Even Winning South Carolina Might Not Save Joe Biden
“Texas and other delegate-rich states will hold their contests on Super Tuesday, just three days after South Carolina.”
For months now, Joe Biden and his surrogates have been talking about South Carolina. Joe did poorly in Iowa and New Hampshire, then placed second in Nevada, but South Carolina is his so-called firewall. This is where he is going to win big.
Biden is favored to win this race, but it might not be enough in the end.
Tom Benning reports at the Dallas Morning News:
The former vice president needs a victory in South Carolina — and likely a comfortable one — to re-energize his flagging campaign, which has seen its stock drop amid the rise of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, a Democratic socialist who’s led the way so far on the nomination calendar.
Whether out of desperation or a desire to leave nothing to chance, Biden is going all-in in the Palmetto State.
“This is his first stand, versus his last stand,” said Antjuan Seawright, a Democratic strategist in South Carolina who’s not affiliated with any of the presidential campaigns. “This is the place where this process will recenter itself.”…
He’s leaning into his strong support among the state’s large black community, particularly its older voters who remember him fondly as President Barack Obama’s running mate…
A victory in South Carolina still may not be enough.
Texas and other delegate-rich states will hold their contests on Super Tuesday, just three days after South Carolina. So even if Biden wins the Palmetto State — and even if it’s by a larger margin than expected — many Democrats in upcoming primaries have already cast their ballot.
Even if Biden wins big in South Carolina, his campaign won’t have any time to fundraise off the victory before Super Tuesday. The same goes for media coverage. A win would give them two or three days of headlines and then the news moves on to all the other states.
Tristan Justice of The Federalist notes that while Biden’s poll numbers look good in South Carolina, they aren’t great anywhere else:
According to Real Clear Politics’ latest aggregate of South Carolina polls, Biden currently holds a comfortable lead over he rest of the field with more than 30 percent support followed by Sanders coming in next with almost 23 percent. Billionaire businessman Tom Steyer is in third with 15 percent and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is at 9…
His nationwide frontrunner status is certainly gone. According to Real Clear Politics’ latest aggregate of polls, Sanders now leads the field in nationwide surveys with more than 29 percent support, while the rest of the candidates fall behind. Biden, who led in the national polls all last year is now hanging on to second place with 18 percent support.
According to the Real Clear aggregate in the Super Tuesday states where there is credible polling, Biden isn’t leading anywhere. His best bet is Texas and North Carolina, where Biden only polls barely a few points behind Sanders though former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg looms large in North Carolina in a close third while flooding the airwaves with ad spending compared to Biden’s absence.
Biden could surprise everyone by doing well on Super Tuesday, but if he doesn’t, South Carolina will be old news, even if he did well there.
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Comments
A whole battalion of dog faced lying pony soldiers couldn’t save quid pro joe at this point.
Will the DNC Rig again?????
FYI
Bernie Supporters Show Up At Democrat Official’s House…
The police have been called multiple times now on supporters of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) over a series of protests targeting officials in the Democratic Party. A video posted online Wednesday shows one of these protests by self-styled “Berners,” who showed up late Friday night with a bullhorn and a flashlight at the house of the chair of Nevada’s Democratic Party to issue warnings against conspiring to undermine Sanders in next day’s caucuses….
https://www.weaselzippers.us/444522-watch-bernie-supporters-show-up-at-democrat-officials-house-calls-police-crossed-a-line/
Good one, and I’ll call.
Neither a corps nor an entire army of lying, dogface pony soldiers could save Joe Brains now, pilgrim!
I live in SC an will vote in the open primary on Saturday. I’m conflicted about for whom I should vote. Right now I’m leaning toward Joe because he’s really not up to the task of running for president. If figure if a lot of SC folks vote for him, it’ll encourage him to keep plugging away (heh!) in the primaries. The longer he is in, the more gaffes he’ll make, and the clearer it will be that he’s not well.
Some may say this is spiking the ball, but Joe is a belligerent old creep, and I don’t feel sorry for him at all. He’s stupid, delusional, and corrupt. In other words, he’s a perfect person to be a Democrat candidate for president.
Pass the popcorn.
I would vote for Biden for this reason. The longer Biden stays in the race, the more confusion.
I want the primaries to last as long as possible. The longer they do, the more backbiting. The last debate was just an example of that. The less time they have to focus on Trump.
If it goes to a brokered conventtin there will be some people who are just pissed because their guy didn’t get in, and won’t vote for the other guy.
So when it comes to my state, I am going to vote for the guy I feel is most likely to drag it out and cause confusion. To me right now that seems to be Biden.
Nightmare Chaos: Democrats Plot/Expect a Brokered Convention
The Democrat convention rules require a candidate to get an outright majority of all delgates’ votes on the first ballot, or else it goes to a second ballot, and becomes a so-called “brokered convention.”
And on the second ballot, delegates are permitted to vote for candidates other than those they’re pledged to.
And also — the Establishment “SuperDelegates,” the party hacks and Hillary dependents, get to vote on the second ballot and any subsequent ballots.
Mike Bloomberg has realized he can’t wain the race, at least not by regular delegates. The “Bloomberg Fever” he’d been hoping for failed to infect America.
So instead he’s plotting to stay in the race and come in second place (or, who knows, third or fourth), and try to deny Sanders his first ballot majority. And then convince the SuperDelegates and delegates for other alleged “moderates” to vote for him.
By the way, yeah, I think that Bloomberg’s “arguments” will consist of money changing hands.
LOTS MORE READING THERE ON THIS.
http://acecomments.mu.nu/?post=385961
Considering that report of the DNC’s fears, I think a vote for Bernie would be more strategic.
Ibib.
If Sanders secures a plurality of delegates but loses the nomination on a 2nd ballot, many moderate and progressive Democrats…predict the national convention in Milwaukee would devolve into chaos.
I voted early in the Texas Primary a couple days ago.
I may have voted strategically.
I don’t live in South Carolina, but I couldn’t have said what you did any better. Joe is pure entertainment, and he is the last one to realize it. Trump would shred him in any debate because Joe would provide all the ammunition. It would be almost as cruel as pulling the wings off of fledgling birds. And I would be delighted.
Ber-nie!
Ber-nie!
Ber-nie!
Trump vs. Sanders would be the most entertaining campaign and debate in out lifetime.
Wizards os smart are claiming quid pro joes going to end Super Tuesday with SC Al and Fl. IF they are right that doesn’t look like a comeback
Looks like we need the expertise and talents of the wonderful Jill Biden.
“Doctor Biden, Doctor Biden. Paging Doctor Jill Biden”
“Husband needs your curative powers immediately – Code Blue – Code Blue”
“But, but I’m not a real doctor. I only have a EdD in so-called “educational leadership,” a degree considered by many, myself included, as a phony credential. Despite that, Joe and I pretentiously insist that people address me as ‘Doctor.’ In truth I’m really only qualified to lead 4th graders to play areas for recess.
“But I do excel in my ability to sling it around. My dissertation – Student Retention at the Community College: Meeting Students’ Needs – provides ample proof of that. I filled 136 pages saying nothing that countless others have said countless times before. But if you’re not convinced at my ability to throw it around without saying anything important, let me tell you, you must buy two other books. “The Things That Matter In Life: The Collected Words of Dr. Jill Biden” (see, I got that undeserved title of Doctor in there again). But the Magic of Me doesn’t end there. And now (2019 actually) I’ve written an autobiography, Where the Light Enters: Building a Family, Discovering Myself, documenting my privileged life. You can see for yourself how well I did in building the family by looking at our pride and joy, Hunter Biden.
“And, no, there is no end to my self-adulation.”
Jill is a Doc (quack quack) like Bugs Bunny is a DEM presidential candidate this year.
Imo Dr. Jill is the one who wants Joe to be President. Any caring,normal wife would know that something is not quite right with their husband and immediately recommend stepping out of the race. But not Dr. Jill. he fancies herself as flotus.
Glammed-Up Jill is an accurate descriptor; she’s all show, no substance. Like Joe. Because of her former looks (God-given, not the result of her efforts) she tried her hand at modeling (deep, meaningful stuff, if you peons don’t understand important things), indicating that style and looks are all-important to her. This would explain why Joe has become all-Hollywood (the hair plugs, the chi-chi clothing, the teeth, the Botox, the aviator sunglasses, the Amani shirts with two undone buttons).
The Bidens = contemporary phoniness
While Biden is probably one of the more “sane” choices the Democrats can make for this race with these players, I just don’t see how anyone can feel comfortable choosing him when there are obvious problems going on with him mentally.
Sure, they can be brushed off as gaffes, but he is worse than he as ever been, which doesn’t bode well should he be elected President.
He can only go a day or two without making a blunder if he keeps his mouth shut for that time. He can’t even keep himself from insulting those who might vote for him. There is a real cognitive disconnect with him, and I think the pressures from this campaign will only make it worse for him.
I don’t think President Trump would have a hard time beating him, but you never know, and with all the voter fraud the left does, I don’t want someone as off the wall as Biden is to be “elected”. I could see him getting the country into serious difficulty just through his stupidity and his gaffes.
Botox toxicity or dementia— you decide.
“Even winning”? Joe will not win SC
Watch out who the machine implants as VP —
Well, if it ends up Joe and he picks Harris, the bumper stickers almost write themselves… “CREEPY JOE/WILLIE’S HO – 2020”.
I don’t understand the democrat party elite being worried about bernie.
He’s not a democrat, he’s an independent/commie/socialist/fascist.
Tell him he can’t use the democrat label, can’t run in democrat races and if he wants to become president he needs to get the “Independent” party’s nomination and financial backing.
You are correct on all points.
Final point is Bernie’s already imposed Maximum Damage on the
DEMON-RAT Brand.
I wouldn’t have any problem with this “Operation Chaos” voting if it were only the presidential race on the ballot, but there are lot of down-ballot conservatives being hurt by this essentially meaningless protest voting.
In presidential primaries the presidential race is usually the only race on the ballot. Where do you live that it is not so?
The interesting question is who will really be the President if Quid Pro Joe aka #JoeChina aka Sleepy Joe gets elected to the office. This question was never answered in the Obama administration, who really was the President. It was certainly not the fellow who found things out reading the newspaper like the rest of us. Maybe those shady Russian oligarchs will get a turn if QuidproJoe wins big on SuperTuesday.