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California Gov. Gavin Newsom Facing “Wall of Apathy” in Recall Voting

California Gov. Gavin Newsom Facing “Wall of Apathy” in Recall Voting

Live by the ballot harvesting, die by the ballot harvesting: Democrats will mail ballots to the “unsophisticated” voters who most want Newsom gone.

I will start today’s analysis on the September recall vote that will decide the political fate of current governor Gavin Newsom with some anecdotal evidence.

The people in my neighborhood know I am a conservative activist via the work I do here or the various local talk shows I have been on. This week, on two separate occasions, friends who are “soccer moms” asked me for the status of the recall election was. Both are Democrats, with independent leanings. Both are furious at Newsom for his lockdowns and for destroying their children’s school experience.

They. Want. Newsom. Gone. And they will both crawl over broken glass to make sure they vote “Yes” on the recall.

It doesn’t matter who replaces Newsom. Neither woman cared. They both figured they would pick their candidate a little closer to the election.

New reports and analysis indicate that Newsom, indeed, is in trouble. To begin with, he is facing a “wall of apathy.”

Most worrisome for Democrats is the fact that the potential removal of Newsom has been met with a collective yawn by many voters in their party who have much more pressing concerns in their lives.

Poll after poll has shown feverish enthusiasm about ousting the Democratic governor among Republican voters. But despite near frenetic texting, emailing and breathless cries of ‘Stop the Republican Recall’ by Newsom’s forces, the Democratic base appears at most, uninterested.

“Oh, they want to remove him?” asked Christian Gutierrez, a young, registered Democrat in South Pasadena. And he is not alone. Despite television ads featuring Democratic stars like Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren warning her party’s voters to pay attention and get ready to fill out their ballots, Democratic strategists are becoming increasingly concerned that a lot of voters will simply throw them in the trash because they don’t see the recall as a real threat — or don’t even know that it’s happening.

“They’re not focused on it,” said longtime California Democratic strategist Bill Carrick. “They’re happy about (President Joe) Biden. They’re happy about … having control of Congress, so they’re not coming down off that high to be depressed about a recall.”

“Turnout is a problem,” Carrick added. “If you’re a Democrat, it’s scary.”

Team Newsom shortened the campaign season to help his case. However, it may backfire as he now has a shorter period to inspire voters to his cause.

“Democrats have not had urgency, and that’s Newsom’s greatest challenge at this point,” said Democratic consultant Michael Soneff. “His ability to convince Democrats to return their ballot over the course of a month is going to make all the difference in whether or not he wins against the recall.”

And, per a great analysis of the current recall situation in Ace of Spades, the Democrats’ reliance on absentee ballots make backfire…bigly. It turns out that many Democrat voters who aren’t “sophisticated” enough to appreciate masking and vaccines want Newsom gone. (The complete analysis is a must-read; emphasis mine).

3) Absentee ballots statewide – This is the primary Democrat strategy in California now, send absentee ballots to every registered voter, then send out ballot harvesters to get them turned in with the “correct” vote filled in. But this time it might work against them. Newsom’s strong support is in the affluent professional districts that were going to turn out to vote anyway.

What they have done is send a lot of ballots to working class voters that were less likely to vote, but now might vote anyway. Democrats just made it easier for them to vote, and they are leaning hard toward voting yes on the recall
. This is compounded by the short election cycle, it is harder to get the harvesters into the field, and it is harder to recruit them in the first place, since harvesters are in the demographic that wants to recall Newsom.

Live by the ballot harvesting, die by the ballot harvesting.


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The Democrat dependence on emotional appeals appears to backfire at times.

    henrybowman in reply to TX-rifraph. | August 11, 2021 at 3:07 pm

    Ha ha ha ha! They worked so hard to tear down the “wall of apathy” that they are about to be drowned by a “surge of antipathy!”

I don’t know I read that they were allowing people to print out their own ballots at home, if that’s not a recipe to cheat . I was already leary if our election after 2020 now after watching Mike Lindell’s symposium I won’t even trust our election’s till. Go back to hand counted ballots without any computer systems that can be manipulated

    It was brought up by I believe the CA AG but that will never fly. It would be another tactic to backfire for the Democrats. Democrats aren’t the only ones who can cheat. Anybody can photocopy ballots, bundle them and send them in.

    Sonnys Mom in reply to Meganinvegas. | August 12, 2021 at 5:33 pm

    Understanding the Threat is saying that a number of trolls have embedded in Mike Lindell’s organization and that the theory that “China hacked the 2020 election” is actually misinformation, probably intended todiscredit Mike who wants to run for governor.

    “UTT encourages all of you to watch Tom Trento’s video on the penetration of Mike Lindell’s inner circle by hostile actors.”

Poll takers asked the typical California voter, “What’s the difference difference between ignorance and apathy?

And they said, “I don’t know and I don’t care.”

Frank Hammond | August 11, 2021 at 11:51 am

Gavin is waiting for his ex-Girlfriend – Kammy Harris to bail him out.

Subotai Bahadur | August 11, 2021 at 7:23 pm

«Это не люди, которые голосуют, которые считают, это люди, которые подсчитывают голоса».

“It’s not the people who vote that count, it’s the people who count the votes.”

Subotai Bahadur

    henrybowman in reply to Subotai Bahadur. | August 11, 2021 at 8:56 pm

    There’s an old joke:
    Q: What’s the difference between democracy and feudalism?
    A: In democracy, everybody’s vote counts. In feudalism, everybody’s Count votes.

    Today, in democracy, everybody’s Count counts everybody’s votes.

Roy in Nipomo | August 11, 2021 at 8:00 pm

After the 2020 Presidential election, I’ve formed the opinion that the only thing Newsom has to worry about is whether or not “the machine” supports him. If it does, he will win regardless of what the voters try to say at the polls (they may have to stop counting at 2300 hrs on election night).

I’ll vote (against him), but last year’s election has left me cynical about how “fair & honest” the counts will be. If his party is afraid that he (a relative outsider) might have eyes on DC, this is when they kneecap him.

Comanche Voter | August 11, 2021 at 8:49 pm

No apathy on my part. I’m going to the polls on September 14 to vote this jerk out. Unlike my Democrat friends I don’t have six dead people to cast votes with me.

You can tell he had been drinking before the Sacramento Bee interview last week. In 2007, he told voters he had a drinking problem after it was exposed that he was having a drunken, in-office affair with the wife of his campaign manager and best friend, and would stop. But in 2018 he told reporters he didn’t have a drinking problem and was drinking wine again. You can tell from the Bee interview that he does have an alcohol problem.