56% of independents approve.
A Politico/Morning Consult poll has found that the majority of voters support President Donald Trump’s travel order. Politico reported:
Asked whether they support or oppose the State Department’s “new guidelines which say visa applicants from six predominately Muslim countries must prove a close family relationship with a U.S. resident in order to enter the country,” 60 percent of voters say they support the guidelines, and only 28 percent oppose them.
The POLITICO/Morning Consult question doesn’t mention Trump, nor does it refer to the president’s executive orders on immigration. That contrasts with other polls, which mostly show greater opposition to the policy. An Associated Press-NORC Center poll last month showed a 57-percent majority of Americans thought courts were acting rightly in blocking the travel ban. That was conducted before the Supreme Court’s per curiam decision last week to let some elements of the ban go into effect while the high court waits to hear the case in the fall.
The poll found that 84% of Republicans polled support the order and 9% oppose it.
41% of the Democrats in the poll support the order while 46% oppose it.
But the poll showed that 56% of the independents polled support the order compared to 30% who oppose.
Morning Consult Chief Research Officer and co-founder Kyle Dropp stated that they have “seen a drop in those who oppose the executive order” since they “last asked about” the travel order. But they have also found a rise “in those who do not have any opinion on the matter or have yet to settle on one.”
The travel order policy, as Professor Jacobson wrote, that the Supreme Court “lifted the injunctions, except to persons who already have a bona fide connection to the U.S” with a major point:
I think it’s also important to point out that the Supreme Court Order does not mean that all persons with a bona fide connection must be admitted to the U.S., it’s just that they can’t be summarily excluded based on a country-wide prohibition.
The Politico poll showed that those voters supported possible exemptions:
Though the poll shows solid support for the ban, it also suggests voters are open to broader exemptions for visitors from those countries who have family living in the United States than the ones outlined by the State Department. Eighty percent of voters think travelers from those six countries should be admitted to the U.S. if they have a parent living in America, and 78 percent think they should be admitted to join a spouse or child in the country; all three are permitted under the directive.
Nearly three-quarters, 73 percent, think travelers with a sibling in the U.S. should be admitted, which the policy allows. Sixty-seven percent think travelers with a grandparent in the country should be admitted, though the policy allows neither grandparents nor grandchildren from claiming those relationships to obtain a visa.
The policy allows travelers from the six countries to enter if they have a parent, parent-in-law, spouse, child, adult son or daughter, son-in-law, daughter-in-law, sibling, or half sibling, including step relationships, in the country.
Polls Before Supreme Court Order
A Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll from late January found a slim majority for a travel order:
The Jan. 30-31 poll found that 49 percent of American adults said they either ‘strongly’ or ‘somewhat’ agreed with Trump’s order, while 41 percent ‘strongly’ or ‘somewhat’ disagreed and another 10 percent said they don’t know.
But the responses were split almost entirely along party lines. Some 53 percent of Democrats said they ‘strongly disagree’ with Trump’s action while 51 percent of Republicans said they ‘strongly agree.’
The Reuters/Ipsos poll found 31 percent of Americans feel ‘more safe’ because of the ban, compared with 26 percent who said they felt ‘less safe.’
Some 38 percent said they felt the United States was setting ‘a good example’ of how best to confront terrorism, while 41 percent said the country was setting ‘a bad example.’
On February 3, a CNN/ORC poll found that the majority of Americans opposed the travel order:
Fifty-five percent say they see it as an attempt to ban Muslims from entering the US. Further, 6 in 10 oppose Trump’s plan to build a wall along the border with Mexico.
Overall, 47% say they favor the executive order on travel, which prohibits entry to the US for 90 days by citizens of seven majority-Muslim countries while suspending the US refugee program for 120 days and reducing the total number of refugees the US will accept this year. A majority, 53%, say they oppose the order. Those who favor the ban say by a 2-to-1 margin that they would like to see it expanded to other countries.
Yet, on February 8, a Politico/Morning Consult poll found the opposite. From U.S. News:
According to the survey, 54 percent support the president’s executive order barring people from seven Muslim-majority nations from traveling to the U.S. and just 38 percent said they oppose it.
The results, which were rounded off, include 35 percent who say they “strongly” support the president’s action and 20 percent who say they “somewhat” approve. Respondents were sharply divided along party lines.
Just 28 percent of Democrats say they strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s executive order, which prohibits most citizens from Iran, Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen from traveling to the U.S. for 90 days, and halts the refugee program for 120 days.
As Politico mentioned, the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research discovered in their poll that most sided with the courts that tried to block the travel order:
Fifty-seven percent of Americans say the courts have acted correctly by blocking the travel ban from taking effect, while 39 percent say the judges are wrongly interfering. The poll shows a sharp partisan divide: 82 percent of Democrats say the courts acted rightly, while 73 percent of Republicans say they’re wrongly interfering.
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