Poll Suggests Trump’s Post-Indictment Bump With GOP Voters is Fading
“The survey of 1,530 U.S. adults, which was conducted from April 14 to 17, suggests that Trump remains vulnerable — and far from inevitable — in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination.”
In March, amid the circus of Alvin Bragg’s indictment of Trump, the former president enjoyed a bump in support from Republican voters.
Yet now, as the story fades in the media, so is Trump’s advantage in the polls.
From Yahoo News:
Poll: Trump’s big post-indictment bounce is fading fast
Former President Donald Trump got a big bounce among Republican primary voters after his indictment in New York in late March — but now that swell of support seems to be fading fast, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll.
The survey of 1,530 U.S. adults, which was conducted from April 14 to 17, suggests that Trump remains vulnerable — and far from inevitable — in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination.
Just two weeks ago, Trump was lapping Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida, his strongest potential challenger, by 26 percentage points in a one-on-one matchup among voters who describe themselves as Republicans or Republican-leaning independents (57% to 31%). It was the former president’s widest lead to date.
Since then, however, Trump’s advantage over DeSantis has shrunk by 10 points (52% to 36%).
And while Trump retains majority support — just barely — in a head-to-head face-off against DeSantis, he has slipped back under 50% when pitted against the full Republican field, falling 3 points (to 49%) since the beginning of April.
See the graphic below:
Registered Republicans and GOP-Leaning Independents
If your state’s 2024 Republican primary for president were held today, who would you vote for?
Trump 52% [57%] (47%)
DeSantis 36% [31%] (39%)
Not sure 12% [12%] (11%)4/14-17 [3/30-31] (3/16-20) pic.twitter.com/rjVm4q9GWn
— Aron Goldman (@ArgoJournal) April 18, 2023
This hasn’t stopped Republican lawmakers from expressing support for Trump.
The Daily Caller notes that Trump has now been endorsed by 51 members of Congress:
Republican Tennessee Sen. Marsha Blackburn became the ninth senator to endorse former President Donald Trump’s third bid for the Oval Office Monday.
“Under President Trump, our economy was booming, gas prices were low, and inflation was under control. Our border was secure, our adversaries feared us, & our military was strong. I am proud to endorse Donald Trump for President and can’t wait until he’s back in the White House,” she tweeted.
Trump has garnered endorsements from 51 members of Congress, including GOP House Conference Chairwoman Elise Stefanik of New York and former House Freedom Caucus chairman Andy Biggs of Arizona. Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has not yet officially declared a bid, is endorsed by Texas Rep. Chip Roy and Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie. Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley is endorsed by South Carolina Rep. Ralph Norman.
Trump also announced endorsements from Tennessee Sen. Bill Hagerty and Reps. Diana Harshbarger and John Rose.
Anyone on Twitter knows a battle raging on the right, mainly between Trump supporters and DeSantis supporters over who should represent the party in 2024.
That conflict is likely to grow louder as we head into primary season.
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Comments
I doubt it….but I’m sure the Left/RINOs will find ways to stab him publicly in a space somehow missed for the last 7 years!
Trump 2024
Trump lives in their minds 24/7
Bless your heart, I do believe you are a DeSantis supporter
From dogcatcher to President I haven’t voted for a Democrat in more than 30 years. I voted 2X for Trump and will again in the ’24 general should he win the Rep nomination. But, I will not vote for him in the NC primary. Insinuating that I am a RINO is offensive because of this, or that Mike LaChance, or Prof. Jacobson, or Fuzzy Slippers, etc are RINOs only highlights your fanaticism and cult-like sycophancy.
If a Dem wins in Nov’24 the blame will lie with you and the other members of your cult.
Rrriigghhtt!
It’s all my fault, and loyalty to a man that has done nothing but give his best to all of us without accepting a dime, yet has been vilified and tormented and tortured for 7 years, it’s his fault, my fault, all his supporters fault
You want me to support another Rino in MAGA sheep’s clothing
Yeah, not going to happen
He’s our War President, and if you do not know, we are in a War, well, good luck with that
But you continue to call me and other Trump supporters names, that will work out well
You may notice I never called Mike, the Professor, or Fuzzy names, though I throughly disagree with them about President Trumps and DeSantis
Yet, yet, you and others feel it’s not only OK, but your right to call me and others names…
Well Bless your heart ♥️
The name-calling goes both ways sweetheart
No, not really sweetheart!
You did insinuate (even if you deny it) that everyone not fully on board with Trump at the same enthusiasm level as you is a RINO, and that includes all the people I mentioned. Anyone not as enamored with him as you can see that.
“He’s our War President, and if you do not know, we are in a War, well, good luck with that.” Yes, I know that it’s a war. I fought it from inside the belly of the beast while at the State Dept, and jeopardized my career for doing so. I simply do not think President Trump is the best person to support to turn the nation around. We don’t, and won’t, agree on that. But, I will support him in the general if he wins the nomination, even though I don’t believe he can win the general election. You may not believe me, but if he gets the nomination I really hope I’m proven wrong. That’s sincere.
He’s the only one that will fight for us
People need to take a long hard look at Desantis record In Congress
By the way, he already backtracked on Ukraine/Russia
He will do as his handlers say
And I admit, they have been handling him perfectly
There was a time I was enamored with him and then things started to not add up
So which Precinct are you chair off, Mr. GOP? If not, why not?
Get active in the party. All you have to do is contact your county GOP. More than likely you can become a Precinct Chairman just by asking. In Mecklenburg County (Charlotte), half our precincts have no chairs.
I’m not active in my local precinct, you’re right about that. I just recently moved back to the US after a full career serving my nation overseas, through civil wars and serving on counter-terrorism task forces in the heart of Africa, among other duties.
So, why not active with the local precinct? Well, I went to the local Rep headquarters, and for a minute I thought I had entered one of the local fundamentalist churches. When I declined some of the RELIGIOUS literature on display the local chair went on to make me feel very unwelcome in a quite unambiguous way, so I walked out. Haven’t been back. I’ll just have to do my part by voting, but I may still change my mind, because I do want to help.
Yeah, the over emphasis on religion is problem that some in the GoP insist upon making. Should we be informed by our religious beliefs or at least understand and appreciate the influence of religion upon Western culture? Absolutely! Should the local GoP be proselytizing? No. Stick to working out how to win elections.
Interesting that you should take that position, given that the most fervent Trump supporters here seem to be self-declared Independents (and promise NOT to vote for any Republican other than Trump), and are therefore totally uninvolved in ANY internal Republican Party activities.
The process is the punishment. The Left doesn’t have to win a single case against him. All they have to do is flood the courts until his perception in the eyes of the American voter changes or they bankrupt him. If he loses the primary to DeSantis, don’t expect the lawsuits to taper off a bit. They hate him with the fire of a thousand suns.
Exactly, and you see so many “smart” conservatives who are willing to look past all the evil the Left has done to Trump because they never really wanted him around to begin with.
So b/c the left is mean to Trump we should do what? The left is mean to every GoP nominee. Hell they tried to make Romney out like he was Goldwater. The leftists, the d/prog machine and their legacy media allies will attack relentlessly. One day it’s Trump the next day it’s DeSantis, it used to be Bush and before him Reagan. That’s their playbook.
Trump is a big boy and knows, better than anyone at this point, exactly how much heat, vitriol and less than sincere allegations will be tossed his way. Despite that he chooses to remain in the public eye and was the first candidate to declare himself in contention for the GoP nomination in ’24.
I can’t imagine you are implying that we must support Trump b/c of the constant attacks of the d/prog and media. You aren’t really making that case are you?
For now…. but it will com again as the Evil City on the Hudson goes toward trial.
Thats why its called a bump.
In the stock market, it’s called a dead cat bounce.
The poll has Trump losing to Biden 46-42.
And Desantis losing to Biden
45-41.
And that’s before the media starts labelling Desantis as “worse than Trump.” Which they will. Just the same as liberal McCain and Romney were “worse than Bushitler” and “keeps women in binders and kills dogs.”
Point being that Desantis isn’t some panacea that will magically win by a million points because he doesn’t make mean tweets.
Trump isn’t the reason democrats don’t vote republican. He’s just the latest excuse.
Really, polls, was Trump to lose to Hillary by 10 trillion?
How anyone could vote for Biden at this point tells me voting won’t fix this
Somehow this Country will have to split cause they do have all the jet fighters unfortunately
Oh I think this poll is BS. Like most of the rest of them.
But if we’re going to use it to say Trump is a bad choice, then we have to realize that, according to the same poll, Desantis actually comes out worse.
Your own observation of the numbers says that DeSantis does no worse or better, so how do you say worse?
46-42 is not better than 45-41
They are about as close to the same as the numbers could get, both with a -4 margin.
By the way, DeSantis hasn’t even announced a run and may not. You make an ass out of you by assuming that he would go down if he announces, though.
Trump is known and many have their minds made up. His is far less likely to change than almost anyone else in the entire field that could announce.
The polls mean nothing but numbers do. How do any of you Trump enthusiasts figure out how he will win any votes beyond his base? Do any of you think there will be Dem crossover voters? How about blacks? Independents? He never addresses any of their issues and never talks about women and their issues. There is no doubt that his base adores his every word but have you really listened to them? They aren’t very inclusive and seem to be coming from a deep anger. That is not a winning combo. I also think that his unhinged attack on DeSantis is going to cost him some R votes because they are mostly lies and innuendos.
Those polls are essentially identical and equally meaningless. Nobody knows what will happen in 2024. I don’t know if Trump or DeSantis is more able to win 2024. Each has plusses and minuses. The big black mark for DeSantis is he just signed a 6 week abortion ban into law. That will drive swing voter turnout for the Democrats, since Abortion is the one big winning issue the Democrats have that overrides all other issues combined. Trump is the only GOP candidate who could pledge that he would veto any federal abortion legislation and actually be believed.
“Yahoo News.” Consider the source.
All polls this far out are bullshit – unless, of course, they support our own prejudices.
Incoming hatred from Trumpets
maybe you need to read the comments and get a better idea of what you say is not true but actually the opposite
So, the first comment stating things like “I’m sure the … RINOs will find ways to stab him publicly in a space somehow missed for the last 7 years!” and “Trump lives in their minds 24/7” and “Bless your heart, I do believe you are a DeSantis supporter” posted by gonzotx doesn’t count?
That’s not name calling that’s sarcasm
I’ve been called and idiot, asshole, loser, etc,
Saying someone is a Rino hardly compares
Maybe consider adding the /S tag to indicate sarcasm.
Chief: Maybe add a /BS tag to ID the content.
DeSantis hasn’t even declared whether he’s running or not, though I’ll grant all signs point to him running, so who cares what any poll says. Polls are worthless anyway. The first state primary isn’t even until 2024.
DeSantis may not make it to the first state primary in 2024. The number of legislators/congressman that has endorsed Trump rather than DeSantis is overwhelming. Even in Florida, Trump has many more endorsements than DeSantis. These are the type of results that dry up support from the mega-donor class.
A recent Mason-Dixon poll shows DeSantis with significantly better approval than Trump in Florida. Politicians can endorse whomever they choose, but they’re only one vote each. To reiterate: Polls this far out are worthless, especially when almost nobody has declared but Trump and a couple of longshots. As far as the megadonor class is concerned, the Trump cult has been reduced to bragging about all of their small donors and insulting the megadonors, because most of their megadonors from 2020 have moved to a DeSantis superpac,
The damn election is a over a year and a half away!
What a stupid poll – if it’s a real poll at all, and not a push poll.
We have bigger problems:
First: that treasonous rat McConnell is back. .
https://thefederalist.com/2023/04/19/after-fbi-raids-republicans-last-president-mitch-mcconnell-wants-to-increase-doj-funding/
Second: Rino Rona McDaniels is going to blow the 2024 election because she’s been put in place to be a loser.
“”Rino Rona McDaniels is going to blow the 2024 election because she’s been put in place to be a loser.””
She was endorsed by Trump. Are you calling him a loser?
No, I’m calling her a loser. I don’t think Trump can afford to buck the entire GOP establishment, and he knows that. I think he’s doing his best in spite of her. Kinda like how he deals with Lindsay Graham.
But make no mistake: Rona is a loosa. She’s got the perfect record to prove it.
Isn’t that what the MAGA crowd says about DeSantis? That he can’t buck the entire GOP so he accepts dark money? So now Trump is accepting dark money and the RINOs into his camp? Of course, McDaniels is a RINO and a loser but Trump backed her over a very smart woman, Harmeet Dhillon, who had great ideas on how to defeat the Dems in 2024. Is this a sign of things to come if wins the nomination?
You can’t on the one hand claim that polls this far out are BS, as you do above, then cite another poll that claims DeSantis has a higher approval rating in Fl than Trump. The only verifiable measures that we have at this point are public endorsements. It certainly raises eyebrows that Trump has taken 10 of 11 from the Florida delegation. Politicians can be wishy-washy, but one would think that the political benefit would be greater to choose (or wait for) DeSantis since he is in a position of power and supposedly has overwhelming public approval. The fact that they chose Trump seems significant to me. I think it may seem significant to DeSantis donors as well.
My reply was meant to be in response to txvet2 above.
I pointed that poll out to rebut the claims that Trump is outperforming DeSantis in Florida. I also reiterated in that comment that the polling is BS, so your criticism is bogus.
No worries, there’s another indictment coming for “obstruction of justice” in GA, and yet another indictment for the allegedly classified docs at Mar a Lago, then there’s the bogus “rape” case from that E Jean Carroll nutjob, etc, etc, etc.
Trump Jr. posted once that his family had been sued >20,000, starting from the day his father announced his candidacy for the R nomination in 2015.
There’ll be plenty more lawfare outrage to piss off voters and drive support for the Donald back up between now and the election.
Hardly a day goes by without some news on at least one of the cases, and their still fishing to come up with more excuses to start yet more cases.
Yes, Trump did an outstanding job against the worst adversaries imaginable, and I would absolutely vote for him again.
But the reality is that he’ll be 78 when he runs again, and the age issue is the tie-breaker between him and Ron DeSantis. Time for a new generation to get its chance (and I’m only four years younger than Trump).
I think Trump in his 80s will have the energy and the mental aquity of any 60 year old.
Why is anyone paying attention to polls taken so early in the cycle? This applies to pro-Trumpers and anti-Trumpers alike.
Even if the sampling isn’t bad (in most polls today, the sampling is terrible), it’s way too early. The general election is when? Primaries start when? All contenders for the nomination will have declared when?
Treat poll numbers from April 2023 as meaningless.
And whatever endorsements from elected officials are worth, how many will declare for DeSantis before he announces he’s running?
If you don’t have reliable data, admit it.