I love my husband, but he is one of the “doom-and-gloomers” who insists Hillary Clinton will win in November, and in a landslide if the GOP candidate is Donald Trump.
This post is my response to him, and all the other naysayers and pessimists out there I see in social media. There are a myriad of reasons any Republican candidate can win in the end.
In light of recent developments in California, however, I would like to focus why Donald Trump specifically can achieve a glorious victory over Hillary Clinton this fall. I promise to prepare another, similar post if the summer conventions generate an alternative electoral battle combination.
My case will begin with some remarks my hairstylist made this week, during my regular hair-coloring session.
I know a lot of people who are planning to vote for Trump. Some remember him from his TV show, and really like what he did there. And one guy said to me, “I am willing to give him four years. He can’t be worse than the regular politicians who have been President the last few times.
Trump hosted 14 seasons of “The Apprentice”, which has been an extremely popular television show. So, millions of “low information voters” have already seen Trump without a mainstream media filter and have made-up their minds about him….for good or bad. A gang of Mexican-flag-waving thugs or stuffy political intellectuals will really not sway them.
And I suspect that while many American will be ambivalent about supporting Trump until Election Day, in the privacy of the voting booth, will come to the same conclusion as my hairstylist’s customer: Why not give the non-politician 4 years?
Secondly, as Democratic Party strategist Dave “Mudcat” Saunders notes: Trump will beat Clinton like a baby seal:
“I know a ton of Democrats — male, female, black and white — here [in southern Virginia] who are going to vote for Trump. It’s all because of economic reasons. It’s because of his populist message,” Mudcat told The Daily Caller Wednesday.“Working class whites in the South have already departed the Democratic Party for cultural reasons. Well the working class whites in the North are now deserting the Democrats because of economic reasons,” Mudcat told TheDC. He added, “this is the new age of economic populism, man. This is about survival for a lot of people.”
My third reason for feeling optimistic about the results of a Trump/Clinton cage match? Saunders’ words about Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders and his supporters comport with my observations about fellow Democrats. That is, Sanders people will make jump to Trump. Another political analyst concurs with us both.
“Trump’s an outsider but he’s been very, very successful,” Dominic Dyer, fellow at networking organization The British American Project and Council, told CNBC Friday.”Yes this campaign’s been based on fear and prejudice to a degree, but (Trump) has gone in right on those trade issues, the issues that really worry a lot of working class Americans about the fact that they’re working harder for less today. That resonates with the Bernie Sanders campaign as well.”…”And I have no doubt, that some of the grand swell of support that’s gone to Bernie Sanders could move over to Trump and I don’t think we should underestimate the impact of that,” Dyer said, adding that he believed this trend was already emerging.
Furthermore, you can’t discount the pure gold that is Hillary’s dislikablity factor. Progressive icon Susan Sarandon has said she prefers Trump.
Many Sanders supporters will stay home in November. A friend of mine who is an Uber driver talks to the young people he chauffeurs, and often the topic turns to the upcoming election. Nearly all of the #FeelTheBern-supporting millennials say that they will sit out this election if Clinton is the nominee.
Their arguments are summed up in this Facebook post, captured in a thread I was following:
When Bill Clinton’s stump speech to this block of voters is to blame them for Democratic Party defeats in 2010 and 2014, I bet their attitude toward his wife won’t improve before November, either!
Finally, never forget that Superdelegates are the only reason Clinton is not in a more embarrassingly close race with Sanders now. There will no such saviors in the fall.
Again, the post is not offered as reasons to vote for Trump in an upcoming primary. I still urge everyone to vote their consciences. I simply wanted to offer counterarguments to the “doom and gloom” scenarios I see for this particular match-up.
I am and remain #NeverHillary. There are many reasons to be optimistic now and through the election cycle…and I intend to hold onto to each and every one of them until the end.
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