Election Day 2016 Morning – Awaiting Hillary Clinton’s Historic Victory
Morning Joe: “there are some questions as to what Donald Trump might do if he loses”
Today we will have posts at key points during the day and evening retracing the 2016 presidential election day, ending with the late night stunner.
Coming into the day, it wasn’t supposed to be close. For months the demise of Donald Trump was predicted. This video compilation is pretty amazing, in hindsight:
Over the summer and into October, Hillary fans figured she had it in the bag. And so did the crew at Rachel Maddow’s show, but I repeat myself.
As election day approached, there was confidence and elation from Never Trump Republicans and Democrats that Hillary would win big:
In late October 2016, Hillary wished “Happy birthday to this future president,” with a photo of herself as a child.
In his final forecast, Nate Silver gave Hillary a 72% chance of winning:
The NY Times gave Hillary an 85% chance of winning.
You can scroll through over a dozen other predictions from major polling and analysis groups. They all predicted a Hillary win.
On the morning of election day, the Clinton confidence continued.
Hillary was greeted by cheers when she went to vote that morning:
Manhattan dwellers booed Donald Trump as he arrived to cast his vote:
https://twitter.com/AnupKaphle/status/796020757965000705
But the day was young. And he who laughs last, laughs best.
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Comments
The schadenfreude is overwhelming me right now!
And thanks to the Professor for this compilation. So much fun to watch these smug, arrogant know-nothings crash and burn. I have to say that I reluctantly voted for Trump (Cruz was my guy), but I like him more and more as time goes on.
… and yet, a year later, we still have no reasonable explanation as to why so many of the polls were showing a Hillary ‘blow out’, save wishful thing.
Actually, I think it’s largely a myth that polls were vastly inaccurate showing Hillary’s blow-out. RCP final average was 3.2%, not that different from the final 2.1% in favor of Hillary. So, with the exception of a couple of state polls (which have always been all over the place), polling really wasn’t that much off.
What was way off, however, the interpretation and the presentation of poll results. For example, there were two polls just a few days before the election in Pennsylvania — one showed a tie, and the other had Trump winning by a single point. Yet, those polls were never mentioned by the MSM and the false narrative about Hillary’s substantial poll lead in Pa continued. There was a poll in Michigan two days before the election showing Trump winning by 2% — never mentioned.
I remember Nate Silver and the others predicting a 97% chance of her winning right up till the end when they started to prevaricate like they always do to cover their backsides. As you suggest, the main purpose of the polls is to manipulate voters.
The Podesta emails revealed that the Hillary campaign was working hard to carefully massage some poll numbers. They could dial up or down the numbers by over- and under- sampling various demographics. Oversample latino women and you would show Clinton doing better than a truly random sample.
What we don’t know and probably never will know is which of the polls reported by the media had been massaged in such a fashion.
Ah the memories. I attended a Bonnie Raitt show in downtown Austin on election night. I figured I’d hear a bunch of progressive gloating, but I’m used to them since I live here (sometimes I feel like a zoo-keeper). But I love Bonnie’s music so we went.
Well it was glorious, there were people crying and moping around and acting like it was the end of the world. It was like being caught out in a rainstorm except it was liberal tears coming down.
On the bright side, you are close to the good bbq in Lockhart. I’m not sure that would be a big enough plus to make me live in Austin, but to each his own.
I’m REAL close to the best BBQ around… it’s on my patio.
A year later … and still the best election ever.
Some elections are just a bigger deal than others … 1800 (Jefferson or Burr vs. John Adams)… 1864 (Lincoln vs. McClellan) … 2016 (Trump vs. the Mask of Evil).
A good election never gets old.
I just looked again at last year’s post-election Christmas video—the one with the animated dancing reindeer—and have been humming the accompanying jingle pretty much all night …
“It’s the most wonderful time …
… in eight years …”
For many Americans it was the WORST election ever, and election eve was uninteresting, since the crap sandwiches the primary process had served up were both just crap.
rags,
the fact that you and the other Hillary supporters hated the results is what made it the best ever.
I think the evidence is pretty clear that most of us don’t buy into your fantasy world, where sitting home pouting because you didn’t like the choices was the smart thing to do. Real adults and real conservatives made the best choice they could. That’s how elections work. You’ll have a chance to show your brilliance in the next presidential primary season. And we will remember your insulting behavior and name calling when we evaluate your candidate. Until then, I guess you’ll just have to keep celebrating every liberal victory.
Same old VaPigman telling the same old lies.
My position here has never changed, lying SOS. I NEVER supported Hellary, and you know it. BUT you’ll chant ANY lie(S) to try to smear me.
To the Stalinist goon ends of shutting me up or discrediting me.
I won’t join your cult. I made a set of very objective choices, and determined that Mr. Establishment was a liar, fraud, and demagogue. So did several of the LI authors, not ONE of whom you dare attack.
What a coward.
rags,
Fact: Hillary knew that, if she defeated Trump, she would win the election. Her supporters knew that if Trump lost, Hillary would win. For that reason, they worked hard to defeat Trump. History shows that they were right. Had Trump lost, she would be president.
You knew that, if she defeated Trump, she would win the election. Knowing that, you worked hard to defeat Trump. You made a choice that defeating Trump was worth the price of a Hillary presidency. Not voting for either of them didn’t change the fact that one of them would win. Because one of them would win, what hurt one helped the other. You chose her.
Since one would win, the only rational justification for not voting for either would be if there was no difference between them. That who won didn’t matter. Again, history shows that is false. Even Trump’s conservative critics admit that he has done a good job in areas like judicial nominations (to name one). Are you claiming we would be equally happy with Hillary’s appointments? If you can’t claim that, and justify it, then you are admitting that they are not equal. And, if you like his judicial appointments, you are admitting that he was the better choice. And, if he was the better choice, all your posturing and posting for the last year becomes irrelevant. That who won did matter. That we are better off because he won. That you were wrong. You can’t handle that #reality, can you?
Same old crap. Same old lies.
Same old “killer” questions that have been answered…what?…twenty times now, at least.
Neither person was/is fit to be POTUS. I don’t vote for the unfit.
And that just knots your thong SOOOOOOOoooooooooo bad…!!!
rags,
Let me point out that you haven’t supplied any facts or logic to refute the arguments I presented. Like any other 5 year old, you just repeat that you are right and call me names. Your arrested development is sad.
And here – a year later – we’re still waiting for Hillary to get convicted of any of her crimes. The fix is still in.
Successful prosecution for large-scale financial crimes absolutely requires time and quiet. I want to see convictions. I’ll wait.
If you want entertainment, read up on the Duke LaCross case and the Freddie Gray case. Grandstanding by prosecutors tends to be very popular during an era of trial by fury, ineffective for bringing in convictions of the right people, and very, very bad for the careers of the prosecutors.
The leader of the world, speaking.
President Trump Delivers a Speech to the National Assembly Republic of Korea
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cZyFRzV1JNY
Outstanding speech. I’m sure it will receive no positive coverage.
Thank GOD there is no “President Hillary”!!!
I wish I could “Thumbs Up” more than only once!
The only thing I still don’t understand about the election is … why was Hillary’s Excellent Fireworks Extravaganza canceled?
I wondered about that.
It could be the PBS NOVA new project: The Strange Journey of Hillary’s Fireworks.