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Can Trump Pull Off an Historic Win in Blue Minnesota?

Can Trump Pull Off an Historic Win in Blue Minnesota?

“Clinton carried Minnesota by only 45,000 votes in 2016. Although Republicans haven’t won it since 1972, a play for Minnesota is not a bad gamble”

https://youtu.be/r_P2aqS6xsU

In 2016, Trump lost Minnesota by about 45,000 votes. This year, he is clearly making an attempt to close the gap there and pull off a win that would sting Democrats for years to come.

The left didn’t do itself any favors by burning down Minneapolis this summer, and Trump was also helped by gaining the endorsements of multiple mayors in the state’s ‘Iron Range’ region.

When it comes to liberal journalism, The Atlantic is as anti-Trump as they come. Yet even they are acknowledging Trump’s efforts to win Minnesota and how they might work.

Peter Nicholas writes:

How Trump Could Shock the World Again

The president will be better positioned for another Electoral College victory if he can pry loose a state or two that Democrats won last time. His campaign has been eyeing New Hampshire and Nevada, but another target, Minnesota, has as many Electoral College votes as the other two combined. Clinton carried Minnesota by only 45,000 votes in 2016. Although Republicans haven’t won it since 1972, a play for Minnesota is not a bad gamble: At minimum, competing in the state forces Democrats to divert resources from other battlegrounds.

Minnesota Democrats estimate that as many as 250,000 white residents who didn’t go to college—the heart of Trump’s base—weren’t registered to vote in 2016. Republicans are taking pains to find them. While Democrats in the state have largely suspended door-to-door campaigning because of the pandemic, Republicans have kept at it. Last week, volunteers knocked on more than 130,000 doors in the state, a campaign official told me. “This is the largest organization that we’ve seen a Republican put into this state, in terms of advertising dollars, principal visits, and staff on the ground,” Ken Martin, the chair of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party, told me. “There’s no doubt that they have a significant operation here.”

Trump’s campaign has booked more than $1.2 million in TV advertising in Minnesota in the final week of the campaign—more than it spent there in the preceding three weeks combined, according to Advertising Analytics, which tracks campaigns’ ad spending. Vice President Mike Pence held a rally in northern Minnesota on Monday, the latest in a series of visits to the state by Trump and top surrogates. Overall, the Trump campaign has deployed 60 staffers in Minnesota, a level of Republican intensity surpassing that of any race in memory, both parties say.

In perhaps the greatest sign that even Democrats know this could happen, Joe Biden held a campaign event in Minnesota on Friday, a move that looked more like defense than confidence.

Things went about as well as you might expect:

Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison appeared on CNN this week and admitted Trump has a chance to win.

Beth Baumann writes at Townhall:

“The president is putting a lot of money into your state. He’s greatly increased his ad buy, $1.2 million in TV advertising in the final week of the campaign, more than was spent in the preceding three weeks combined. Do you think the president has a real shot in Minnesota?” CNN’s Chris Cuomo asked.

The attorney general said he could see the possibility of Trump pulling out a win in Minnesota.

“Honestly, yeah, I do. I will tell you that I believe in our campaign workers and organizers. They’re working extremely hard. I can tell you that Minnesotans know what a problem Trump is,” Ellison explained. “They know he doesn’t care about their health care. They know all the bad things about him. But, you know, there are some folks who still are supporting him. And so what I tell people is, one, he does have a shot, don’t play it cheap, work hard for every single vote. And don’t stop until 8 o’clock on November 3.”

Watch below:

According to GOP Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, Trump’s last appearance Minnesota drew more than just Republicans:

If Trump closes the deal in Minnesota, it will be the first time a Republican has won the state since 1972. It would cause a political earthquake.

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Comments

But but…. but Nate Silver says trumps gonna lose with perhaps 200 electoral votes!?

I’m cautiously optimistic about next week. I pray we send the elites another shellacking.

    cgray451 in reply to JDmyrm. | November 1, 2020 at 10:14 am

    Purple Hand Mitch gleefully handed out 2 trillion in tax cuts to millionaires and billionaires, yet refuses to give the desperate peasants 1200 bucks.

    And it’s the Democrats who are the “elites”.??

      txvet2 in reply to cgray451. | November 1, 2020 at 10:35 am

      I don’t know who told you that, but it’s a bald-faced lie. Do a little research.

      2smartforlibs in reply to cgray451. | November 1, 2020 at 11:29 am

      When you don’t understand the tx code stop thinking you have anything to add.

      henrybowman in reply to cgray451. | November 1, 2020 at 3:48 pm

      I’m just here for cgray’s ratio. If it gets much lower, we can frack it.

      BierceAmbrose in reply to cgray451. | November 1, 2020 at 4:23 pm

      Operation demoralize doesn’t work so well once they’re on to you.

      BierceAmbrose in reply to cgray451. | November 1, 2020 at 4:30 pm

      Look at the legislation proposed, n procedural shenanigans. (Another) $1,200 for the peasants has been on the table for approximately ever.

      If San Fran Nan, with her caucus’ lock on the house would agree to that without rake-offs for immigration, health care, and bail outs of structural state budget deficits, we’d have it. There’s more poison pills in what they’re demanding than the demon barber’s medicine cabinet.

      Meanwhile, Chuck-y isn’t letting the Senate proposal come up for a vote, protecting his coalition of impediments, and partner in impediment Nan. The bill moves to floor debate it’s harder to ignor what’s in it. (However we do get a chance to see what’s in it before it’s passed, unlike … something. I’m reminded of something.)

      No charge for the lesson.

    2smartforlibs in reply to JDmyrm. | November 1, 2020 at 11:30 am

    This more for the Thummbsdowner. Silver was only right once in 2008. Bene wrong every time since

I think that the fact that backing law and order is more important to Minnesotans, than painting Trump with the riots in Minneapolis speaks volumes. Nobody in MN is excited about Biden and without a ground game, the Dems are doomed. Just say’n.

    legacyrepublican in reply to DanJ1. | November 1, 2020 at 10:40 am

    Seeing the horrible damage from riots on TV has to be far more effective in changing opinions when watching a political ad that tries to paint a rosy picture of how things might look under a Biden administration.

    You can’t hide the odor of such an offensive stink by showing LGBT colors and expect to get away with it, even in Minnesota.

caseoftheblues | November 1, 2020 at 10:26 am

I have rarely seen such a completely ignorant and utterly devoid of any basis in fact statement. You might want to check in with the person who actually stopped the aid…Nancy Pelosi…and did so for 1 reason only …to hurt Trump…EVEN Wolf Blitzer called her out for it.

    Breathtaking. Purple Hand Mitch deliberately refused to include 1200 checks in those idiotic “skinny” “stimulus” bills that were designed solely to “help” desperate Republican senate candidates.

    You’re a goddamned liar.

      henrybowman in reply to cgray451. | November 1, 2020 at 3:50 pm

      Prepare your “safe space” for Wednesday, troll. Don’t stint on the rubber.

      CommoChief in reply to cgray451. | November 1, 2020 at 4:10 pm

      cgray,

      Are you practicing your potty mouth in preparation for your political policy preferences to be rejected on Tuesday?

      Keep at it that one was bush league. Maybe you should try for the primal scream motif your side favors?

IF Minnesota and Wisconsin turn red Pennsylvania surely will go Trump and you can say Good Night Irene on the Democrats

    fishstick in reply to Skip. | November 1, 2020 at 12:47 pm

    the real problem is all the post election nonsense that is heading our way

    Trump very well could win not just Minnesota but Michigan and Pennsylvania again

    then score wins in North Carolina, Arizona, and Wisconsin

    but the Dems have already revealed their hand in WHAT they want to do and HOW they plan to unseat this presidency

    it is not so much what happens on election night but the days to weeks after if the Republicans don’t start to push on this issue

    because if the courts allow it – everyone knows them Dems will be finding ballots for weeks on end and it will be enough to flip not just the executive but the Senate and keep the House blue

    —-

    I can see Trump easily losing 5 states in that manner

    North Carolina, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania will likely be within 70,000 votes

    Florida within 100,000

    some may be within a 50,000 margin

    so expect Trump and the Republicans to win on November the 3rd but see Democrats try their damnedest to chip away at all those results post election day

The left won’t view a massive loss as a slap at the Marxism they are pushing, they doubled down last time, so expect that they do it again.

Seeing the leftist Governors who have gone almost full dictatorship roles should have a majority of the people rejecting the Democrat party. Sadly, too many sheeples walk around in their bubble world and keep their eyes firmly shut to the worst issues this country is facing is due to the leftists policies the local governments keep pushing.

The propagandist media will push that the Democrats need to go even further left, firmly believing that it was not embracing Marxism which caused their losses.

I do have major concerns about fraud, though, as Biden said he didn’t even need their votes in Minnesota. Biden is an idiot, but we don’t believe the left when they tell us what they plan to do at our peril.

    The (ought-to-be) committed Left will stay at the barricades, but the dupes are already melting away and voting Trump.

    The hard Left will have a hard time rioting with only a handful of true believers.

    BierceAmbrose in reply to oldgoat36. | November 1, 2020 at 4:32 pm

    “The left won’t view a massive loss as a slap at the Marxism they are pushing, they doubled down last time, so expect that they do it again.”

    This is the lesson of The Tea Party, President Obama’s midterm “shellacking”, the relentless opposition to all things Trump.

    Noone can be permitted a win, any win who is not one of them.

    They are the way, and the truth, and the progress. Noone shall come to any action, but by them.

Oddsmakers are saying Trump 312.

“Minnesota last went R in 1972” – that’s true but the only reason that Minnesota did not go for Reagan in 1984 was that he was running against Mondale, longtime Minnesota pol – even so, Reagan almost beat Mondale in Minnesota for a 50 state sweep (the good old days).

“All we’re trying to do is protect people from a deadly virus …..

If they were serious about protecting people from that virus, they would be encouraging people to get early, in-home treatment, to avoid hospitalization.

    BierceAmbrose in reply to Valerie. | November 1, 2020 at 4:41 pm

    ^This.^

    Checkup with my doc this past Thursday — I have to check in to maintain access to presccriptions that keep me likely to live for a while.

    Q: So, what can I do to help me resist the Covid, if I get exposed? How do I goose my odds of having a “no symptoms” or “mild.”

    A: What?

    Q:

    A:

    Q: How do I know I might be getting it, before frank, more intense symptoms? How can I support my bod’s response, to get less sick?

    A: What?

    Q:

    A: Don’t worry about it. And ran out the door to the next “appointment.”

    Obamacare was a massive rake-off grab to extract a slice of health care effort for reallocation by the grifters to people who will vote for them. Plenty of “docs” are more interested in serving a system, vs. the people they “care for.”

    Herd management doesn’t work for the cows — they keep them healthy in some sense, for someone else’s sake.

“Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison appeared on CNN this week and admitted Trump has a chance to win.”

Anonymous sources have confirmed that George Floyd voted for Trump.

BierceAmbrose | November 1, 2020 at 4:44 pm

When all you have to do to win is hold what you took last time, spreading the map is a great strategy. Creating a story that has you going defensive and bunkering up is a good strategy for the other guys.

(BTW, I’ve been missing SuBotai’s pithy strategic takes lately. Am I just not seeing them?)

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