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Can Trump Flip Minnesota in November?

Can Trump Flip Minnesota in November?

“We’re going to have an election that is all about the survival of this nation”

In 2016, Trump narrowly lost Minnesota. In 2020, he is clearly making a play for the typically blue state. He delivered a speech there on Monday.

Recent polls are showing that he definitely has a chance to win the state.

Max Greenwood reports at The Hill:

Poll: Trump trails Biden by 3 points in Minnesota

President Trump is within striking distance of former Vice President Joe Biden in Minnesota, according to a new Emerson College poll released Tuesday that shows the GOP incumbent trailing by only 3 points in a state Democrats have carried for decades.

The survey shows Biden with 50 percent of the vote in Minnesota, while Trump trails with 47 percent, within the poll’s 3.6 percentage point margin of error.

Several other recent polls in Minnesota show Biden with a much wider lead. A Fox News poll released last month put the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee ahead by 13 points, while another from the left-leaning Public Policy Polling found Biden with a 10-point advantage over Trump.

Biden’s 3-point lead in the Emerson College poll, however, is still wider than former Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s margin of victory in Minnesota in 2016, when she carried the state by a scant 1.5 percentage points.

Rudy Takala of Mediaite notes the state’s voting history:

Former President Barack Obama won the state by 52 percent in 2012 — nearly 8 points more than Republican Mitt Romney — and 54 percent in 2008, besting the late Sen. John McCain by a whopping 10 points.

Minnesota last voted for a Republican president in 1972, giving it the longest blue streak of any state in the nation. It was the only one to vote against President Ronald Reagan in 1984.

Brian Bakst of MPR has some details about Trump’s Monday speech:

In Mankato, Trump rips critics, vows to win Minnesota

Hoping to win over Minnesota in the fall election, President Donald Trump on Monday pounded political opponents as a threat to the nation and portrayed himself as a law and order candidate during an hourlong campaign speech at the Mankato airport before heading to Wisconsin and vowing, “I’ll be back.”

“We’re going to have an election that is all about the survival of this nation,” Trump told supporters…

He described former Vice President Joe Biden, who’s expected to formally receive the Democratic nomination this week, as “a “puppet of left-wing extremists trying to erase our borders, eliminate our police, indoctrinate our children, vilify our heroes, take away our energy.”

Trump called on Minnesota voters to “not let this happen. You will deliver a historic victory for our values, our citizens and our treasured way of life.”

Here are some clips from Trump’s speech:

You can watch the whole thing below:

Minnesota has 10 Electoral College votes and losing the state to Trump would deeply wound Democrats.

Featured image via YouTube.


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buckeyeminuteman | August 18, 2020 at 7:13 am

If anybody in Minnesota who suffered property loss and physical harm in all the chaotic riots this summer votes for Biden, they’re asking to get more of what they already got.

    Joe-dallas in reply to buckeyeminuteman. | August 18, 2020 at 8:08 am

    My family is from Minnepolis, moved out in the 1950’s. Still have a lot of cousins living there who have always voted democrat. However, looking at their facebook posts over the last 3-4 years, Its very likey they have switched to the gop.

Democrats are parasite that feast on discord and discontentment. If a majority of Minnesotans hate Donald Trump more than they care for themselves or their own welfare then Minnesota will remain blue. If Democrat operatives flood the ballot box with dubious mail in votes then Minnesota will remain blue. If on the other hand, Minnesotans want peace and domestic tranquility, Trump will be an easy winner.

legacyrepublican | August 18, 2020 at 7:44 am

Can he flip it?

Why not! Trump is great a flipping off the Democrats. Why should he stop at the border of Minnesota?

I can see The Donald not only flipping Minnesota, but flipping Nevada & New Hampshire as well. I have a hunch he’ll also have a “surprise” win somewhere, perhaps Colorado.

He’s flip a lot, and they’ll steal it anyway in the urban counties.

The question is, who will the car trunks vote for?

    The Friendly Grizzly in reply to openeyes. | August 18, 2020 at 9:56 am

    My paternal grandmother was the only Republican in the family. Since she passed on, she’s voted Democrat.

All this optimistic speculation is not taking into account the Dem’s ability to cheat

    tom_swift in reply to MarkS. | August 18, 2020 at 11:54 am

    Yes, we know from the silly mailbox hysteria that the Dems are planning mail-in voting fraud exceeding anything we’ve seen in the past century and a half. The Dems always accuse their opponents of doing what they themselves have already done, or tried to do but were stymied, or are planning to do in future. Like a dog’s tail-wag or a shark fin sticking out of the water, it’s a “tell” they can’t control.

The polling is very close and people in MN generally presume everyone’s a D so a lot of people don’t talk about Trump; there has been an epidemic of RDS here, and people are completely irrational about conservatives, in part due to the unions, who have a history of pushing the D agenda.

I’ve never seen a Trump sign and his campaign doesn’t have a Minneapolis office although there are suburban offices and a St Paul office which is near the boundary of a suburb.

Trump needs to do a mail blitz of Minneapolis and send a flyer every week. He has more supporters here than he realizes and isn’t sending mailers.

    I see your governor quietly okay’d Hydroxychloroquine after banning it’s use.
    Also, I’m hoping your governor starts asking for some higher taxes to pay for Minneapolis damage. Don’t know if the people will mind paying extra for the blm destruction but I have hopes it’ll drive some away from the dems.

Getting Minnesota won’t matter if he loses Florida. Palm Beach County is revving up its vote stealing machine by putting bar codes on the back of mail-in vote envelopes that identify the party the voter is registered for. These bar codes have human-readable labels. That means your friendly neighborhood postal worker (whose union endorsed Biden) can throw away votes, and if not them the PBC election apparatus can do it en masse with a barcode reading machine like the USPS uses to process mail. They might not even need the felon vote to win Florida for the Democrats.

    4fun in reply to randian. | August 18, 2020 at 10:12 pm

    One of the comments I read on that story is those envelopes were for the primary contest. So having the R and d on the back of the envelopes only made it easier for sorting.
    Supposedly neither ballot had anyone of the other party on the ballot so you couldn’t be a dem and vote for repubs you’d want to be easy losers. You could only vote for the party you registered for.

He is unlikely to flip the state because Minnesota democrats don’t do any real thinking for the most part just vote straight democrat. People stupid enough to invite thousands of muslim Somalians to their state are beyond the reach of reason.