“For the first time in decades, a Republican has a good chance to win a congressional seat in Rhode Island”
Republican Allan Fung is leading Democrat Seth Magaziner in the race for the 2nd Congressional District in Rhode Island, according to a new poll.
This is pretty big news. For anyone not familiar with New England politics, Rhode Island is very blue.
WPRI News reports:
12 News/RWU Poll: Fung leads Magaziner in race for Congress
Republicans remain positioned to win a congressional race in Rhode Island this fall for the first time since 1992, but Democrats still have a shot at holding the seat, an exclusive 12 News/Roger Williams University poll released Thursday shows.
The survey of 254 likely voters in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District finds Republican Allan Fung at 46% and Democrat Seth Magaziner at 40%, with 9% of voters undecided and 4% supporting independent candidate Bill Gilbert, who will appear on the ballot as “Moderate.”
12 News political analyst Joe Fleming, who conducted the poll, noted that Fung’s lead remains just inside the survey’s margin of error…
The poll shows Fung’s lead is built in part on his outsized strength with Democrats, 24% of whom are backing him. “If he can hold onto that he’s going to be in a decent position, because normally Republicans don’t get a quarter of the Democratic vote,” Fleming said.
Professor Jacobson was quoted by the Washington Examiner in an article about this race:
“In difficult economic times when people are worried about inflation and taxes, I don’t expect the abortion issue to be decisive, since Rhode Island already has liberal state abortion laws,” William Jacobson, a Cornell professor and conservative blogger from Rhode Island who helms Legal Insurrection, told the Washington Examiner.
“For the first time in decades, a Republican has a good chance to win a congressional seat in Rhode Island,” Jacobson added. “Magaziner, by contrast, is living off of the name recognition of his father, who was a powerful Clinton-aligned Democrat. He doesn’t have any real base.”
This is a fun ad from the Fung campaign.
— Mayor Allan Fung (@AllanFungRI) October 4, 2022
If a Republican is competitive in Rhode Island, we may see a red wave.
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