Biden’s Pause on Announcing Plans to Run in 2024 Has Some Democrats Nervous
“While the belief among nearly everyone in Biden’s orbit is that he’ll ultimately give the all-clear, his indecision has resulted in an awkward deep-freeze across the party”
In January, most people expected Joe Biden to announce his plans for reelection in February, on or around the state of the union address.
That time has come and gone, and Biden still hasn’t announced. Some Democrats are getting uneasy as they try to contemplate a backup plan.
Biden may not run — and top Dems are quietly preparing
Joe Biden’s closest advisers have spent months preparing for him to formally announce his reelection campaign. But with the president still not ready to make the plunge, a sense of doubt is creeping into conversations around 2024: What if he decides not to?
Biden’s past decisions around seeking the presidency have been protracted, painstaking affairs. This time, he has slipped past his most ambitious timetable, as previously outlined by advisers, to launch in February. Now they are coalescing around April.
But even that target is less than definitive. People in the president’s orbit say there is no hard deadline or formal process in place for arriving at a launch date decision. According to four people familiar with the president’s thinking, a final call has been pushed aside as real-world events intervene. His cloak-and-dagger trip to Kyiv over the holiday weekend took meticulous planning and the positive reaction to it was seen internally as providing him with more runway to turn back to domestic politics.
While the belief among nearly everyone in Biden’s orbit is that he’ll ultimately give the all-clear, his indecision has resulted in an awkward deep-freeze across the party — in which some potential presidential aspirants and scores of major donors are strategizing and even developing a Plan B while trying to remain respectful and publicly supportive of the 80-year-old president.
Ryan King of the Washington Examiner notes that if Biden decides not to run, it’ll cause a major upset among Democrats, followed by a stampede:
There would be a political earthquake if Biden dropped out of the race. He would become the first Democratic president to step down since former President Lyndon Johnson. The Democratic Party’s lack of a clear alternative makes the situation all the more pressing.
Lingering questions about Vice President Kamala Harris’s viability in both a primary and a general election contest loom large. Therefore, if Biden steps aside, Democrats would likely be thrust into a messy primary that heavyweight contenders had not anticipated.
Some big names, such as Govs. Gavin Newsom (D-CA), J.B. Pritzker (D-IL), and Phil Murphy (D-NJ) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), have been eyed as possible alternatives to Biden if he steps aside. So far, his main primary opponent is shaping up to be spiritual guru Marianne Williamson, who lacks experience in office.
Still, most aides and Democratic strategists view the prospect of Biden stepping aside as unlikely.
Will anyone really be surprised if Biden doesn’t run?
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Can it get any worse than this incompetent corrupt traitor?
Unfortunately yes, it probably can. He could have a second term where he doesn’t have to face the voters again.
He doesn’t face them now, he only gets hand picked soft balls and fowls those off.
Bear me by 17 minutes!
To Griz: “Bear” me was much better than “beat” me in context. It’s a perfect malapropism/pun (on your name) commenting on another malapropism/pun.
Oh, I guess. I didn’t intend it as such, but I need to keep in mind that Rome wasn’t burnt in a day, and that I can observe a lot by watching.
A. It can always get worse.
B. A competent corrupt traitor.
C. Many ways I am not creative enough to predict.
Yes. You could get an competent traitor or a venal partisan hack who really pushes the limits of presidential power.
In my high school years, I sometimes contemplated which would be worse for America: a president who was well-meaning but incompetent, or a president who was a competent villain. Very shortly afterward, life blessed me with answers in the form of Nixon and Ford, followed by Carter.
I put FJB in the competent villain category far ahead of Nixon: though he’s clearly incompetent, he doesn’t actually matter — the competent villains behind him do.
“ Some Democrats are getting uneasy…”
A lot of Republicans, too….
Maybe a offer he can’t refuse?
My guess, wrong so far but not done yet, is he won’t make it to his full term.
They lead him by the hand around now
If he does run, there is a significant possibility that he will expire in 2024, before the convention. That will really throw things into a tizzy – especially if he already announced a new person for VP.
“His cloak-and-dagger trip to Kyiv over the holiday weekend took meticulous planning and the positive reaction to it was seen internally as providing him with more runway to turn back to domestic politics.”
Maybe the MSM was positive, but everyone else? Doubtful.
His poll numbers are still going up, which amazes me.
Biden holding off until April? These days, that’s pretty late in the game for a reelection bid announcement. But, hey, that’s good old Joe: always a day late and a dollar short.
Perhaps there is a strategic purpose to announcing late. He does not have to announce early since he is the incumbent, and he may want to see what challengers emerge in his party and in the GOP. I kind of expect Joe Manchin to challenge him – possibly even as an Independent. And that may depend on whether DeSantis runs or not, so there are lots of moving parts.
Look at the names. Pritzker is a jerk, so is Murphy so is Newsome. All three are caricatures of wealthy, limousine leftist elitist aholes. This sets up as driving out the more populist d/prog to stay home in disgust or vote for a populist right candidate. Sanders? No, he will get knee capped by the money making wing of the d/prog for a third time. No way they let that guy loose with the Presidency. VP Harris? Get real, she has never won a competitive race. Every victory was handed to her by the CA d/prog machine.
Who’s that leave? Mayor Pete. IMO, that’s why the d/prog establishment and their media allies are working so hard to shield and protect him. He is viewed as a viable option for either ’24 or ’28. It’s also why they are already stoking up the new Gov of Maryland as the next hot candidate. Their bench is small and very flawed.
He probably thinks he still has a couple more years to decide, when his 6-year senate term runs out
He also has an offer from Consolidated; they told him his truck driver job is still open.
Maybe the headline would be a lot more accurate if it said that his continuing failure to commit NOT to run has a lot of people nervous.
Brandon’s alleged indecision is made of two parts.
1. I’m president? When did that happen? Never mind. I have to be in the senate for an important vote in a couple minutes.
2. Someone point me to the teleprompter. I don’t know what I’m supposed to say!
There’s also that continuing inability to walk up a flight of stairs without falling on his ugly pedophile face.
I had to repost, so terrible and it will get worse
Tell us once more about how the federal government plans to force us all into greener transportation alternatives, you feckless hack.
On the Democrat side, they figure they do not have to worry. They have plenty of time. After all, they control the counting of the ballots.
He has the advantage of incumbency. His challengers on both sides do not. They must announce before he must.
Two of the worst songs I’ve ever written and performed are about Biden.
” his indecision has resulted in an awkward deep-freeze across the party”
Good. May it turn into an ice age.
Still pretending 2020 never happened?
Democrats don’t “run” for president anymore. They are appointed at the convention and then they harvest ballots to count in the days following the election,
We saw the same thing in 2022 (Arizona and Michigan, for example). What happened in Florida in 2022 –Republicans obliterating Democrats — happened all over the country, yet when the dust cleared there was a bare minimum House majority for Republicans. Are we to believe the Covid lockdown authoritarians were handily reelected? Or we gave them a pass on ‘Defund the Police”? Or we just didn’t mind the 60% hike in gasoline, heating, and electricity? Sure.
You should believe it. The ballot harvesting gave them an edge, but only in swing states. The Dobbs Decision and the student loan bailout motivated Dem voters. Neither factor played as much in Florida, which is dominated by old people.
That’s not a reliable metric… Arizona has a pretty serious incidence of old people all its own. North of Phoenix, they vote reliably red. In Tucson and Scottsdale, quite the reverse.
My 104yo mother in Tampa votes blue hard enough to cancel three retired oil workers.
Yep. The 65+ demographic has provided enduring support for Biden. They voted for him at roughly 47% and polls show that demo retaining its loyalty to Biden. That demo support for Biden still hovers around 44%. Every other demo has pulled back much more significantly. The boomers and silent generation are the most reliable Biden supporters.