“the atmosphere clearly is not promising for Democrats to buck historical trends”
The 2022 midterm elections are now just seven months away, and reality is beginning to set in for Democrats. President Biden is underwater with just about every voting bloc in the country, and Republican voters are much more motivated to vote.
This year feels like 2010 when the GOP picked up over 60 seats.
A recent poll from NBC is causing some anxiety on the left.
Alayna Treene writes at Axios:
Dems air anxieties after Biden’s brutal NBC poll
Democrats across the political spectrum are panicking about a recent NBC News poll showing President Biden’s approval rating at the lowest levels yet — 40%.
Why it matters: Moderate and progressive Democrats, particularly in the House, are fearful of an electoral tsunami this November. They tell Axios they’re unsure whether the party can repair the damage in time.
- “People are extremely discouraged, there’s no doubt,” said Rep. Annie Kuster (D-N.H.), a moderate and leading member of the New Democrat Coalition.
- Kuster was among the NDC members who met with President Biden on Wednesday and urged the administration to take action on supply chain and inflation issues, gas prices and a budget reconciliation bill.
- Rep. Susan Wild (D-Pa.), a swing-district member, told Axios’s Andrew Solender the poll gives credence to her distancing herself from Biden: “It’s always a concern when the president’s numbers are bad and you’re in the same party.”
- “In my district, and I think in most frontline districts, you win your campaign because people know you know what work you’ve done, … and they also know that I don’t always vote in line with the party.”
Over at Politico, David Siders writes about the enthusiasm gap:
‘We’ve got to stop fooling ourselves’: Enthusiasm gap keeps getting worse for Dems
At the end of October, Republicans held an 11-percentage-point advantage in voter enthusiasm. By January, that margin had ticked up to 14 points. Now, according to the most recent NBC News poll, it has swelled to 17 — a massive advantage that has foreshadowed devastating losses in Congress in prior years.
The latest poll would be bad enough for Democrats. But it’s the trend line that is especially grim, seemingly impervious to a series of events — including President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address and the nomination of a judge to the Supreme Court — that Democrats had predicted might improve their candidates’ prospects in the fall.
It’s beginning to look like nothing is going to bail the party out this year. The last time the enthusiasm gap was this wide, in 2010, Democrats lost more than 60 seats in the House.
“Things could change,” said David Axelrod, previously an adviser to former President Barack Obama, in an email. “But with only a quarter of the country believing things are headed in the right direction, the president sitting at a 40 or 42 [percent] approval and inflation at a 40-year high, the atmosphere clearly is not promising for Democrats to buck historical trends.”
Remember how excited Democrats and their media allies were for the 2018 midterms? This year will be the opposite.
If Republicans take the House, which most analysts expect, Joe Biden will be frozen in his tracks. If they take the Senate too, that’ll be even better.DONATE
Donations tax deductible
to the full extent allowed by law.