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Israel: Exit Polls Show Netanyahu Winning Slim Majority (Updated)

Israel: Exit Polls Show Netanyahu Winning Slim Majority (Updated)

Jerusalem Post: “Netanyahu clinches 61 majority on Right on way to victory.” But caution, exit polls have been wrong before.

Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is set to win the general election by a slim majority, exit polls indicate. The Netanyahu-led alliance will secure 61 seats in the 120-member Knesset, early projections show.

Israel’s longest serving prime minister will need the support of Naftali Bennett’s right-wing Yamina party to form the next government. “The exit polls put Netanyahu on course to form the next government as he appears to have the 61 Knesset seats he needs – should former ally and defense minister Naftali Bennett agree to join his coalition,” Israeli broadcaster Arutz Sheva reported.

Bennett, who is being dubbed by the Israeli media as the kingmaker following the exit poll results, did not confirm if he will join a coalition government headed by Netanyahu. “I shall do only what is good for the State of Israel,” he said.

The Jerusalem Post reported the results of the exit polls:

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will be able to form a government for the seventh time in his three-decade political career, according to exit polls on the three television networks Tuesday night.

All three polls indicated that his bloc of Likud, Shas, United Torah Judaism and the Religious Zionist Party received enough support together with the Yamina Party of Naftali Bennett, who said during the campaign that he was ready to join a coalition with either political bloc.

The Likud won 31 from Channel 12 and 33 from Channel 13. seats, Shas won 9 from Channel 12 and 8 from Channel 13, UTJ won 5 from Channel 12 and 7 from Channel 13, the Religious Zionist Party won 7 from Channel 12 and 6 from Channel 13 and Yamina won 8 from Channel 12 and 7 from Channel 13.

Sources in Likud said Netanyahu would try to form a government as soon as possible. Bennett’s associates said they were “not in Netanyahu’s pocket” and joining his government was not a foregone conclusion.

While Netanyahu still faces the challenge of forming a stable coalition government, his rivals have failed to push him out of the political landscape despite putting the country through four elections in the span of two years.

Even the left-wing newspaper Haaretz admitted that the current prime minister is better placed to form the next government than his rivals. “[T]he anti-Netanyahu bloc, a motley crew of left, right and centrist factions, currently looks to have even fewer paths to forming a coalition,” the daily noted.

UPDATE (Thursday): With almost all votes accounted for, Prime Minister Netanyahu’s right-wing alliance appears to have fallen short of the 61 seat-mark needed for the majority, and will require further coalition partners to form the next government.

The “anti-Netanyahu bloc has 57 seats, pro-PM bloc has 52, with [right-wing] Yamina and [Islamist] Ra’am holding the balance; no clear path to coalition,” the Times of Israel reported.

This makes Netanyahu’s path to government formation more difficult than initially projected. “Netanyahu could still form a coalition and secure a sixth term in office, but that would require enlisting the Islamist party Ra’am and convincing his right-wing allies to accept this,” the Israel Hayom newspaper noted.


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The exit polls have been significantly wrong in each of the last 5 or 6 elections. Feelings in Yamina are pretty hostile to Netanyahu right now, because he spent most of the last few weeks attacking them.

Please dear God let BIbi win AGAIN!!!

    Milhouse in reply to gonzotx. | March 24, 2021 at 1:57 am

    Why? Seriously, what do people see in him? Why does anyone think he’s a better option than Sa’ar or Bennett, for instance?

      gonzotx in reply to Milhouse. | March 24, 2021 at 8:51 am

      Sorry meant to down vote you

      Craig in reply to Milhouse. | March 25, 2021 at 3:21 am

      Maybe they respect a guy who served his nation, boarded a hijacked airplane (Sabena 571 in 1972) to take down terrorists and save hundreds of Jews. A guy who can give a speech to U.S. Congress without a teleprompter and without the “uhs” and “Uhhms”. I’m American and I respect a strong leader like Netanyahu. He isn’t perfect but he’s just what Israel needs in 2021, someone who won’t back down to the fascist cancel culture.

The latest official vote count and not the polls is Israel will have a 5th Election.

    Milhouse in reply to jerusalemcats. | March 24, 2021 at 1:59 am

    Those results are still flexible, because the remote vote hasn’t been counted yet. Nothing can really be said until they are.

Bibi has been the right man for Israel at this point in history. He’s worked brilliant to overcome the Jew-hatred of barack obama and company, and maximized the love for Israel by PDJT.

If Israel dumps him, they have to live with that decision. We simply can’t help them – we’ve got a budding revolution to fight here at home.

    What is PDJT? Israel can handle it’s external enemies by itself. It is the vaccine passport, propaganda and coercion without informed consent that is the problem. The criminals in the Ministry of Health and the Coronavirus Knesset committee are the problem. Israelis want to get on with their lives without the Jackbooted terrorists of the Ministry of Health and their Police Lackeys. End the Mask Mandates and the Lockdowns forever.