Wuhan Virus Watch: Los Angeles Could Keep Its Stay-Home-Order Until August
Big advertisers set to cancel commitments to TV networks. CSU campuses are suspending in-person classes through fall. Dozens of inmates arrested again after coronavirus release. Children unlikely to transmit coronavirus.
Today’s update starts with some very troubling news.
Even though it is becoming apparent to anyone with necessary math skills, common sense, and basic knowledge of economics, several cities and regions throughout the nation are continuing to use voodoo modeling to prolong the pandemic stay-hat-home orders.
Take Los Angeles, for example. Last year, we covered stories of homelessness-caused typhus and typhoid outbreaks, that did little to inspire any significant public health action.
However, for the Wuhan Coronavirus, all the stops are being pulled out.
Los Angeles County’s top health director on Tuesday said that restrictions will likely be in place for at least another three months even as Gov. Gavin Newsom said that dine-in restaurants and some offices can reopen.
The timetable for COVID-19 public health precautions was not an agenda item at the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors Tuesday, but came as supervisors were discussing another coronavirus related issue.
Barbara Ferrer, LA County’s leading voice on anti-COVID measures, has warned repeatedly that precautions in some form will be necessary well into the future, absent a major breakthrough.
“While the Safer at Home orders will remain in place over the next few months, restrictions will be gradually relaxed under our 5-stage Roadmap to Recovery, while making sure we are keeping our communities as safe as possible during this pandemic,” Ferrer said in a statement released Tuesday evening. “We are being guided by science and data that will safely move us forward along the road to recovery in a measured way—one that allows us to ensure that effective distancing and infection control measures are in place.
I predict than many Californians will be using this summer to relocate to places with more reasonable public health policies for all diseases.
Big Advertisers Set to Cancel Commitments to TV Networks
Live by the panic-reporting, die by the panic-response.
Big advertisers from General Motors Co. to PepsiCo Inc. to General Mills Inc.are seeking to walk back spending commitments they made to broadcast and cable networks, a dynamic that is testing the industry’s five-decade-old way of doing business.
TV ad spending fell in the initial weeks of the coronavirus pandemic, but was insulated from an even bigger drop. That is because the majority of the roughly $42 billion spent on national TV ads in the U.S. is bound by contractual commitments that are made well in advance of a new TV season, which starts each September.
Under those “upfront” deals, the first real opportunity since the pandemic struck for advertisers to cut back future spending commitments began May 1. Companies now have the option to cancel up to 50% of their third-quarter ad spending.
California State University campuses are suspending in-person classes through fall semester
The experts seem intent upon waiting for a vaccine until schools offer more than virtual colleges. Hopefully, the tuition will reflect the new, limited approach to instruction.
The head of the California State University system announced virtual education will continue in the fall
The move was being made on the 23 CSU campuses to protect students and staff from the spread of COVID-19.
Fresno State students made the switch to online classes on March 20th due to the pandemic.
But Chancellor Timothy White said remote learning will continue in the 2020 fall semester.
White said, “This virtual planning approach for the next academic year is necessary because of the evolving data surrounding the progression of COVID 19.”
Dozens of Rikers inmates arrested again after coronavirus release
Of all the policy decisions made in the wake of the pandemic, the prisoner releases are perhaps the most questionable.
More than 100 inmates cut loose from incarceration on Rikers Island over coronavirus concerns in late March have had run-ins with the law since being released, The Post has learned.
The roughly 110 inmates have accounted for 190 arrests since the pandemic took hold of the Big Apple, according to police.
Of those arrests, 45 — or roughly one-quarter — were for burglaries, helping drive the 43-percent spike in break-ins over the last month, according to NYPD data.
Police sources believe the number of recidivists — which accounted for about 7 percent of the 1,500 released in March — doesn’t paint the whole picture, because hundreds more inmates have been released since.
Children unlikely to transmit coronavirus, says Australian study
An Australian study could have a significant impact on school reopenings in the fall.
A new report, cited by the chief medical officer as the federal government advocates the reopening of schools, says children are unlikely to transmit Covid-19 between each other or to adults.
The study by NSW Health’s Centre for Immunisation Research and Surveillance (NCIRS), released on Sunday, examined transmission of the virus in NSW schools and childcare centres between March and mid-April.
Examining the spread 18 of coronavirus cases (nine students and nine staff) from 15 schools, the report’s preliminary findings were that only one primary school student and one high school student “may have contracted Covid-19 from the initial cases at their schools”.
“No teacher or staff member contracted Covid-19 from any of the initial school cases,” the report added.
The low transmission rate was despite 735 students and 128 staff being “close contacts” of the initial 18 cases.
[Featured image via YouTube]
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These “experts” always insist that they are just “following the data” but they never walk us through their data to explain how they arrived at their conclusions. I guess you have to be a scientist to understand these things. The rest of us are just stupid and ignorant to understand. Not worth stooping down trying to explain it to us.
Phil, I agree with what you are saying. I have been screaming this in the wilderness for years in regard to the climate change hoax. These “scientists” are NOT following the data. They are slavishly following the excrement flowing out of flawed models. When real data comes in, they DO NOT follow the new data points, they continue to flog the increasingly irrelevant models.
Now that we have either “flattened the curve” or the virus itself was not as invincible as advertised, the stated goal of not overwhelming the hospitals, ICUs, and ventilator supply has been met. Time to fairly rapidly open the economy, by which I mean end the capricious and unconstitutional house arrest of healthy citizens. Anything less is grounds for revolt.
I posted the link to Hilldale College’s latest “Imprimis” issue featuring Larry P Arnn’s brilliant essay “Thought on the Current Crisis” but here it is again. It is a MUST read.
https://imprimis.hillsdale.edu/thoughts-current-crisis/
One of his strongest points is how we so blindly empower “specialists” to make decisions they are unqualified to make. He argues that scientists apply science to their decisions rather than common sense. We don’t want them leading the country!
I often point out that Nazi Germany was based on applying scientific principles to governing. How did that work out? Doesn’t Fauci strike you as fascist? He is just as smug and sanctimonious as James Comey. His opinion it the only one he will consider because in his mind, his opinions are facts. Yesterday, when Rand Paul was pointing out how his models are so often wrong, why would we want him making our economic decisions based on his models? Fauci responded that he doesn’t make economic recommendations. Sure. Close down the country and shutting down our economy is not an economic recommendation. HIS science (which is being challenged by very many at least equally qualified scientists) trumps logic.
I could tell you stories about discussions I’ve had with JPL scientists who couldn’t even give me their definition of what constitutes “science”. To them, it’s a process that seeks “the truth”. To me, it’s a belief system only suitable to addressing only questions that involve empirical data. It becomes science when someone comes up with a testable hypothesis where the answer can only be “false” or “not false” (not “true”). The answer is only as good as the question and the inquiry into the “truth” ends when the answer is good enough to produce a superior technological solution to a problem.
We don’t really “know” anything and we don’t have to. We are spending billions rolling out quantum cable (“entangled particles”) based on faith alone. No one can prove whether those particles even truly exist but apparently, the technology works and we are going to use it. Who cares what “the truth” is? Eventually, we will need a better solution, someone will ask a better question to be addressed by a better hypothesis that “the truth” will be replaced by better technology.
Two links for an evaluation of the models used :
https://lockdownsceptics.org/code-review-of-fergusons-model/
https://lockdownsceptics.org/second-analysis-of-fergusons-model/
The models are complete garbage.
( G.I.G.O. == Garbage In, Garbage Out )
This may, no, this definitly sounds stupid on the surface but I think that this is an attempt by one major Leftist stronghold to get 100% mail in ballot voting for November. These guys are using a crisis to get their way and are willing to tank an entire economy to get it.
Yes. If you have the real agenda in hand, this all makes sense.
If California commits suicide, the postman might also deliver them a surprise, come November.
Either way, I say, You Go, California! Destroy Yourselves, Kill your Economy! Texas is waiting for anyone who actually wants to engage in business.
California is going to be left with a handful of Tech Mega Billionaires and 30 million or so ignorant, impoverished serfs. Let’s see how that works out for ya.
Oh and if you’re a conservative in California – you’re a Jew in 1937 Berlin. You ain’t got much time left, get out no MATTER the cost. They’re gonna kill you if you don’t.
You mean the latest Bill to be cooked up in San Fran Nan’s kitchen (close to the ice cream supply and without Republican, or most Socialist-Democrat, member input), which contains an appropriation for mail in ballot assistance in all states, is part of a plan? Who knew?
it’s unlikely this bill was cooked up in any kitchen. in fact, nearly all legislation now comes through the vast army of lobbyists.
i would not be surprised if this bill was actually written months, if not years, before this current event transpired. much like the boilerplate reports churned out by consultants, the legislation stand ready to use at the appointed time. just apply a catchy title (CARES, HEROES) and add the current date and it’s ready to roll!
I agree, but don’t see the point. It won’t change how California’s electors vote. At best that locks out a couple of potential Republican contenders for House seats.
More disturbing are local mandates in SE Florida prolonging and strengthening mask wearing and other requirements. Given their obvious vote fraud attempts last election I can’t help but think it’s a push to demand universal vote-by-mail and take the state for Biden.
Y’all have got a special kind of crazy out there on the left coast. Feel free to move here to flyover country… just leave that crazy shit behind.
Thank you, Lord, for putting me in a backward Southern state.
.
Allow me to disagree. I’ll tell Californians the same thing I tell my kids — you are NOT allowed to go out until you clean up your own room.
There will be a second wave – no way to stop it, the virus is too deeply embedded into the general population.
We need 40%-50% immunity in the population to prevent a nasty second wave in the fall. If we enter the fall with only 20%-25% immunity, then the second wave will be nasty – very nasty.
We should be developing the immunity in the early summer when the virus is weaker.
And a 3rd and 4th wave of the Scamdemic. We are still waiting for the second attack after 9-11.
That would be somewhat similar to the umpteenth wave of Influenza virus each year without the somewhat variably effective vaccine only half of us take each fall.
If they keep the accepted definition of a Wuhan ChiCom Corona Virus death, we will have Wuhan ChiCom deaths each year for some number of years, if not forever.
That’s why you prolong the lockdown: to prevent herd immunity and guarantee a second wave of infections, so you can restart the lockdown through November and crush Trump with fraudulent mailed ballots.
“I predict than many Californians will be using this summer to relocate…
I’ve got a road trip soon to Arizona. It’s time for me to make a decision.
Your decision should be made, you only need to figure out the logistics.
They can use those nice unused dorms in Westwood and Berkeley to house the homeless with no students on campus.
But will they deliver drugs and booze to the dorms? Delivery of free booze and drugs would be a huge change from normal.
Just who do these Left Coast elitist idiots think will provide their minions free stuff? No one in the heartland can afford their excesses.
Let’s all say a prayer to San Andreas.
I think I like that Saint.
Even though it is becoming apparent to anyone with necessary math skills, common sense, and basic knowledge of economics, several cities and regions throughout the nation are continuing to use voodoo modeling to prolong the pandemic stay-hat-home orders.
It’s not voodoo modeling; it’s Democratic politics.
The D’rats know that a senile old molester doesn’t have a prayer of conquering the White House in November. So all they can do is damage Orange Man Bad as best they can. The Dems can’t win, but they can hope that the Repubs lose. And their target is the national economy. Leave that in ruins, and maybe DJT won’t be able to run on the virtues of his economic policies.
Recall that the D’s have already tried this scurrilous trick during the past “shutdowns”. Obama went out of his way to close things which would maximize inconvenience, annoyance and expense for the maximum number of people. Saving money had nothing to do with it; but hoping to pin the blame on the R’s certainly did. Well, that’s what they’re trying to do now, but this time they’re betting far more heavily on it.
What happens in the near future all depends on which party is running a state. Here in MA we don’t have police blockading people in their homes. In fact I’ve seen more foot traffic around here than I’ve ever seen before. But MA, while usually a liberal wasteland, isn’t controlled at the moment by the Dems. Although not a very good Republican, Charlie Baker is no Democrat, and it shows.
Here is another unstated aspect that has the potential for huge ripple effect. Effects that will create irreversible damage.
LA on lockdown. California University system states they will stay with virtual classes in the fall so that means won’t have students on campus. That means no student athletes on campus, which means no College football.
USC is a private University but they are likely to follow the lead of the State. USC is scheduled to play the University of Alabama the first week of the season in Dallas. Will that game be played? Probably not. Bama had a $6 Million payday guarantee but most contracts have an force majeure clause so likely no payday.
For the big time powers of college athletics like Bama, this won’t break them. The SEC as of now, is still planning on playing the season. However, Bama has 3 other non conference opponents in which the opponent is getting $1.5 – $2.0 Million. These opponents are smaller schools which use these kinds of payday games to find their athletic department.
These smaller schools have already lost the NCAA men’s basketball tournament revenue which is the other source of outside revenue they depend on. So can these smaller schools weather the financial loss of the entire 2020 athletic budget?
IMO, no. That will mean these smaller schools will shutter their athletic department. Why? Simple, no revenue to pay for the nonrevenue generating sports. Which is usually all sports expect football and men’s basketball. A very few men’s baseball programs and women’s basketball programs break even or generate small surplus but those are the exception.
Going forward without football this fall means many athletic departments will be forced to shut down. The financing simply isn’t sustainable. So, far fewer schools at the table, the Power 5 conferences will likely use the opportunity to split from the NCAA.
Far less available athletic scholarships for non revenue sports. What will this mean for Title 9? Who knows, really the Power 5 is financially secure so their women’s sports will be fine. The other conferences not so much.
Once some of the Governor’s realize all the implications maybe they will be less willing to shut down their University systems and the economy at large.
“Once some of the Governor’s realize all the implications maybe they will be less willing to shut down their University systems and the economy at large.”
They might be less willing, but they still will be willing because their allegiance belongs to the Socialist-Democrat Party and not even their Alma Mater (if it is even an in-state institution).
Edward,
The box some of these Governors have created pits competing d ideology/ policy preferences/ diversity agendas against each other.
Tank the economy, close down physical presence at your university = no college football = no athletic department revenue = no funds to subsidize money losing sports which is every women’s sport = no ability to retain revenue generating sports (football and men’s basketball) due to title 9 requirements.
Not to mention the additional pressure that closing the campuses will create on Governors. How many businesses does a college town support? A whole bunch. Those owners will certainly make their voice heard. Every Bama home game in Tuscaloosa generate several $ million in revenue. Don’t forget the local tax revenue that would be lost.
Without students physically present many of these schools will be unable to meet their capital obligations for fancy dorms and nifty student centers and the like that students who are unable to use won’t be willing to pay for. Nor will off campus housing be needed nor groceries purchased, nor utilities and on and on….
That is an alignment of folks who could have an impact on some of these decisions.
Update to post.
Apparently the ‘Advocare Classic’ host committee is working to replace USC with TCU as an opponent for Alabama to retain the ability to put on the game and the revenue that comes with for Arlington TX.
Ironically, TCU, is being courted because they are for now, scheduled to play CAL on the same day. So two schools in California will both lose out to TCU, Texas Christian University, because of Governor Newsome’s intransigence.
That’s the unofficial rumor anyhow.
And the rest of the country won’t be bailing them out. Nice knowing you, California.
Never say never.
Many of the virus programs were based on the fatally flawed study coming out of the Imperial College in Great Britain. Its author apparently didn’t even believe in social distancing since his married lover visited him in violation of all the rules he was suggesting. He resigned over the scandal.
Here in Illinois, the mayor of Chicago told everyone they cannot go to a salon for a hair cut, but of course, she got a hair cut because it was important for her as the face of Chicago.
Governor Pritker is warning everyone not to violate his orders and yet his wife flew to Florida while we were all ordered to shelter in place. He became very angry when questioned about it.
The point, of course, is how do you take any of these things seriously when the authors of the studies and orders don’t apply them to themselves and their families? They just appear to be petty tyrants at that point.
Just talked to a friend downstate who works for the school district. No classes in the fall, distance learning by computer, until vaccine, which of course means mandatory vaccination and re-enrollment pending verification of vaccination certificate.
We’re in WA now, likely our schools under Inslee will follow suit. Wish I hadn’t paid my property tax already – a significant portion of that is for school facilities which if they’re not being used, don’t need my funding.
I keep reading that there is no scientific basis for “social distancing”, save possibly a high school science fair project.
No one enforcing a shut down into July will be re-elected in November.
But…if they hadn’t released all those inmates, they wouldn’t have had room to jail people for violating their lockdown orders or anti-social distancing edicts.
Enjoy economic disaster City of Angels, you voted for these fools and thieves.
Well,
The question isn’t how to keep people from dying, it’s how to let them — us — live. Confine people at home, you have more or less half killed a lot of them.
We used to understand confinement as a punishment; taking part of your life away.
I for one am fine with Blue Staters keep their policies in place as long as they keep them to themselves.
And as Red States open up, people doing stuff, opportunities n economy develop there. How about we win that popular vote, then demand that they vote that way … and recite “democracy” and the Natl Popular Vote would-be electoral number, every time, for the entire term.
I’ll never have to watch intentional “entertainment” ever again.
What “evolving data” are they talking about? All the “evolving data” I’m seeing is that this virus is practically harmless to all but the elderly.
I would encourage all the citizens (and illegal aliens) in LA, SF, SD, NYC, and the other blue places to shelter in place and not leave their homes.
That way they won’t come here to deep red flyover country where we didn’t fully close and are opening up and because we weren’t stupid enough to force covid positives into nursing homes we don’t have massive plague deaths.
Oh, and please block out all the roads, as the red states might bring in (as Joe Plante calls it) the Wuhan Red Death. You don’t know that the food and the other stuff might not be contaminated. Better starve than suffer covid!
American Airlines has gone from zero to 8 daily flight out of DFW to LAX! If their locked in then why are we expanding our daily flights to LAX? Commiefornia is so full of Schit….