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Democrat Ralph Northam Wins Virginia Governor Race

Democrat Ralph Northam Wins Virginia Governor Race

Not that close after all

https://twitter.com/EdWGillespie and https://twitter.com/RalphNortham

CNN, AP, NBC News have called the Virginia governor race for Democrat Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam in the past few days over Republican Ed Gillespie, 51% to 48%. From NBC News:

Both national parties have spent millions of dollars in Virginia and are closely watching it as an early barometer of the political climate and test of campaign tactics in the first major election since Donald Trump’s unexpected victory last year.

Northam, an Army veteran and pediatric neurologist who serves as the state’s lieutenant governor, struggled to capitalize on his ad-ready biography as the race descended into a nasty culture war. Popular Democrat Gov. Terry McAuliffe is term-limited.

Gillespie is a former lobbyist and Republican National Committee chairman who seemed surprisingly adept at navigating the troubled waters of the Trump-era GOP, with a message aimed at the president’s voters and a biography that has helped keep establishment Republicans onboard.

8:12 PM: AP, NBC News, CNN have called it for Northam:

7:49PM:

7:09PM: Could this be a sign for a long night?

The polls have officially closed.

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Comments

DINORightMarie | November 7, 2017 at 7:04 pm

It’s been raining all day in NoVA. Let’s hope the Dem leftists stayed home!

And, I am hoping that the Hampton U polling was the more accurate one……another four years in VA with a leftist fascist (which is what I consider McAuliffe and Northam both!) and VA will be cooked.

Neither state is a ‘bell weather’… Both are left leaning big govt….they’ll go demo-rats… VA is the swamp, NJ is sunk

    MarkSmith in reply to Ragspierre. | November 7, 2017 at 10:02 pm

    Ed is so tightly wound to RNC that him trying to hitch a ride on the Trump train is laughable. Ed has not done well in the past, so why would it be expected he would do better.

    The Northern VA area is so stupidly on the government gravely train that they will never vote for a republican unless the democrat is so bad. Ed was a marginal character. Shoot, Virginia has been messed up ever since Jefferson was governor. A close look at NVA and Richmond and you will see that he got killed.

    Richmond:

    Ralph S. Northam
    Democratic 58,800 81.65%
    Edward W. “Ed” Gillespie
    Republican 12,263 17.03%

    Loudon:

    Ralph S. Northam
    Democratic 69,710 59.43%
    Edward W. “Ed” Gillespie
    Republican 46,278 39.46%

    Fairfax

    Ralph S. Northam
    Democratic 222,704 67.54%
    Edward W. “Ed” Gillespie
    Republican 103,688 31.44%

    Arlington:

    Ralph S. Northam
    Democratic 68,315 80.07%
    Edward W. “Ed” Gillespie
    Republican 16,160 18.94%

    He need to be pulling closer to 40% in all those areas combine to even come close.

    What is funny is the media was spinning this as a close race just to suck you in to thinking this was “The Trump” bell weather race. As Maxmillion said, it was a foregone conclusion.

    The good news is the pollsters will claim they projected this, but it really gives them on credibility and I am betting they will get 2018 wrong.

In both VA and NJ, it looks like a big night for the Collective. Looks like VA, especially, is going Blue.

Maybe those predictions of T-rumpian glory were…stupid…

    It ain’t the first time I was wrong.
    Ain’t gonna be the last.
    But, I don’t take it too seriously.

    Dr. Ransom in reply to Ragspierre. | November 7, 2017 at 9:35 pm

    “going blue”? It already was blue. But I know how much Never Trumpers like to invent alternate realities, where they can actually say “I told you so”, since they have so repeatedly been proven wrong.

    MarkSmith in reply to Ragspierre. | November 7, 2017 at 10:05 pm

    It was already, so I am not sure it is a big night for them.

    Or maybe running a NeverTrumper like Gillespie was again a recipe for failure. Especially when you’re in a population of government swamp dwellers.

    Or just maybe running a NeverTrumper like Gillespie was again a recipe for failure. Especially when you’re in a population of government swamp dwellers.

Neither races were a surprise, both blue states, nothing burger

Boy did I ever call that one wrong.
I thought Ed would do ok.

This was a foregone conclusion. If they still had a sane electorate in Virginia they wouldn’t have gone for Hillary in 2016 and would never have elected the likes of McAuliffe.

Paul In Sweden | November 8, 2017 at 1:50 am

Ed Gillespie was tied to George W. Bush, The Bush Dynasty and the GOPe. It should be clear to all by now that those days are over. Let us look forwards towards the Alabama Special Elections and Judge Roy Moore after that it is on to primary mid-terms. Bannon’s truce did not cover Mitch McConnell and his GOPestablishment ilk.

So the Democrats FINALLY win something eh. Watch for everyone in the media proclaiming America just woke up and this is the end for Republicans hahahahahaha

Paul In Sweden | November 8, 2017 at 2:32 am

Will we see calls for a Special Prosecutor into the Russian ‘Bots’ Interference discovered by the Democrats in the Virginia Elections?

We got slaughtered.

Might end up losing the Assembly too – we’ve held about 2/3 of the seats there for decades. Right now, of the 100 seats, D’s have 48, R’s 47, with the remaining 5 still too close to call (R slightly ahead in 3, D the other 2).

I voted. Didn’t help much. Even got to vote against that Satanist Pedophile Freakshow calling itself “Danica” Roem. That thing won by 10 points.

Ooof!!

I’ve been in the State 10 years now. The national Republican Party seems to have abandoned us 8 years ago. All they seem to do now is heckle us from the peanut gallery.

Only saving grace is that none of the State Senate seats were up this cycle. We still hold a 21-19 advantage there.

    MarkSmith in reply to Aarradin. | November 8, 2017 at 6:32 am

    I hated the personal property tax when I lived in VA. All the rich people with expensive cars registered their cars out of state to avoid it. Va has become like Maryland, New Your, California and Michigan where large pockets of the liberals live control the whole region and state.

    Things like felon voters or illegals would not have changed this. Until the Republicans can figure out how to get those under 100K inter city voters they are going to keep getting killed. Established Republicans are a liability, not an asset.

Who was the MOW-ron on another thread that was stomping around saying that the Quinnipiac poll was nonsense?

Yeah. The poll was more credible than the MOW-ron poster…

    MarkSmith in reply to Ragspierre. | November 8, 2017 at 9:01 am

    Even if he did embrace Trump, I doubt he would have won. Too many Beltway Bandits welfare in NVA. If Trump wants to win he needs to move those contracts way from the DC area.

    Trump is trolling, which you fell you. It is interesting how he rules your brain.

      Ragspierre in reply to MarkSmith. | November 8, 2017 at 9:07 am

      It’s interesting that you’ll excuse any manifestation of his pathological narcissism. It’s very like the Hollywood excuses of Weinstein’s behavior.

      I rule my brain, unlike the cultist of the Great Goad Cheeto. What you hate is that I observe and oppose.

        MarkSmith in reply to Ragspierre. | November 8, 2017 at 12:20 pm

        My sides hurt from laughing so hard. Not sure who is a bigger narcissist, the Bonehead Jacobin or Trump. It is obvious that Trump’s statement was meant to troll and you fell for it. Keep it up. It’s like watching a dog chase his tail.

        I better be careful or someone is going to charge me with animal cruelty.

        VaGentleman in reply to Ragspierre. | November 8, 2017 at 3:04 pm

        rags,
        I think it’s time we put your ‘great go(a)d cheeto’ BS to rest. Trump supporters had a rational reason for supporting him – he was the better choice. Compared to Hillary, he was Reagan on steroids. They continue to support him for the same reason. They support him for logical, practical reasons – no divinity required.

        You, OTOH, can’t offer one logical reason why letting Hillary win was better for conservatives. Not one. And you’ve had a year to come up with one. That means that your position is illogical – absent logic. That leaves you nothing but attacks on his supporters. We can support him without making him a ‘cheeto headed god’, but you can’t oppose him without making him a ‘cheeto headed satan’. Our argument holds without a divine Trump, but your fallacious argument is exposed without a satanic Trump. You’re the one who invented the ‘Great Goad Cheeto’, because you have nothing else to offer. It’s a sign of your weakness, not our stupidity.

        FWIW, it’s easy to prove me wrong – just give a logical reason why electing Hillary was better for conservatives.

          Ragspierre in reply to VaGentleman. | November 9, 2017 at 9:30 am

          No.

          I don’t vote for the unfit. And both were, and still are, manifestly unfit for the office.

          And just read any thread here were I comment on anything T-rump, and you’ll see who attacks, and the almighty religious zealotry that’s apparent.

          Of course, it isn’t just me. ANY departure from the T-rumpian dogma is immediately set upon by the cult’s ThoughtPolicemen, such that these comment threads have just ALMOST completely become remarkably stupid echo-chambers. I suspect that many who read here are loath to comment openly and express opinions after witnessing the T-rumpian enforcers at work.

          VaGentleman in reply to VaGentleman. | November 10, 2017 at 9:49 am

          rags rote:
          I don’t vote for the unfit.

          That’s a stupid position to take.
          There are times when you should.
          This election was one of them.

          And just read any thread here were I comment on anything T-rump, and you’ll see who attacks, and the almighty religious zealotry that’s apparent.

          2 questions:

          How do you discern the ‘cheeto goad’ (religious zealotry) supporters from those who defend him because they firmly believe he was the better choice? Or is anyone who defends him a ‘religious zealot’?

          Do you think that the insults and name calling you use in your comments have any bearing on the type of answer you get in return?

Rags, I love how funny you think it is that VA is turning purple. Just wait until the liberal bastions of Texas (Houston, San Antonio, Austin) turn the last great state of conservatism into the same thing. You won’t be singing your stupid cackles then.

Neither of these races was even thought to be close except by the online pundits who need new fodder for their articles. Did anyone who has kept up with Gillespie’s career think that he would inspire anyone to vote for him that might not have wanted to? The guy made Jeb Bush look exciting! NJ? Come on, did anyone on the planet think for one minute that the lady R would win? Only online forums tried to make this into a bellwether for future elections. A spate of phony polls showing Gillespie ahead were just that, phony. For any new candidates that are thinking about running in the future, they may want to consider running as a “Swamp Drainer” and not a business as usual candidate such as Gillespie.

My daughter in Fairfax County reports she has never seen a Republican handing out voter information before an election or at the polls. She has tried to connect with Republicans in the area as a volunteer. They will accept money but there is no local organization interested in actual people. Meanwhile, she was deluged with Dem literature in the past two weeks.

If you don’t want to win very much, it’s not surprising when you don’t win.

    VaGentleman in reply to tarheelkate. | November 8, 2017 at 11:45 am

    Exactly right. The republicans are non existent here in NOVA. In my area, the dem candidate for state house runs unopposed. The dem for US house runs unopposed. The state party is still smarting over the injustice of Eric Cantor’s defeat, and refuses to work with conservatives. It’s amazing they have held on as long as they have.

I do not think this win by a dumbacrat foretells anything. First, the GOP candidate is not a strong show being an establishment holdover. Second, Virginia is riddled with left wing types who are not going to give up their destructive behavior that easily.

Look at it from the federal employee residents point in NVA. Would you vote for someone who has declared to “Drain the swamp” with the swamp being your job? Gillespie never had a chance with or without Trump. I was surprised by Sabato saying that this is all anti-Trump and the backlash will get worse. I believe he is wrong as he was on election night.

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