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NBC Poll Shows Trump Got a Bump Despite Mar-a-Lago Raid, People Want Republican Congress

NBC Poll Shows Trump Got a Bump Despite Mar-a-Lago Raid, People Want Republican Congress

But this poll is all over the place. Do people know what they’re being asked?

http://insider.foxnews.com/2018/01/28/cherokee-woman-blasts-elizabeth-warren-claiming-native-american-ancestry

The recent NBC News poll has a lot of bad news for President Joe Biden and the Democrats.

Former President Donald Trump has a few dim spots, but overall it comes out well for them.

Then again, I lost faith in polls during the 2016 election because so many thought failed Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton would destroy Trump.

Also, you’ll notice follow-up questions don’t always align with answers to related questions.

I wonder if NBC News regrets the poll because the article about the poll concentrates on one part: 57% of the respondents want investigations into Trump to continue.

Another article insisted the attitude towards November’s elections “have entered uncharted territory.” Yeah, if anything, the poll shows the Democrats are in trouble.

Let’s get down to the nitty-gritty, shall we? Here are the statistics for the respondents. It’s important so they cannot use the sexism or racism card.

  • The poll occurred between August 12 and 16, before and during the Mar-a-Lago raid.
  • NBC News polled 1000 registered voters, 51% women and 48% men.
  • 89% are not Hispanic or Latino
  • 77% white, 12% black
  • 75% no children

State of America

Usually, I would say Democrats should be scared that 74% of the voters think America is off on the wrong track.

However, NBC News included the results from the same poll since April 2009, the last time the positive and negative tied. Since then, the negative has taken the vast majority.

Remember, I said usually I would say the number should scare the Democrats. This part is why I’m eh on the whole issue.

Five years from now, will the U.S. get better, worse, or the same:

Get better: 36%
Get worse: 34%
Same: 21%

Do you feel confident that America’s best years are ahead or worried the best is behind us:

Ahead: 35%
Behind: 58%
Some of both: 2%

Um, what? Can you see how I am skeptical of these polls?

The look at the question about the Inflation “Reduction” Bill. Do you want to become more skeptical about polls?

42% of the voters think the bill is a “total good idea” and 31% think it’s a “total bad idea.”

But 35% think the bill will make things worse for them. Only 26% think it will make things better. 36% don’t think it will make a difference.

Yet, 68% think we’re in a recession and 58% think the worst is still to come when asked about their personal financial situation.

Everyone is all over the place!

Biden, Trump, Republicans, Democrats

Biden’s approval stayed the same at 42%. His approval of handling the economy bumped up to 40% from 33% in May.

However, 39% feel “very negative” towards Biden while only 20% feel “very positive.” That’s a bump for Biden from May’s 17% “very positive” result.

Trump also received a bump in the poll despite the Mar-a-Lago raid: 23% “very positive” compared to 21% “very positive in May 2022.

The changes in “very positive” feelings toward the Republican Party and the Democratic Party didn’t change much.

Republican Party: 12% from 13%
Democratic Party: 11% from 10%

Enough to say that the midterms are entering “unchartered territory?” Eh, maybe since the Senate is split 50-50.

58% of the voters are “very interested” in the November elections. Plus,
47% of the voters prefer a Republican-controlled Congress.

Interesting! Wait, there’s more!

“Will your vote for a candidate for Congress be a signal of support for returning to the programs and policies of Donald Trump or a signal of support to continue with the programs and policies of Joe Biden?”

TIED. I kid you not. 44% and 44%.

Even more! 34% voted for Trump because they liked his policies or the man himself.

Only 21% voted for Biden for the same reason.

Turns out 26% voted for Biden because of Trump Derangement Syndrome.

January 6

We know politicians have bloated egos. They think they’re better than us and know what is important to us.

That is why they’re going crazy over January 6th. The NBC poll shows that politicians should concentrate on other issues.

So 28% think Trump is mainly responsible for the riot. But 41% have “very little” confidence the select committee “will conduct a fair and impartial investigation.

Issues

Then 61% said they would hold a protest sign for a day if they got angry now. But threats to democracy are what worries people the most.

It doesn’t say if the people think Biden or Trump, Republicans or Democrats threaten democracy. I’m sure the mainstream media has made it sound like people think it’s the right that threatens democracy.

Oh, fun fact. We’re not a democracy.

I’m starting to think polls shouldn’t ask so many questions simultaneously. This poll makes me want to pull my hair,

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Comments

goddessoftheclassroom | August 22, 2022 at 7:07 pm

I want the way of life I have in 2017-2019 (pre COVID) back.

Subotai Bahadur | August 22, 2022 at 7:31 pm

“NBC Poll Shows Trump Got a Bump Despite Mar-a-Lago Raid, People Want Republican Congress”

What are the odds that those who count the votes care what the people want?

Subotai Bahadur

Funny thing, that. Most people don’t want to live in a banana republic where the dictator has a Gestapo to send after his political opponents., Even for some who willingly voted for a pedophile like Biden, this is a bridge too far.

When the votes are cast, the extent of dissatisfaction will not surprise most people, except pollsters and media manipulators. Although they do hinder public opinion, they will not be able constrain what is going on. People see where progressives are taking America, right off the cliff, and more realize that paradise lost cannot be regained.

How much did they oversample Dems?

“Registered voters” isn’t the same as asking “likely voters.”

    alien in reply to alien. | August 22, 2022 at 8:52 pm

    A little digging turns up:

    Margin of error +/- 3.1%

    75% of respondents do not have children under age 18 in the household.

    Strong Dem/not very strong Dem/independent-lean Dem = 39

    Strictly Independent = 13

    Strong Rep/not very strong Rep/independent-lean Rep = 40

    (Other = 5, Not sure = 3)

NBC Poll Shows Trump Got a Bump ̶D̶e̶s̶p̶i̶t̶e̶ Because of Mar-a-Lago Raid, People Want Republican Congress

FIFY

“The poll occurred between August 12 and 16, before and during the Mar-a-Lago raid.”

Pre-IRS metastasization as well.

I think the poll numbers are that wacky because all were probably optional and many people didn’t answer all of the questions.

It could be as simple as they data mined using clickbait ads for some questions and not others.

The problem with any poll is the participation rate; the number of those contacted who agree to participate.

Assume the participation rate is 60%. What are the opinions of the other 40% who ignore or decline the opportunity to express their views? No one knows. Is it possible that these 40% “unknown opinions” could skew the actual results? Of course!

The only “poll” that counts is the one on election day.

It remains to be seen who counts the votes.

I wouldn’t say “despite” the raid, I would say “because of” the raid.

“Despite “? Because.

Not “despite,” but “because of.”