“This is the reality we are in as Democrats and no one wants to face it.”
The outlook for Democrats in November is so grim that one insider is saying the party is facing a “biblical disaster” in the midterms this November.
Biden’s poll numbers began to sink after the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan and continued to sink as food and gas prices rose to historic levels.
A reckoning is coming.
Niall Stanage writes at The Hill:
The Memo: Democrats face nightmare scenario, ‘biblical disaster’
Democrats are facing a nightmare scenario with about six months to go before the midterm elections.
Inflation, immigration, the war in Ukraine and the still-lingering COVID-19 pandemic make for a dreadful political atmosphere for President Biden’s party.
The problems are compounded by Biden’s weak approval numbers and the historical pattern whereby a president’s party typically loses seats in the first midterms of his tenure.
Some Democrats believe a turnaround is still possible, or at least that losses can be kept modest.
But others, granted anonymity to speak candidly, sound a louder alarm.
“I think this is going to be a biblical disaster,” said one such Democratic strategist, who did not wish to be named. “This is the reality we are in as Democrats and no one wants to face it.”
Democrats know the bitter taste of bad midterm results. The party fared dismally during the first midterm elections of President Clinton and President Obama. In 1994, with Clinton in the White House, Democrats lost a net 54 House seats. In 2010, under Obama, they lost 63 seats.
Joe Biden is a political anchor around the neck of the Democratic party and the news just gets worse.
Byron York of the Washington Examiner recently checked in with three reputable Republican pollsters, to see what they think is coming down the road.
Could Biden’s approval rating slip into the 20s before the midterms? You better believe it:
I asked three sharp Republican pollsters and political consultants: David Winston, Curt Anderson, and Dave Carney. The takeaway from all three is that it appears the majority coalition that elected Biden has fallen apart. And that is terrible news for both the president and his party.
“While there are a lot of groups that have become more disapproving of Biden’s job performance, Independents are at a remarkable level of disapproval,” Winston said in an email exchange. “In The Economist/YouGov survey (April 9-12), Independents disapproved by a 30-60 margin; the Politico/Morning Consult survey (April 8-11) was a similar 30-62; and the Quinnipiac survey (April 7-011) was 26-56. So among a group Biden won by 13 points in 2020, after Clinton lost them by four in 2016, his disapproval is 30 points or more higher than his approval. This means the majority coalition that elected him is now not in place. Regaining it will be difficult, given his current poor job approval performances on the economy and other issues.”
Carney and Anderson had different thoughts on whether Biden has hit the bottom, or nearly so, or can plunge further. “There is no limit or floor to a president’s approval rating, but historically, Nixon’s 24 percent in January 1974 seems like the practical floor for a modern-day president,” Carney said in another email exchange. “Biden has the potential to sink into the high 20s before the midterm elections, considering inflation will be raging by then.
Consider this. Things are so bad for Democrats that the Washington Post is already making a list of Democrats who could run for president in 2024. Is this what quiet panic looks like?
The top 10 Democratic presidential candidates for 2024, ranked https://t.co/4DOO3ewBI6
— Post Politics (@postpolitics) April 16, 2022
That is not a vote of confidence in Biden.DONATE
Donations tax deductible
to the full extent allowed by law.