I firmly believe that even if a second wave of coronavirus outbreaks in the fall, Americans will not tolerate a second national lockdown.

Mainly, it is because most of us have lost our trust in the information presented by epidemiological “experts.” These experienced professionals provide guidance that is more fickle than that offered in an astrological horoscope.

For example, yesterday World Health Organization’s Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, an expert in emerging diseases, stated that it was rare that an asymptomatic person actually transmits onward to a second individual. Not 24 hours later, Kerkhove hand-waved, cited models, and indicated that the possible transmission rate “this is a major unknown.”

Dr. Maria Van Kerkhove, WHO’s technical lead, said in a video posted on the organization’s Twitter feed that she was referring to a small subset of studies and unpublished information from member states when making the comments.

“I wasn’t stating a policy of WHO or anything like that, I was just trying to articulate what we know,” she said. “And in that I used the phrase ‘very rare,’ and I think that’s a misunderstanding to state that asymptomatic transmission globally is very rare.”

In contact tracing efforts from other countries, secondary transmission from asymptomatic individuals was rarely found, Kerkhove said, but the subject is still “a major unknown.”

She said models that attempt to estimate asymptomatic transmission vary greatly – some predict spread by people without symptoms may make up to 40% of transmissions.

It is quite clear that the bureaucrats who have led the charge in setting the agenda have little intention of quickly allowing life to return to normal. For example, Coronavirus Task Force member Dr. Anthony Fauci is warning that the “nightmare” pandemic isn’t close to over.

The bleak outlook from Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, comes as the US continues to slowly reopen from lockdown while grappling with massive protests in cities over the police killing of George Floyd.

“In a period of four months, it has devastated the whole world,” Fauci said during a virtual appearance at a conference held by Biotechnology Innovation Organization. “And it isn’t over yet.”

Fauci added that there is still a world of uncertainty around the virus and how it spreads and impacts the body. He said COVID-19 is much more complex that HIV, a virus he spent his career studying, because of the varying levels of seriousness in infections — from asymptomatic carriers to patients who develop fatal conditions.

“Oh my goodness,” Fauci added. “Where is it going to end? We’re still at the beginning of really understanding.”

Yet, not even a week ago, Fauci indicated schools could likely reopen in the fall.

How many people who get infected with the coronavirus remain asymptomatic? Perhaps instead of relying on WHO, we can turn to the US Navy for reliable information:

A new Navy study of hundreds of sailors aboard the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt found that one in five who tested positive for antibodies were asymptomatic, while the majority of the sailors only had mild COVID-19 symptoms.

The study conducted jointly with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) also indicated the possibility that a small number of the tested sailors may have some form of immunity to the novel coronavirus.

The carrier left Guam last week, after a 10-week interruption of its deployment to the western Pacific Ocean as the ship’s crew of 4,865 sailors was quarantined on the island following an outbreak aboard the ship. Ultimately 1,273 sailors, or about 26% of the ship’s crew was infected with the virus, including one who died.

If the virus doesn’t impact 20% of young and healthy people, and most of the others have only mild symptoms, then it is time to direct public health policies towards the vulnerable and freeing the rest to practice good hygiene and personal risk assessment.

It is quite clear to those Americans who aren’t seeking power and chaos that the curve has flattened, hospitals have not been overwhelmed, and that there is a much more robust understanding of the virus and how to treat the infections. Americans will not tolerate further drama driven by the chaos-embracing media and promoted by presumed professionals who want notoriety.

 

 
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