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California Gov. Gavin Newsom Poised to Survive Recall Effort

California Gov. Gavin Newsom Poised to Survive Recall Effort

Newsom derides challenger Larry Elder for website link to report potential election fraud.

The past month has been filled with dreadful news, indeed.

And while I wish I could give you better news from the State of Insanity that is California, I find I cannot. It appears that odds favor Governor Gavin Newsom surviving the recall effort.

California Governor Gavin Newsom is on course to defeat the recall effort on September 14 after his odds of beating the attempt to remove him were slashed over the past week.

Bookmakers Betfair, which operates the world’s largest online betting exchange, puts Newsom’s odds of remaining in office at 1/8, while the odds that he is removed from office now stand at 4/1 on Sunday, September 12. This was a slight decline on odds offered on Saturday, which were 1/18 for him to remain in office and 6/1 for him to be removed.

This means Newsom is highly likely to defeat the recall and remain governor. A Betfair spokesperson told Newsweek that Newsom’s odds of victory have improved significantly over the last week. The odds of him surviving the recall were previously 2/9.

However, his reputation among various reliable Democratic constituencies has taken a hit. For example, many Latinos are less than impressed by his performance.

Latinos who gathered on Saturday in Los Angeles, California, for a rally in support of the recall of California Governor Gavin Newsom told Fox News which issues matter most to them. Many in the group felt misunderstood by Newsom.

“He talks about how he loves the Latino community, wants to help the Latino community but I didn’t see Governor Newsom down here last year when Latino businesses were hurt badly,”

“They make it seem like the only issue we care about is immigration when that is completely false. We care about putting food on the table, having jobs, being able to provide for our families, being able to go to a church that’s open and not shut down,” Samantha Sobarzo told Fox News.

Several of the rally attendees described the importance of family, small businesses, religion, and safety to the community.

Many Asian-American residents are also unhappy with his pandemic decisions.

Phuoc Dam has not forgiven Gov. Gavin Newsom for alleging that the first coronavirus case in California stemmed from a nail salon.

Dam, who owns Queen Nails in Brea, is still reeling from months without income after Newsom closed many businesses to stop the virus from spreading.

He marked his ballot “yes” on recalling Newsom, putting it in the mail weeks ago.

“It’s simple. He cost us our livelihood,” said Dam, 67, a Republican who moved to the U.S. from Vietnam. “We had to shut down for months and months for no clear reason.”

Meanwhile, many Californians are concerned about election fraud going into Tuesday’s recall election. Candidate Larry Elder has an election integrity section on his website, where voters can fill out a form to report alleged incidents of voter fraud and sign a petition to investigate the recall results.

Newsom derided Elder’s approach:

California Gov. Gavin Newsom slammed recall challenger Larry Elder for sowing mistrust about California’s recall election when Elder called on his supporters to report election fraud ahead of September 14, Politico reported.

On his campaign site, Elder added a “report election incident” link that leads to, an anonymously registered website apparently created on August 27th that allows people to submit tips about ballot fraud.

“It’s just an extension of the Big Lie and ‘Stop the Steal,'” Newsom told reporters while voting with First Partner Jennifer Siebel Newsom at the California State Archives in Sacramento on Friday. “We’re four days out, the election hasn’t even happened, and now they’re all claiming election fraud. I think it’s important to highlight that.”

I must ask: If there will be no evidence of fraud to be reported, why the anger at Elder? Indeed, the vote casting associated with this election should be able to stand up to scrutiny.

God have mercy on us conservative Californians if Newsom remains, for the governor shall have none.


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Reports of machines refusing to to accept Republican votes have already been rolling out of California. They’re committing voter fraud AGAIN. Are they going to get away with it again?

    “Reports” alone means nothing. There are always “reports”, whether anything happened or not. To be worth noticing we must know who is making these reports, and where?

    Yes they are.
    I said it before I’ll say it again. Tough. Move out of that rat infested state. Let them deal with the dregs.
    With the amount of conservatives that could move to Nevada and Arizona you could flip both states to red.
    If you stay, suck it up buttercup.

    So the people of California want more Newsom? They deserve him good and hard! There is no hope for this country as long as a trip from Joe Biden and Obama can save a horrible Governor like Newsom!

      Arminius in reply to texannie. | September 15, 2021 at 12:29 am

      No, the people of Kali don’t want Newsom. But didn’t you get the word following the Schumer/Pelosi/Capitol Celebrity Police/FBI Jan. 6 Reichstag moment? The consent of the governed is no longer a consideration.

      I’m sure those Republican voters who were told they had already voted will be pleased to know they did, in fact, already vote. For Newsom. As did former Crips gang leader/founding member Stanley “Tookie” Williams (who was executed in 2005). Courtesy of the Kalifornia Democrats running this recall. Those considerate Dems. They want to make voting so easy and convenient that mailing everyone a ballot whether they asked for one or not, whether it goes to the right address or not, whether the voter is alive or not, isn’t enough. Filling out your ballot for you so that you will be guaranteed of voting correctly while not being inconvenienced by doing it yourself or even bothering to show up anywhere including a mail box to cast your vote in person makes voting a breeze! Don’t bother to thank them. That’s just how they roll.

      See Joe “don’t tell me about your rights; this isn’t about freedom or choice” Biden’s vaccine mandate for further information.

Capsaicin_Addict | September 13, 2021 at 9:07 am

I mean, it only took Biden, Harris, Obama, and strange tales of votes being refused (‘you already voted’) and votes turning up in the hands of passed out drug addicts, but it was TOTALLY free and fair!

Good grief.


They want you to not believe your eyes and ears.

Is this not evidence ?

I expect since they have already voted every Rerbuplican vote for Gov Hairdo even if they hadn’t voted. UK citizens are allowed to vote just by flying in.

“I must ask: If there will be no evidence of fraud to be reported, why the anger at Elder? Indeed, the vote casting associated with this election should be able to stand up to scrutiny.”

Because you should actually have evidence of an issue before levelling an accusation. That’s not hard to understand. It would be fine if an actual issue were identified with voting but this isnt the case its just spurious allegations with zero evidence and zero effort to understand any potential fraud mechanism. It’s beyond a joke.

“A Betfair spokesperson told Newsweek….”

Translation: My bookie said 6/1, ‘hairdoo to win.’

Better than ‘likely voter’ polls, I guess.

WTF is wrong with California??

Here are my thoughts about the recall as a non Californian. I would welcome a critique from CA voters.
1. A recall is primarily an opportunity to vote against the sitting Gov and secondarily about voting for his replacement.
2. R CA voters are demoralized and many, not all, are apathetic. They don’t vote because they have given up.
3. Independent voters are split. Some view as a State election about CA and some view it as a National election with implications for the US Senate.
4. D voters, the d machine and media allies are mostly unified in rejecting the recall.

In sum, I believe the r voters who stay home because they believe ‘my vote won’t count’ and the independent voters who choose to swallow Newsom to protect the National policies they favor in the Senate will prevent the recall from succeeding.

    Scaramouche in reply to CommoChief. | September 13, 2021 at 1:25 pm

    Here are my comments as a CA voter:

    #1. You are generally correct. For the successful Gray Davis recall Arnold Schwarzenegger was perhaps as much a force as the idea of the recall itself. With Larry Elder, name recognition is also high.

    #2. The Republican base is very enthused with Larry Elder. First, there was the effort to get the recall approved for a ballot. While it is anecdotal, my wife spent two days of canvassing our neighborhood and found good backing for the recall.

    #3. It wasn’t just Republicans who signed the recall petition. As to State election vs. National election with US Senate implications in independents’ minds, not sure which prevails, but there is a pro-Recall argument for either.

    #4. Let’s see what the disaffected Hispanic and black voters do – sit out, go for the Recall, etc. As to the d machine and media allies, with certain exceptions, they are unified in rejecting the Recall.

    I wouldn’t go by likely voter polls or bookmakers just as one shouldn’t have gone by them in 2016. I think many, though, are fearful of voter fraud.

Cheating is a hell of a thing.

If he survives, it will be because he allowed the public schools to open this fall. Cheers –

Newsome will interpret it as a mandate and continue the ruination as if nothing happened.

California corruption knows no bounds. A failed recall election is simply a demonstration of the power of the Ds to cheat at the ballot box.

Sadly, this recall election simply isn’t credible. They’ve built a system that cannot be trusted, by anyone on any side. Whatever victory is claimed is sure to be pyrrhic.

Greasy Newsolini will win, what with California being a solidly Dhimmi-crat state, and, the Dhimmi-crat media lackeys/lemmings/prostitutes, and, Silicon Valley, all aligned against Mr. Elder. There’s simply too much entrenched power and decades-long political rot in California, for an upstart GOP candidate to overcome.

I will say that Elder deserves enormous credit for running and for giving sane Californians (the few thousand that still exist in the state) an alternative choice.

Did they let meghan markle and her familiar harry vote yet?

This stinks

California is a basket case, close to third world status. Looks like the best scenario for the rest of the country involves San Andreas. Too bad New York and Illinois can’t join it.

I’ll be damned if there is a bailout for those Democrat states!

When they finish counting the 200 million ballots, Newsome will have won 88% of the vote.

    UserP in reply to geronl. | September 13, 2021 at 2:48 pm

    How come I need a sarc tag and you don’t? lol.

      Subotai Bahadur in reply to UserP. | September 13, 2021 at 6:20 pm

      Because in California, his is a likely approximation of what will be reported. Being reported as the result does not mean that such is the real total of votes in any Leftist satrapy.

      How many boxes are there? How many are left?

      Subotai Bahadur

    UserP in reply to geronl. | September 13, 2021 at 8:12 pm

    A couple of days ago you told me I forgot my sarc tag:

    UserP in reply to scooterjay. | September 8, 2021 at 10:17 am
    Australia is densely populated and there is no place to safely shoot a gun or go hunting. So having a gun there is dangerous….

    geronl in reply to UserP. | September 8, 2021 at 11:26 am
    You forgot the sarcasm tag. Australia is denesly populated? lol

Voted “in person” on Saturday, and it was an ordeal. Six people ahead of me, and it took me 35 minutes to vote. That process is just another pressure to get everyone to vote by mail.

Has anything happened since Nov 3, 2020 that guarantees fair elections in the US? I didn’t think so. Picking winners in upcoming important races will be very easy.

If the electorate does not trust the voting process all bets are off for the governance by those installed in office.

There seems to be a prevailing wisdom that bookmakers have an insight into issues that others don’t have. As if the moneyed people really know what is going on.

I am guessing they are basing their odds on what they are reading in the media. What were the bookmaker odds in 2016? Do you think they called it for Mr. Trump or for Mrs. Clinton?

    TX-rifraph in reply to Scaramouche. | September 13, 2021 at 1:55 pm

    In 2016, they underestimated the needed level of fraud. In 2020, they corrected that (albeit clumsy) and made the necessary adjustments on the fly (the machines were capable and the teams were standing by).

    Isn’t Newsom Pelosi’s nephew? I suggest one has to be hopelessly naïve to think this would be an honest election. Conservatives routinely fail to grasp evil and its pervasiveness. Evil exploits good people. The evil people are running the election mechanics. They are evil not stupid.

      Arminius in reply to TX-rifraph. | September 15, 2021 at 12:35 am

      “California Governor Gavin Newsom is not related to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi by blood, but rather by family ties.

      Newsom’s parents, William and Tessa were prominent in San Francisco, as William worked as a judge in California.

      William’s sister Belinda Barbara Newsom married Ron V. Pelosi in 1956 and established the tie between the families.

      Pelosi has a brother named Paul who married Nancy D’Alessandro, who then became Nancy Pelosi.

      Nancy is Newsom’s aunt-by-marriage.”

Prediction: Newson will win the election and survive the recall even though Larry Elder will get the majority of legitimate votes. Somehow enough votes will magically appear at the right times and in the right jurisdictions to give Newson the win. We are currently seeing people (registered Republicans) being told they’ve already voted when they haven’t. The voting shenanigans have begun.

    This time one would think a lot more Republicans will be monitoring the situation.

      PODKen in reply to UserP. | September 13, 2021 at 5:51 pm

      Monitoring doesn’t mean anything … voting does … but even if all CA republicans voted … we’re solidly in the minority … solidly. If we want a republican to be elected … we must present candidates that the majority is willing to consider.

      Subotai Bahadur in reply to UserP. | September 13, 2021 at 6:22 pm

      The Republican Party has no problem with the situation or the loss.

      Subotai Bahadur

      texannie in reply to UserP. | September 14, 2021 at 9:35 am

      I accidentally hit the down finger! I have actually given up on Republicans who are supposed to represent us doing Anything!

Is it too much to wish for that the Marxist feel so confident that newson will win that they will not show up at the polls?

    antisocialjustice in reply to ParkRidgeIL. | September 14, 2021 at 8:37 am

    They really don’t have to do anything. The election is run by the operatives and their vote will get cast for them and counted for them.

    If you do not think they are all up in those machines, and that the vaccine excluded USPS that gets ballots where they are supposed to be, and probably loses the ones from certain districts is a large part of the scam…. bless your heart.

One of the sad things here is the fact that we no longer even look at poll numbers, we go to Vegas oddsmakers to see who’s taking bets or which way the money is going for predicting elections.

I asked a liberal family member in CA for his opinion and he said tax revenues in CA were high this year and Newsom was able to give back state money so he was confident the recall would fail.

Newsom will win … and all we will have done is strengthen his hold on the state and entrench him more solidly in politics than before.

Why will Newsom win … democrats are solidly in the majority … he’s backed by Washington … the right has lost all credibility in the eyes of the left (thank’s Donald) … the right continues to champion knucklehead candidates … the right continues to not learn from it’s mistakes and is a piss poor player at the political game.

    Subotai Bahadur in reply to PODKen. | September 13, 2021 at 6:23 pm

    And Democrats run the vote count.

    Subotai Bahadur

    gran2ten in reply to PODKen. | September 14, 2021 at 3:31 pm

    The RNC and Professional Political Pimps of both are a UNIFIED GROUP, DNC & RNC=A SYNDICATE of CORRUPTION, CRIMINAL ACTIVITY, AND COLLECTIVE POWER! They stick together and each benefit FINANCIALLY

thalesofmiletus | September 13, 2021 at 6:34 pm

If you shoot the king, better not miss. Newsom would find a way to retaliate and punish us all with further tyranny.

Republicans trying to vote are apparently being told they’ve already done so:

Newsom may survive because of fake Republican votes whilst the actual votes get discarded. No confidence in the CA outcome. 🙁

    Has there been ANY reports of this happening to EVEN ONE DEMOCRATIC VOTER OR INDEPENDENT?? This is almost TOO OBVIOUS, they are so smart and so dumb as to not include a few others than Repubs getting the ‘you already voted’

From what little I heard from Larry Elder he was not a strong candidate with broad appeal. After the usual attacks on CA and Newsome, Mr Elder did NOT follow up with what he would do to make California decent again.

How G damn sad that there are so many stupid people in California. There’s a reason they’ve dumb-ed down the schools and bum-rushed ILLEGAL ALIENS into their state.

If we can’t trust elections, what then do we have?

I fear if this California election is fraudulent we can expect the same in 2022 nationally! Sorry to be Debbie Downer.

Amazing what a couple of million fraudulent votes and control over the voting system can do for you…

The corrupt POS Newsome had ballots by the millions falling from the sky for every dedicated Marxist to fill out. The fix was in early. Unbelievable.