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Warning Bells Sound for Gov. Gavin Newsom in Latest California Recall Poll

Warning Bells Sound for Gov. Gavin Newsom in Latest California Recall Poll

Larry Elder is leading the race to replace Newsom if recall is successful.

While many Legal Insurrection readers are skeptical that California Governor Gavin Newsom will be recalled in the upcoming September election, I noted that the elite media was probably not sharing the real level of risk to his political position.

Now, a new Emerson College/Inside California Politics poll from July 19-20 shows a tightening race with some big warning signs for the governor.

Support for the recall among survey respondents was at 43%, while opposition was at 48%, with 9% of voters undecided. Emerson’s previous poll of the recall in March had support for the recall at 38% and opposition at 42%.

The biggest red flag for Newsom was the poll’s question, “Regardless of the recall effort, would you vote to re-elect Gov. Newsom in 2022 or do you think it is time for someone new?” in which a whopping 58% of voters wanted someone new, while only 42% were happy with Newsom — suggesting the governor could be in serious danger in 2022 if his opponent is a Democrat, independent with enough name recognition or a Republican not closely tied to former President Donald Trump and the National Republican Party. Newsom has blanketed the airwaves with ads comparing the recall to the Jan. 6 Capitol riots.

Other warning signs for Newsom — who had a 49% approval rating and a 42% disapproval rating in the poll — include lackluster marks on his handling of wildfires and the drought, which could be more salient issues just ahead of the recall election Sept. 14. Newsom previously overstated the amount of wildfire prevention efforts the state has undertaken and has not ruled out mandatory water use restrictions.

There is at least one debate scheduled among several of the 40-plus gubernatorial replacement hopefuls. Neither Newsom nor Caitlyn Jenner will be participating.

Five Republicans vying to unseat California Governor Gavin Newsom in the state’s upcoming recall election have agreed to participate in a debate at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum in Yorba Linda next month.

The debate will begin at 6 p.m. local time on August 4 and is expected to last 90 minutes, according to a press release distributed by The Richard Nixon Foundation, which is organizing the debate.

…Businessman John Cox, radio host Larry Elder, former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, state lawmaker Kevin Kiley and former U.S. Representative Doug Ose are the candidates set to participate. They are among 46 candidates included on the California secretary of state’s certified list of individuals who qualified to run in the September 14 recall election.

It should be a lively debate, as there are so many issues that Newsom can be challenged on: Wldfires, abusive COVID restriction, and homelessness. Additionally, there is starting to be public focus on the state’s escalating crime.

Facing criticism from recall supporters for California’s rise in gun violence and retail theft, Gov. Gavin Newsom on Wednesday called for more accountability and enforcement but insisted the state is on right path on criminal justice.

Newsom vowed to continue California’s comprehensive efforts to reduce crime, focused in part on substantially increased funding for mental health care, drug treatment and after-school programs. The governor said the state will not return to the get-tough era of a few decades ago, a time when the state was building new prisons and enacted a “three strikes” law that sent repeat offenders away for 25 years to life.

As shopping centers throughout the state are being robbed in broad daylight with impunity, I wish the governor a ton of good luck with that argument. Take, for example, a store on the very glamorous and upscale Melrose Place.

Police are asking for the public’s help in identifying six suspects who committed what they are calling a brazen daylight robbery near the Beverly Center.

Four females and two men entered a high-end clothing store in the 8400 block of Melrose Place, near La Cienega Boulevard, at about 1:45 p.m. Wednesday and began taking purses off of store shelves, according to a Los Angeles Police Department spokesman.

Store employees attempted to stop the suspects but were forcefully pushed aside, the spokesman said.

The suspects fled with numerous luxury bags and purses, valued in the thousands of dollars, authorities said.

One final note on this recall update: Larry Elder is leading the race to replace Governor Gavin Newsom if he is recalled by voters.

The exclusive new statewide poll of more than 1,000 registered voters, which has a margin of error of +/-2.9%, asked respondents who they would vote for to replace Gov. Newsom. Elder led the pack at 16%, with John Cox and Kevin Faulconer trailing behind both at 6%. A large majority of respondents remain undecided.


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2smartforlibs | July 24, 2021 at 4:10 pm

I thought this was a done deal.

Lucifer Morningstar | July 24, 2021 at 4:36 pm

The debate will begin at 6 p.m. local time on August 4 and is expected to last 90 minutes, according to a press release distributed by The Richard Nixon Foundation, which is organizing the debate.

So basically, if all 40+ gubernatorial candidates participate in this debate they will each be getting whopping 2 minutes or less of air time. So what’s the point of even doing a debate, exactly.

    Only 5 candidates will be there.

    But speaking of red flags, holding this at the Richard Nixon Library might not be the best choice if you’re trying to win support from California liberals.

    Was there not a Trump hotel available?

Has Bruce Jenner legally changed his name, or other body parts yet? If not, why call him Caitlyn? If not, is this legal; to run as someone else?

    Jenner legally changed his name some years ago, so that is the legal name. If someone changed his/her name to Snuggleumpkins, we’d call him/her that. Or “Snug” or whatever they prefer, just as we do for everyone else who goes by a nickname, stage name, pseudonym, or some shortened version of their given name (Ed, Ted, Pat, Matt, Liz, whatever).

    Jenner’s a joke. The punchline is ‘kardiashian’.

      Jenner’s an unfunny joke. He’s a eunuch in drag, and the major media that refer to him as a “woman” are doing nothing but contributing to the degrading of the English language and dumbing-down of the public.

    amatuerwrangler in reply to TempeJeff. | July 24, 2021 at 7:47 pm

    Berkeley put up with Wavy Gravy as a candidate for almost everything for years; who knows if anyone knew his real name. He never got elected, but may well have done a better job than whoever beat him. He was sort of a local Harold Stassen.

    Issues should come before trivial stuff, Jeff.

Corrupt, narcissistic, incompetent pile of sh-t, ambitious for ambition’s sake.

MAYBE enough people in CA are waking up – especially liberal business owners who got so screwed during Newsom’s reign of terror during Covid.

henrybowman | July 24, 2021 at 6:26 pm

When you’re born to the purple, you need not worry about what the hoi polloi think.
Until you find that you do after all.
This is Newsom’s Louis XVI moment.

The fact that there are no big name democrats in the runoff field tells me the ruling class is all in for Newsom. Whatever votes are needed to fend off the recall will be found or manufactured.

So Gov. Hair Gel does a victory lap a month ago to declare the CA is open again only to have Fake Doctor Ferrer shut down LA County again. This should play well in the recall election.

And now it is being reported that “The Fauche” will be calling for a national 100% mask mandate for everyone at all times. But it’s “the science” and is extremely at odds with the CDC and just about everyone else. Don’t even hint at it being punishment for the vaccinated failing to intimidate the non-vaxed into getting the jab.

    Off topic – IMO the biggest thing to get the non-vaccinated to get it would be for the snail-like FDA to approve it – so the experimental designation goes away. In fact, with reportedly 163 million fully vaccinated, they have perhaps 1,000 times as many people vaccinated as a study would have without emergency approval. Any dangers are already vastly better understood than usual. Massive public service announcements on TV with families speaking which recently lost a family member due to Covid who had refused to get vaccinated could also be helpful – like a child speaking who lost a parent.