b/c they occupy a position of power/influence that putting their policy preferences into effect is virtuous in and of itself; they are making a difference.

          Virginia42 in reply to Dathurtz. | March 13, 2024 at 12:02 pm

          Trust me, some of them definitely do not. They are driven purely by ideology and a healthy dollop of stupidity/ignorance.

          henrybowman in reply to Dathurtz. | March 13, 2024 at 12:39 pm

          If Biden wins again in November, by 2026 federal employees will be tasked to burn our schools and poop in our reservoirs.

          JohnSmith100 in reply to Dathurtz. | March 13, 2024 at 5:36 pm

          Remember, a lot of those people are Affirmative hires. Look at the Squad.

        Immanentizing the eschelon, maybe? 😉

      Flatworm in reply to Dathurtz. | March 12, 2024 at 9:39 pm

      I’m not saying they’re intentionally sabotaging the long-term viability of our energy infrastructure, with plausible deniability. I’m just saying, if they were, what would they be doing differently?

      Yes, and the Jews control the media, Hollywood, and all the banks. The 9-11 jet attacks were an inside job. We know this because no Jews were working at the Trade Center or in the surrounding areas. So the Jews knew about the 9-11 attacks and stayed home. The CIA assassinated JFK. We allowed Japan to bomb Pearl Harbor because we wanted a war. We allowed China to infect America with Covid-19 because the deep state wanted to control the population, You know the contrails when jets fly above you? They are really CHEMTRAILS, because the government is poisoning us with chemicals from the sky every day!!!

      You commentators here are nuts.

    BierceAmbrose in reply to CommoChief. | March 12, 2024 at 10:59 pm

    Reich’s “symbolic analysts”, grown from seed with homework problems and perennial praise, to come up with the obvious solution manipulating the symbols they were given. (See also LLM AIs, built in these polyps’ image.)

    Somebody gave them a cheat sheet of different steels, and told them to make more efficient transmission. Hey, look, “just” use this better steel. They don’t know enough to wonder what else changes, or how to do that.

    We’ll make a regulation!

    How are people supposed to make transformers with steel they can’t get, to put on poles they can’t get either?

    Oh, they’ll figure out something; they always do.(*)

    They’ve been trained to make things better by demanding. “Activism” isn’t fixing something, or even understanding how stuff works.. “How” is always someone else’s problem, and there’s always a “how.”

    (*) I really, really, really try not to refer to that book about trains and tunnels. BUT, I swear our Federal ministries have been taking everything up to The Big Speech as “how to” instructions.

      TrickyRicky in reply to BierceAmbrose. | March 12, 2024 at 11:54 pm

      That’s OK I’ll say it.
      Rearden Metal!

        CommoChief in reply to TrickyRicky. | March 13, 2024 at 8:23 am

        Exactly. These bureaucrats more and more seem cast straight out of the mold of Atlas Shrugged holding the basic belief/expectation that the productive will figure it out and turn ‘good idea fairy dust’ into reality despite the impossibility.

          Well, that’s their job, isn’t it?

          The problem being that, no, it isn’t their job to make some pronouncement come true simply because someone thinks it’s technically possible.

          Their job is to innovate as they are motivated to do so, on their own. Bright ideas brought to fruition (or discarded on the research lab floor, behind the microwave) because the people vested in it are trying to make it work.

      henrybowman in reply to BierceAmbrose. | March 13, 2024 at 12:42 pm

      “I really, really, really try not to refer to that book about trains and tunnels.”
      Freud’s The Interpretation of Dreams?
      You simply can’t explain government anymore without it.

      told them to make more efficient transmission
      Because Progressives cannot rest with just 99.5% efficiency. It must move ever onward toward 100.1% or you’re failing the country and probably an evil person.

Meanwhile, in Washington State, the (Democrat-controlled) legislature has just outlawed the use of natural gas. People (like me) who have gas furnaces and water heaters are going to be required to remove, retrofit and replace with electric heat, at an average expense of $40,000.00. After which, our heating bills for more expensive electric are expected to DOUBLE. All so we can be serviced by an electric generation and transmission facilities that are already near capacity, suggesting further rate hikes and brownouts in the future.

All in order to combat the imaginary threat of anthropogenic climate change.

    BierceAmbrose in reply to Wisewerds. | March 12, 2024 at 11:01 pm

    Personal life pulled me out of WA a dozen years ago, so I didn’t have to make the hard call. It pulled me into NY State, so, really, I still have to make the hard call.

    Still, I didn’t have to watch the last of them turning The Emerald City into Baltimore.

    gonzotx in reply to Wisewerds. | March 12, 2024 at 11:27 pm

    Do you people actually vote these retards in?

      healthguyfsu in reply to gonzotx. | March 13, 2024 at 1:48 pm

      This is stupid and unproductive. Votes in opposition are ignored and the majority is viewed as a monolith. There’s no point in it. It’s as stupid as assuming Texas could never turn blue.

      BierceAmbrose in reply to gonzotx. | March 13, 2024 at 9:55 pm

      They do vote this stuff in; I’ve met many of them. They it’s a team projectt making posters for “issues” as a middle-school project. Whoever uses the best sparkles wins.

      The problem isn’t the politicians, who are opportunists after all, or “before all” really. The problem is voters who wanting to hear the pleasant fantasies, vote in whoever says the best stuff. So coddled and cocooned they have lived, they don’t think they’ll be fine; the chance that they won’t, won’t fit into their brains. “That can’t work.” gets only a blank look. Then, their lizard-brain lashes out at you for interrupting their doze.

      Even the smarty-bots in the “tech” sector are just Reich’s factory-raised “symbolic analysts” crossed with Rain Man. They’re no different developmentally from the rest, just preternaturally good at the symbol-wrangling.

    JohnSmith100 in reply to Wisewerds. | March 13, 2024 at 6:22 pm

    I saw an interesting article about Mars impacting earth’s climate, warming:

    https://www.space.com/mars-gravity-influences-earth-climate-seas

Have we no engineers in the DOE?

Take a look at how fortified and self-contained any federal building is. We have a mysterious, curiously huge data center that recently popped up in Lexington, SC that looks like a fortress.
Why are so many turtles climbing fences? Such a nutty question apparently makes me qualified to be the president.

    Dathurtz in reply to scooterjay. | March 12, 2024 at 8:59 pm

    They are WAY more fortified than they look, too.

      An artifact of the increased Covid cash pumped into agencies that was *supposed* to be temporary, but was not. Yearly budgets popped right up, and with all the telework requirements, stressed datacenters started popping too. Now a lot of those new datacenters are working in parallel with old datacenters since applications are far slower to port over to new hardware than it takes to build new hardware. (Some agencies finally got rid of their AS-400 software just a few years ago)

        scooterjay in reply to georgfelis. | March 12, 2024 at 10:55 pm

        SC DHHS runs AS 400 for medicare eligibility determination.

          BierceAmbrose in reply to scooterjay. | March 12, 2024 at 11:15 pm

          Yeah, I won lunch every time I bet someone they still had an AS 400 somewhere. I wonder if they’ve finally extracted the last of the Tandems from the financial systems.

Main question: What reduction in the population will be needed to endure the reduced energy supply?

The Dems are using the unelected, unaccountable federal agencies to advance their woke agenda that would never make it through Congress.

    JackinSilverSpring in reply to Q. | March 12, 2024 at 11:01 pm

    Unfortunately, Congress has abdicated its much of its legislative powers to the administrative state. It will either take a very dedicated President or a very brave Supreme Court to put that geni back in the bottle.

This is ALL insane. Something in the drinking water? If we have a coronal mass ejection (CME) like we did in the pre-electric 1850’s, the entire world grid is down for years. Projections are the world population will decrease from 8B to 1B. Read about it. Wouldn’t surprise me if the gubmint is secretly working on how to produce CME’s.

“It is anticipated that these heavier transformers would require a replacement of the wood poles that hold them as well as other infrastructure that supports the transformers.”

Gosh, that doesn’t sound very environmentally friendly. Maybe they’ll need metal frame towers rather than wooden poles, that’ll look real nice in your neighborhood, then lots of concrete to anchor it, and on and on. Surely no energy is used in creating all that stuff and getting it moved and installed.

Biden is just trying to cause trouble, to “interrupt” things that are running smoothly. That’s the Obama influence behind him, 8 years of interrupting everything that worked in this country.

    BierceAmbrose in reply to artichoke. | March 12, 2024 at 11:20 pm

    Oh, it’s as energy saving as moving to electric cars, fossil-fueled at the end of a 50% loss(*) transmission system, built with greater labor, energy, and material inputs, shorter service life, and way more difficult disposal. Not counting the battery fires.

    (*) Old number from informal talk from U-W eco dept. Glad to hear if somebody has a better number.

    BierceAmbrose in reply to artichoke. | March 12, 2024 at 11:24 pm

    So just like those wind turbines.

    JohnSmith100 in reply to artichoke. | March 13, 2024 at 6:41 pm

    In some cases they will likely need to drive piles to bedrock.

I can see next year
“We’re so proud that we’ve cut pollutants going into transformers to zero this year.”
“So how many transformers did you produce?”
“Well, zero. But they’re not making any pollution. Hey, what happened to the lights?”

I suspect it’s a lot harder to make the new cores than the traditional, a lot more expensive.

And that a Chinese company is the primary supplier.

Aluminum won’t work at 60 hertz. The mechanical motion of emf causes it to become brittle at mechanical (screw and lug) connections due to differing flexure at 60 cycles per second.

BierceAmbrose | March 12, 2024 at 11:22 pm

“…as there is already a supply chain issue with wood poles,”

We have a frakking wood pole shortage, now?

I hate these people

I remember when some idiot Yankee had the brilliant idea to place a lot of the electrical infrastructure below ground in certain areas of Houston, Texas. It was just an experiment, mind you, but it was supposed to be a “civil beautification” project. Well, anyone who lives in Houston knows it’s a giant bayou. Placing electrical equipment in concrete vaults in a bayou is like sticking a circuit board in a colander in a sink full of water. BZZZT and fried electrical everything. Mean to tell me that fancy Yankee engineer didn’t know that?

    artichoke in reply to drsamherman. | March 13, 2024 at 6:39 am

    Speaking of concrete in Houston, houses there are built on concrete slabs because nobody tries to have a basement in that ground. And even the concrete slabs shift and crack. A stupider idea in a worse place can hardly be imagined. Heck I wouldn’t be surprised if the water is brackish, meaning the salt content will make it very conductive.

      JohnSmith100 in reply to artichoke. | March 13, 2024 at 6:56 pm

      And 30′ deep flooding. I could see building in an area which has 50-100 year flooding ti 8′ deep, creating a cement basement like structure on the surface, with the home sitting on that.

Would somebody please point out for me where in the Constitution the federal government is given the power to dictate the design of electrical distribution transformers?

    MarkS in reply to Flatworm. | March 13, 2024 at 4:41 am

    the “elastic clause” which gives Congress seemingly unlimited reign

    artichoke in reply to Flatworm. | March 13, 2024 at 6:40 am

    Chevron deference.

    LeftWingLock in reply to Flatworm. | March 13, 2024 at 8:41 am

    It’s in the court dicta to the penumbra to several 14th Amendment cases.

    Article 1, Section 8,

    Congress shall have the power…….

    To regulate commerce with foreign nations, and among the several states, and with the Indian tribes;

    Also arguably the “General Welfare Clause:”

    The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States; but all Duties, Imposts and Excises shall be uniform throughout the United States;

    The argument would be that electricity is an interstate commercial good and that these transformers which are (allegedly) longer lasting and more efficient would promote the general welfare of the people by having a more stable power grid.

    (It should also be noted that the DOE is tasked by Congress to maintain, protect and pass regulations concerning the power grid. Therefore since Congress has given the DOE the specific authority to regulate the grid, this would not be a case of the “Chevron defense” as Congress has authorized what the DOE is doing.)

    Not saying I agree with that argument, but that is what it could be.

      CommoChief in reply to gitarcarver. | March 13, 2024 at 6:54 pm

      The deference granted to Federal Agencies/and Departments under Chevron refers to the absence of specific statutory authority granted by Congress in whole or in part for a federal agency to make a particular rule or force a particular interpretation without recourse. IOW where a dispute may exist the Chevron doctrine essentially says that the Agency interpretation wins, kinda like ‘Simon says’ but with real consequences.

      Everyone in DC institutionally benefits. The Executive branch gets to do the heavy lifting, Congress gets to say ‘gosh the mean old Dept of X is to blame’ so send us more campaign $ and vote for our party Presidential candidate. The bureaucracy gets to set the actual policy not the Congress or POTUS. The Federal CTs get to say ‘gee whiz, we gotta let this crap slide even though we know it is bogus’ and then blame the Chevron precedent.

      Hopefully this term.SCOTUS will gut the Chevron doctrine for good and end the administrative state.

Committed Leftists are all about control, everything, all the time. They know how to live your life better than you.

not_a_lawyer | March 13, 2024 at 9:10 am

It’s a hunk of copper. It doesn’t generate any pollution. What is their specific complaint?

    BierceAmbrose in reply to not_a_lawyer. | March 13, 2024 at 10:06 pm

    It works as is, so must be changed?

    Oh, you meant the argument about function. There’s power loss in transformers built the one way, vs. the other.

    Looks like a cheap win, until you look at all the inputs and outputs over the whole gizmo life-cycle.

    Looks like a cheap win, until you look at difficulties doing the thing even if it really did all-in work better.

    Or failing may be a cheap win — get to call those builder people evil for not doing the obviously better thing: hard isn’t your problem.

LeftWingLock | March 13, 2024 at 9:10 am

I saw the first Transformers movie. While some of them were good, many (most) were evil. Perhaps Congress should ban transformers entirely.

Using regulatory agencies to do stuff that likely wouldn’t survive a serious debate among grown-ups in Congress has become a real think for the Dims. Obama went nuts with it, Slow Joe continues the practice.

Congress needs to step up–not that they will.

Already seeing the effects of this. Last year, we went six months without being able to buy a single transformer. Never seen anything like it.

And not a peep about hardening against EMP attack?
Amorphous cores have lower overload capacity (besides lots of other disadvantages like costing much more and using more material.)
See https://teckglobal.com.au/news/38-amorphous-core-distribution-transformers-not-all-they-re-cracked-up-to-be
Sigh!