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Study: Rise in LGBT Identification Among Young People Is Significantly Influenced by ‘Social Trends’

Study: Rise in LGBT Identification Among Young People Is Significantly Influenced by ‘Social Trends’

“The LGBT surge is socio-political, heavily siloed among very liberal young people. The General Social Survey shows that the heterosexual share dropped about 20 points, to 66%, within the most liberal fifth of young people. It changed far less among others.”

Ever since the rise of the gay rights movement in the early 2000s, there have been contentious debates galore between opposing political sides in Congress and the courtroom as to whether or not gay Americans were “born that way” or whether their feelings occurred mostly as a result of societal pressure and influence.

While studies (and medical reviews) on that topic are decidedly mixed, a new report from The Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology (CSPI) that analyzed trends in LGBT identity versus sexual behavior found that “social trends” were a significant factor in the skyrocketing rise of transgender and non-binary identification of young people over the last ten years.

Eric Kaufman, a politics professor at Birkbeck, University of London, explained his findings in a detailed Twitter thread and in the accompanying report, which also acknowledged that the increase in overall LGBT identification among certain groups has happened in part due to “Rising same-sex behavior [and an] erosion of the inhibition to identify as LGBT among same-sex attracted people.”

Kaufman’s conclusions were based on General Social Survey (GSS) data that he says “shows that LGBT identification has been diverging from same-sex behavior [Emphasis mine]. LGBT identity has risen 11 points among Americans under 30 since 2008, but same-sex behavior has only risen 4 points.” From the report:

When we look at homosexual behavior, we find that it has grown much less rapidly than LGBT identification. Men and women under 30 who reported a sexual partner in the last five years dropped from around 96% exclusively heterosexual in the 1990s to 92% exclusively heterosexual in 2021. Whereas in 2008 attitudes and behavior were similar, by 2021 LGBT identification was running at twice the rate of LGBT sexual behavior.

Further, he said his analysis showed that the “LGBT surge is socio-political, heavily siloed among very liberal young people. The GSS shows that the heterosexual share dropped about 20 points, to 66%, within the most liberal fifth of young people. It changed far less among others.”

Kaufman didn’t put the blame on public schools or institutions of higher learning specifically for the LGBT identification versus sexual behavior numbers disparity. Rather, he suggested it was a result of a confluence of factors, including how easily certain groups are persuaded to think a certain way in some cases in order to fit in:

I hypothesize that a more sexually liberal and modernist culture, one which values difference, best accounts for the new trend. This culture has its greatest impact on the most sexually fluid and perhaps easily influenced groups: the young, the very liberal, and women.

LGBT activists are, of course, trying to pick apart Kaufman’s findings, but I found his case to be solid. Check out the Twitter thread he wrote about it, which also included a look at the mental health crisis as it relates to the LGBT community, and decide for yourself:

Click here for the PDF version of the CSPI report.

— Stacey Matthews has also written under the pseudonym “Sister Toldjah” and can be reached via Twitter. —


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So now we know that liberals, particularly young ones, are heavily influenced by crazy fads.

In other news, water is wet.

    henrybowman in reply to irv. | June 5, 2022 at 11:07 am

    My tinfoil hat informed me many years ago that this was nothing but a trendy, peer-pressure movement. Certainly I could not have been the only one to realize it. I’m not that psychic.

So after much study and analysis, they found out that young people are significantly influenced by social trends.

Well, duh.

The grade coming up to me next year is special. Out of 17 girls, 10 or so identify as some type of new thing. It is incredibly common for these young girls to claim they are something they are not.

You will see stuff like “I’m bi, bit if you a girl don’t hit me up.” with disturbing frequency.

    drednicolson in reply to Dathurtz. | June 5, 2022 at 1:34 am

    A transgender claim is also an increasingly common defense employed by girls under pressure from sexually aggressive boys.

nordic_prince | June 4, 2022 at 8:52 pm

It should be obvious that kids and younger adults, with their still-maturing brains, are going to be more susceptible to peer influence/acceptance. They’re also more susceptible to (perceived) authority figures other than their parents (e.g. movie stars, sports figures, social media influencers, even teachers), so when these perceived authority figures start pushing sexual deviancy, is it any wonder that the kids jump on the bandwagon? If a child “comes out” as “trans,” he’s instantly coddled, put on a pedestal, and given the royal treatment – what kid wouldn’t want all that attention lavished on him?

Why do you think they’re going after the kids? Why do you think they’re promoting “drag queen story hour” at libraries for little tots? Why do you think young boys in drag, who waltz around on the stage to be ogled by grown men, are being glorified? Why do you think Hollyweird has been working overtime to present the rainbow spectrum as “normal,” desirable, and even preferable over heterosexuality?

Why do you think the rainbow nazis have gone far beyond “live and let live” tolerance, to the point where if you don’t kowtow to the rainbow mafia, if you dare suggest that you disagree with even one iota of their agenda, you’re a “bigot” and a “homophobe,” and you deserve to lose your job, your business, or even your livelihood?

Mark my words – the next item on their agenda is pedophilia. They’re already trying to get that idea out there, softening words to disguise the disgusting idea by calling pedos “MAPs” (minor-attracted persons) and calling pedophilia an “orientation” – as if it’s something they’re “born with” and so society has to bend over backwards to not merely tolerate them but accept them and their perversion. “Love is love” is morphing to “Love knows no age,” which is yet another step on the slippery slope to get society to embrace this attack against the children. Why do you think there was such weeping and wailing and gnashing of teeth with the Florida bill? Why are major corporations going out of their way to support the pedophile agenda by pushing sexualization of children with propagandistic books and media?

They are pushing to get the kids. This study shows their efforts are working. Hopefully parents are waking up to this danger.

    I concur.
    I often wish smart phones and the internet were never invented.

      henrybowman in reply to lc. | June 5, 2022 at 11:10 am

      I disagree. Without the Internet, all the kids would have for entertainment and information would be the MSM, which is entirely in the bag with this social engineering nonsense.

Adults and institutions not only allowing but pushing hormonal castration of minors (among other things).

One suspects that a decade or so from now, when they understand what was done to them, the lawsuits will be epic.

healthguyfsu | June 4, 2022 at 10:10 pm

I’m not going to debate whether it is a choice or not because I think that discussion does not bear fruit.

What I will clearly point out that I think we can all agree on….it is absolutely a choice to pretend like you are gay or trans or whatever for gains in sociopolitical clout/virtue signaling.

    CommoChief in reply to healthguyfsu. | June 5, 2022 at 9:46 am


    Culturally in the west most of us have long since gotten to a point of live and let live. The issue today isn’t one of the wider society engaging in ostracism, harassment and violence towards LGB. Nor against T who simply live their own life. Instead it’s the converse. The activist minority portion of LGBT community demands that the wider culture go past toleration and acceptance. They demand we embrace and celebrate their actions and ideology.

    It’s not 1953. No one really gives a hoot who does what to whom among consenting adults. That lack of interest and casual nonchalance regarding sexual orientation seems to infuriate this vocal group. They seem to want a level of celebrity status to be attached to them. We see a similar sort of demand for recognition from other vocal members of minority groups. This person is the first X to do or be Y. They seem angry that society doesn’t choose to make any fuss about someone achieving their goal.

    The wider society doesn’t really care anymore what your ethnicity or sexual preference is. It doesn’t matter to us as long as you aren’t involving children. You come out of the closet today and are met with …indifference as opposed to the celebratory language of the 1980s or 1990s because the fight for acceptance is over and the LGB community accomplished their goal. The same holds for race hucksters and grievance grifters who continue to push tribalism. They want to be celebrated and admired as if today was 1953. The civil rights movement was successful.

    IMO, the only people fomenting conflict along tribal lines are those on far left who can’t stand the idea that the great struggles for acceptance are not only over but that their view largely prevailed. No struggle means no achievements, no achievements mean nothing to celebrate and that means they will be ignored. Their fragile psyche refuses to allow that and they push the boundaries of toleration and acceptance seeking not change but a new conflict with themselves cast as the hero protagonist.

      RandomCrank in reply to CommoChief. | June 5, 2022 at 4:16 pm

      I agree strongly. Gay activists are activists first and gay second. It’s a big reason why I explicitly thought about and decided not to become a gay activist. I was 19 years old. It was the same year that I decided that “gay” wasn’t a phase for me. I was in college, and my priorities were: education leading to a career, and finding a partner.

      The activists won’t take “yes” for an answer. And there’s money involved. The gay organizations, especially Human Rights Campaign, which did great stuff in the 1980s, now needs to scare people like me into giving money. Um, it doesn’t work at the grass roots level, so they go to the corporate and Big Charity side for money. Hence “LGBTQ.”

      The activist phenomenon is universal. Activists define their lives by their cause, and have a great deal of trouble separating the two. For more, see “The True Believer,” by Eric Hoffer. As true now as it was nearly 70 years ago.

First Granddaughter graduated from a California high school last year. She said the social pressure to be “trans” is enormous. She said with other girls it is simply assumed your are trans if you are female unless you say otherwise. She always had to specify she was straight. Nordic Prince described it well – if you are trans you are instantly accepted and celebrated. If you are straight, well, there might be something wrong with you.

Matt Walsh hit the nail on the head with his book “Johnny the Walrus”

It’s really that simple.

Kids brains are not fully formed: they are not fully capable of rational thought.

Generation Duh.

Anybody else remember the descriptor, “Young and stupid”?

‘Bisexual with exclusively male partners’ is ‘virtue signaling for woke points without actually changing anything’

    RandomCrank in reply to 4rdm2. | June 5, 2022 at 4:19 pm

    I belive the correct term is “young, dumb, and full of the opposite of go.” LOL

You can’t let a manufactured crisis go to waste.
Viviparious must be made a dirty word.

My daughter came out as gay.
I think she wants to be in a group of discriminated people.
How ancient Hebrew.
This is 100% on point.

This Kaufmann guy seems like a legit professor, I’m surprised he still has his job.

But they’re born that way!!!

(If homosexuality/trans is genetic, there’s no reason to “teach” it to kids. The insistence on grooming gives away the lie.)

    Dennis in reply to Crawford. | June 5, 2022 at 10:15 am

    Pretty much every human behavior is influenced by both genetic and environmental factors. Why should homosexuality be any different?

The GANS (Gender-Appropriating Narcissist Sociopath) phenomenon, and, the proliferation of LGBTWTF alphabet soup monikers, are driven by transparent narcissism. These people desperately crave attention and plaudits, and, declaring yourself to be a GANS or LGBTWTF individual is the easiest path to receiving that attention, especially for white Dumb-o-crats who can’t claim to be persons “of color.”

Insufficiently Sensitive | June 5, 2022 at 12:39 pm

“The LGBT surge is socio-political, heavily siloed among very liberal young people. The General Social Survey shows that the heterosexual share dropped about 20 points

It doesn’t take a ‘study’ to see that herd mentality and peer pressure (and a lot of help from MSM excitement) have contributed the most to the LGBTPDQ stampede. But no thanks to the sordid medics who are cashing in on rearranging those bodies into sexless casseroles.

The transgender spectrum is politically congruent (“=”), and, assuming the ceaseless braying is more than a pride parade (lions, lionesses, and cubs excluded), trendy, too.

RandomCrank | June 5, 2022 at 4:08 pm

64-1/2 years old here. Same-sex married since ’15. Gay since a teenager.

– “Identity” is mostly bullshit unless it includes “behavior”

– “Bisexual” is a hoot. It matters only because of the homosexual component.

– Females have a much greater tendency to conflate emotions and identity. Most of those “bisexual” girls aren’t actually doing it.

– Early- to mid-adolescence is a time when kids are experimenting. Kinsey in 1948 found that 1 in 8 boys considered themselves homosexual, but that two-thirds gave it up by adulthood.

– No one can be persuaded to voluntarily be either straight or gay. The most that can happen is that they can be persuaded to try it once or twice. That’s uncommon, and temporary.

– 4% of males are gay. 2% of women are lesbian. It was that way in 1948, and it’s that way now.

– Trans and gay have nothing intrinsically in common.

I think it’s pretty obvious this is about perverse incentives. If you say a person who identifies as X gets privileges, unearned praise, and exemption from criticism why wouldn’t you expect a whole lot of people to start identifying as X? Of course the left’s chattering classes celebrate this as showing how many X there really are, when nothing could be further from the truth. The real number of X hasn’t really changed at all.

This is why “trans” isn’t really about being trans. It’s again about incentives. Boys see how much better girls are treated and say “I’d like to get treated like that”. Nobody wears “throw rocks at girls” t-shirts, nobody says girls are morally and emotionally inferior, and nobody says girls are toxic oppressors.