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Dear Fellow Upstate NYers – I’m voting Cruz on April 19, here’s why

Dear Fellow Upstate NYers – I’m voting Cruz on April 19, here’s why

Upstaters deserve to be angry, but not to have their anger manipulated.

It’s not often that a Republican presidential primary in New York matters.

This year it does. It’s a time for choosing, to paraphrase Ronald Reagan. The choice is between Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, though John Kasich is on the ballot too. The real race to the nomination has been Trump v. Cruz for at least several weeks and it is likely to remain that way.

Faced with that choice, it’s easy.

Legal Insurrection started in October 2008 in anticipation of the Obama presidency. We were part of the Tea Party movement (though aligned with no specific group) since the beginning. We worked hard through Operation Counterweight and campaign coverage to find and elect candidates who would push the window towards conservatism. Sometimes we were disappointed once they took office, but the window opened wider.

Slowly, over multiple election cycles, the freedom-loving Tea Party agenda of smaller government and individual liberty took hold. We took back the House and the Senate on the enthusiasm of grassroots activists and people (like me) who never had been involved in politics before. Some of the Tea Party fundraising groups took advantage of the movement for their own gain, but by and large it was a movement of the people against creeping government control of every single aspect of our lives, embodied most poignantly in Obamacare.

We had enemies. The Democrats smeared us, and so did the Republican establishment. I’m angrier at people in the Republican Party who attacked the Tea Party than I am at the Democrats.

While we had many disappointments along the way, and the movement no longer looks anything like it looked in 2009-2010, we accomplished a lot. Not enough, but a lot. That some in the House and Senate turned out to be disappointments, and that entrenched power was more entrenched than we thought, does not change the fact that a Tea Party supporting candidate is now one of the two remaining choices as we head to the July Convention.

That we did not accomplish everything, does not mean we didn’t accomplish anything. It took seven years. Let’s not throw it all away on someone who believes in big government, albeit big government he thinks he can run better.

Even more was accomplished at the state and local level. We took back state houses, legislatures, attorney general offices, and through that, redistricting. This hard work over many years was the true legal insurrection, as one commenter recently noted.

I remember who stood with us and who didn’t. Ted Cruz ran for Senate on a Tea Party platform and stood with us.

Donald Trump was nowhere to be found. He was too busy buying political favors from the Democrats and establishment Republicans who stood against us.

There is nothing in Trump’s history to suggest his new platforms are genuine, or that he actually cares about the people who turn out in droves to his rallies. The legitimate anger many people feel over loss of country and jobs will be even more severe once they realize that their emotions have been manipulated by a master showman and supportive media.

I often hear Trump-supporting media claim that Cruz and other candidates are beholden to the “donor class,” as if only a billionaire who can self-fund is somehow pure.

Donald Trump is the donor in donor class; he is the thing Trump supporters supposedly are against. That Trump has convinced so many people that only someone who spent his life buying political favors can save us from people who buy political favors reflects one of the great marketing feats of all time.

The people of Upstate New York have seen jobs flee because of liberal policies that chase businesses away and crush family businesses and farms. Liberal college towns like Ithaca thrive, while factories and jobs flee from the rest of Upstate. People deserve to be angry here, but they do not deserve to have their plight manipulated.

There are many other reasons I could cite why I do not support Trump. Others have done that, though I do not like the demeaning tone displayed by some people.

Cruz also is not free from criticism. No shock, a politician is not perfect. This is not about hero worship or cult of personality. It’s about the choice in front of us.

Donald Trump will win the New York Primary. Whether he sweeps or nearly sweeps the delegates is less certain. Every vote matters.

My choice is easy.


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Well stated, Professor. I hope other New Yorkers will vote as you do.

Good choice. I voted for Cruz in Texas.

I am thinking that since Trump is attracting some Democrats, but they had to change their party affiliation last October(?), that many of those who support Trump may find themselves unable to vote for him. As we know, is son and daughter can’t, because they didn’t register as Republicans early enough. Is this going to be a systemic problem?

So, if Trump doesn’t have a massive blowout win, because his followers didn’t read the rule book (again…) will that be Ted Cruz’ fault, too?

I will be voting for Ted Cruz in Dutchess County on Tuesday.

I wonder if there’ll be anyone taking exception to this post?


I can’t decide which sentence is the money quote. Well put.

When LI came out for Newt, I was disappointed, because I think the biggest issue we face is the size of the federal government, and Newt is a big government guy. The deficit is the second biggest issue, which will take care of itself when the size of government shrinks. Cruz is much more likely to correct those two things.

I’m surprised by the support of Trump by the upstate. When I lived there, the animosity toward the City was huge.

    gospace in reply to windbag. | April 17, 2016 at 10:14 pm

    I honestly don’t know what CNY Republican voters they’re polling. I don’t know any Republican planning on voting for Trump. But then, all my friends are conservative more then Republican. And actually pay attention to issues more then once every 4 years. If I know anyone voting for Trump, they’re keeping it on the down low.

Donald Douglas | April 17, 2016 at 9:18 pm

I really like Ted Cruz.

Nice piece, William!

I can’t vote for a few more weeks. But I am super excited that the Nebraska primary will actually mean something this year. Normally our primary is so late the candidate has already been decided before we even head to the ballot box. This year appears different and I will also vote Cruz when my turn comes.

Well thought out and sincere, Professor.

In New York City, an absentee voter can walk into the Board of Elections office and cast an actual ballot which is put into a box till election day. It took them a while to find a Republican ballot, and they had to re-read the instructions before instructing me, but in the end I was successful and Ted got at least one vote in Queens.

Hopefully someone on Trump’s staff will relay your excellent arguments, convince him that it’s not really rigged, it’s truly the will of the people.

    gospace in reply to Chicklet. | April 17, 2016 at 10:10 pm

    If you’re from Queens you may have added a full percentage point to Republican primary voters in your district.

      Milhouse in reply to gospace. | April 18, 2016 at 12:56 am

      I’m in Brooklyn. If turnout this year is the same as in 2012, 640 votes in my district will be enough for a delegate, and 1600 votes will be enough for all three. And I doubt much polling has been done down here.

    Avraham in reply to Chicklet. | April 17, 2016 at 11:45 pm

    Same upstate. As I’m flying to Israel for Pesach tomorrow, I absentee voted a couple of weeks ago.

Will be posting a link to this on my facebook page as soon as I’m done writing this comment, and then again tomorrow. 2 days to the NY Primary.

BTW, if you hit Shift-2 it doesn’t capitalize the 2….. Just had to add that.

I still feel even if Trump fails to come within striking distance of the 1237 delegates, and fails to win 1237 votes on the first ballot, in return for Trump’s support, Cruz should offer him his VP position and call upon the U.S. Supreme Court to address the issue of his own eligibility — just as he has already offered to do.

    gmac124 in reply to davidfarrar. | April 17, 2016 at 11:28 pm

    Why would Cruz offer the VP to Trump? For one I don’t think Trump would accept or want anything to do with it. For another it depends on the opponent and what is needed against them. I don’t see Trump being a help against either D candidate.

    Matt_SE in reply to davidfarrar. | April 17, 2016 at 11:40 pm

    That bridge got burned with Wifegate and the National Enquirer smear. Some tactics are beyond the pale, and shouldn’t be forgiven.

    sdharms in reply to davidfarrar. | April 18, 2016 at 6:08 am

    I don’t want Trump anywhere near the Presidency, and certainly not “a heart beat away”. Trump has no principles (name one), no policies (name one, “build a wall” is not a policy) and no diplomatic skills (give one example, and “you are ugly and your mother dresses you funny” is not a diplomatic skill). “turn the other cheek” does not mean offer up your juglar vein.

    Estragon in reply to davidfarrar. | April 18, 2016 at 8:50 am

    Putting Trump on the ticket would be about the only conceivable choice that would make me hesitate to vote for Cruz in November. Trump is a man of little knowledge and low character, utterly unfit for office. To pick him would call any candidate’s judgement into question.

Ted Cruz facebook page just linked to this post. 🙂

I am not in NY, but I am in another blue state, Maryland, and our vote is Apr 26th. And, like NY, it is expected to go Trump big time. And yet, I am as eager to cast my vote as I have ever been, for Cruz of course.

I was not yet a citizen in 1980 or 1984, so this is first time I can cast my vote without any reservations, for someone who is a true conservative. That the other choice is someone like Trump, a disease afflicting the party, makes it just so much easier.

“Donald Trump is the donor in donor class; he is the thing Trump supporters supposedly are against.” And is anyone else wondering how many of his prominent supporters have gotten a donation of some kind?

We know he likes to list free rounds of golf as “charity” on his tax returns. How many of his media cheerleaders have gotten special deals at Mar-a-Lago? Did some endorsers see gifts going to their institutions? They can rationalize that the money is going to a good cause, not directly into their own pockets, so they might feel that it’s not too unsavory to do something helpful in return.

Trump is demonstrably not open-handed with his own cash, except to fund the tacky gaudiness he surrounds himself with. When he opens his (or rather, his foundation’s) wallet, he’s probably expecting a big payoff for himself.

I voted absentee for Cruz in the Professor’s adopted home town of Ithaca NY. I know a number of upstate NY Tea Party types who are supporting Trump. Carl Paladino, who won the GOP nomination for Governor with Tea Party support and ran against King Andrew in 2010, is a major Trumpster and is using his organization to rally the forces while at the same time, our establishment-loving Congressman Tom Reed and a Tea Party type who is trying to get on the ballot to challenge the Congressman, Garry Perry, have both endorsed Trump. Go figure. The more Trump lies about “lying Ted” and the more he blames everyone but himself because he didn’t bother to compete effectively for delegates in Colorado and elsewhere, the harder I am finding it to maintain my position that I will support Trump if he wins the nomination. I am still there but find myself disliking Trump more by the day (but still not as much as I abhor Hillary.)

I’m not expecting a lot out of NY, but if Trump is held below 50% statewide I’ll be very happy.

Cruz has put in the work, stayed true to his constituency. He believes in limited government and constitutional conservatism. I know he isn’t perfect, but I think he’s the best candidate left. I too think Trump is a manipulator, something I have seen in other lesser governments in the world. Statism is not the answer. I see Trump as another big government statist, overconfident in the ability of govermnment to solve our problems. We desperately need someone to rein in the size and scope of the federal government, and Cruz is the only one to even mention it.

Cheerful in Marin | April 18, 2016 at 12:00 am

I first became a loyal reader in ’08, drawn to LI as a fellow Newt supporter. I’ve supported Ted Cruz since he announced last year, but remained open to other candidates in the early months. Thank you Professor for standing with Ted – and for again, reducing my cognitive dissidence!

Just terrible. How I wish for the old days when we could downvote blog authors.

BierceAmbrose | April 18, 2016 at 12:47 am

I can’t decide which sentence is the money quote. Well put.

Not from the article, but here’s a candidate: “A primary vote for Cruz is a two-fer: support the more tea party candidate, and surprise the downstaters by reminding them that there’s voters in New York west of the Hudson, who may have their own opinions and preferences, just like real people.”

My husband and I are happily voting for Ted Cruz in Onondaga County. Sadly, the GOP county chairman is a shill for Trump. I am in full agreement with your blog and can’t imagine how or why anyone with conservative principles — and the discernment that usually goes hand-in-hand with those primciples — could vote for Trump or Kasich. Hoping to keep Trump from 50% in District 24. Stay strong and Cruz on!

I am beyond angry, at this point the system is hopelessly broken.

A wise person once told me (it happened to be my mother), you can tell a person by the friends they have, as well as the enemies they have.

To put it bluntly, Trump has all the right enemies, and Cruz has all the wrong friends.

This is why I’ll be voting for Donald Trump, ideological concerns aside.

I voted for Cruz over Trump in Virginia. I have no doubt Trump is smart and accomplished and if he was running for Senator or Governor, I would very likely cast my vote for him. But the Presidency is different – there’s just no way I’m going to consider someone who has no record – conservative or otherwise – to run and then once in office, will need 2+ years just to get up to speed on the way Washington works. However if Trump does still win, I’ll support him and just keep my fingers crossed I guess.

All very nice, but reasoning built on faulty premises is a castle built on sand; a monument to wishful thinking. Trump is a terrible candidate, and it takes no great perspicacity to see that. But Cruz is an utterly impossible and ridiculous one. A creep (which I don’t mind; a vote isn’t an offer to move in with the guy), a fake (which I do mind), a fraud … just another con man. His “true conservative” act is about as convincing as a red rubber nose, an orange wig and a pair of flap shoes. To be fooled by such a clumsy show, a person would have to be desperate to believe in something. But desperation to believe is religion, not politics. Apparently, enough people are desperate … at least enough to keep Cruz at a fairly distant Number Two position.

Oddly enough, it was the constant bombardment of sneering, brittle condescension by the LI commentariat which first alerted me to the serious drawbacks of the Cruz campaign. Hmmm … why can’t they discuss the political issues of the day without dripping snot all over their keyboards? People with two brain cells to rub together don’t act or talk like that. So, why are they behaving like yahoos? It’s not because their IQs dropped fifty points overnight; it’s more likely because they’re desperate to believe something even they, at some level, know simply isn’t true. In such cases of self-deception, the slightest criticism is a chink in the wall of unreality; it is vital that it be reflexively denied, ridiculed, expunged. So … by this theory, even his supporters realize that Cruz is bad news. That inspired me to look a bit closer. After doing so, I had to agree; he’s bad news.

A New York vote for Cruz is a clutch at a straw. But it isn’t a straw, it’s a needle. A nice sharp one. With points on both ends. And both points poisoned.

But it doesn’t matter in the least; the Party has no intention of nominating Cruz, he’s just a convenient club with which to pummel Trump. After he’s battered and dented they’ll ignore him and shoehorn in a nice, safe, business-as-usual candidate. And they can do this through the delegates. All the stories about how Cruz has the delegates lined up to clamor for him on the second ballot at a contested convention come from … the Cruz campaign. There’s no independent confirmation of any of it. Is it reality, gamesmanship, or delusion?

In any event, I wish you a pleasant Primary day, even if the Party doesn’t really believe you—or any of us—should have a vote at all.

    [I]t was the constant bombardment of sneering, brittle condescension by the LI commentariat which first alerted me to the serious drawbacks of the Cruz campaign. Hmmm … why can’t they discuss the political issues of the day without dripping snot all over their keyboards?

    Oh come on. Really, precious?


    Ragspierre in reply to tom swift. | April 18, 2016 at 7:53 am

    tom swift became a cranky old nutter so slowly, I hardly noticed…

    tom swift | April 17, 2016 at 4:24 am

    I suspect “a lot of people” know perfectly well how the nomination process works (if “works” is the proper word). It’s just that they’ve never before seen it so blatantly perverted and abused.



    Ragspierre | April 17, 2016 at 7:05 am

    Really? Tell us how that is true.

    tom never tried.

    MathMom in reply to tom swift. | April 18, 2016 at 8:28 am

    We are all writing about the US election, and the New York primary. What country are you watching?

    MaggotAtBroadAndWall in reply to tom swift. | April 18, 2016 at 10:52 am

    There are lots of reasons to believe Cruz is the real deal. He was part of a club of teens who went around trying to persuade other students why limited government that protects individual liberty is so important. He did that after reading Hayek and memorizing the U.S. Constitution. In high school. When he got to Harvard Law School, he impressed Alan Derschowitz, one of the most famous liberal law professors in the country, who says Cruz is one of the most brilliant students he’s taught in 50 years because Cruz cam succinctly articulate the reasons why he holds his conservative positions. He clerked for William Rehnquist, one of the most conservative Supreme Court justices in the modern era. When the Tea Party emerged, he saw a chance to try to translate his beliefs and ideology into policy at the U.S. Senate. Which he has done based on how his voting record scores:

    National Right to Life Committee: 100%
    NARAL Pro-Choice America: 0%
    Planned Parenthood Action Fund: 0%
    Small Business and Entrepreneurial Council: 100%
    National Federation of Independent Business: 100%
    Liberty Guard Positions: 100%
    Republican Liberty Caucus Positions: 95%
    Americans for Prosperity: 100%
    ACU Lifetime Score: 100%
    Eagle Forum: 100%
    National Journal – Conservative on Economic Policy: 95%
    National Journal – Conservative on Foreign Policy: 98%
    Citizens Against Government Waste: 100%
    Club for Growth: 96%
    FreedomWorks: 92%
    Gun Owners of America: 100%
    National Rifle Association: 100%
    Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence: 0%

    You posted a long and rambling comment at 4:43AM EST filled with nothing but opinion. No facts, data, evidence, or even anecdotes. And you could have gone back to bed in 15 seconds had you economized and written:

    “I hate Cruz and many of the commenters at Legal Insurrection”.

    Because that is all the word salad you wrote boils down to.

      If you think tom swift has a tenuous grasp on the veracity of each candidate, you ought to check out mediaacess’ comment, er, thesis, at 9:53. He calls Rush Limbaugh a progressive.


How anyone can vote the Republican ticket after the 2014 majority betrayal is beyond me. People have been carping about it ever since. But then just as I knew they would with the election soon upon us, they once again eagerly line up to vote for the newest party savior.
Just like they did for Cory Gardner in Colorado ;
Mike Rounds in South Dakota ;
& Joanie Ernst in Iowa.
They line up for their every 2 year knee in the nutz from party leadership.
Just like conservatives & republican’s can be counted on by leadership to do.

I can’t decide which sentence is the money quote. Well put.

Same here! Well-reasoned and well-written, Professor.

This blog and Instapundit have long been the first two pages I open every morning, and even though I’ve only been actually commenting here for a few years, I’ve been lurking since just about the beginning. Keep up the good work!


I already cast my vote here in Florida where, despite only having received 45.7% of the votes, Trump was given 100% of the delegates. If I were a Trumpkin, I might wail that “the voice of the majority” (54.3% of us!) was ignored; that Trump “stole” our delegates 😀

Alas, I prefer to be a grown-up.

My NY relatives will be voting for Cruz. It is not often I agree with VotingFemale, but I strongly agree with her sentiment. May your eloquence reach all corners of NYState.

Excellent editorial, Professor. (I voted for Cruz in NC)

buckeyeminuteman | April 18, 2016 at 7:46 am

Democratic Losses Uner President Obama

Governor Seats – 12
US House Seats – 69
US Senate Seats – 14
State Legislature Seats – 910

*US Speakers of the House – 2

This my friends, is the fruits of our LEGAL INSURRECTION

I am not a Kasich supporter but Cruz has no chance in NY. NeverTrump is voting Kasich strategically. Unfortunately Cruz has never been Never Trump and, due to his ‘bromance’ with the obviously liberal Trump until just three months ago, many are still concerned that Cruz will find it politically ‘smart’ for him to realign with Trump in a unity ticket if the Rules committee and delegates vote to limit their options at the convention.
Leaving options open to reject any sort of unity ticket between the two front runners, since one of them is not conservative and would practically destroy the movement and the other found it politically expedient to align himself with him, would likely prevent even the possibility of such an alignment and ease the concern of those of us who are truly Never Trump.

    MathMom in reply to MarlaHughes. | April 18, 2016 at 10:53 am

    This is sort of weird logic. If you vote for Cruz, you deny Trump a vote. If you vote for Kasich, strategically or not, you encourage him and we have to keep listening to his tortured logic about how he is about to hit his stride.

    You can help two causes by voting for Cruz, if you are Never Trump. Vote for Cruz and tilt the scales away from Trump. At the same time, you help rid the airwaves of the most obnoxious doofus who has run as a Republican in a long time.

kenoshamarge | April 18, 2016 at 8:51 am

Very nice piece. Thank you for sharing your reasoning. I voted for Ted Cruz here in Wisconsin and it felt good to vote for someone I could respect.

Obviously New York can’t/won’t turn out like Wisconsin but every little bit helps. Just keep him below 50% New Yorkers!

Job One is stopping Trump, who would not only give Democrats the White House & Senate, but put the House in danger as well.

If Trump can’t get 1237 on the 1st ballot, he’s done because his incompetent, slipshod campaign failed to do due diligence on the delegate process.

Cruz then has the 2nd – 4th ballots to put together a majority. If he can’t do it by the 4th, when Florida’s delegates are unbound, the convention will begin to consider others. The pressure will be enormous.

Your call, Professor.

Personally, I would prefer to have a president who was actually born in the country he leads. I’m old-fashioned that way.

My response to some Tedbot progressives:
She/He says:
Courts Keep Dismissing Eligibility Suits Against Ted
(And that article, like all the others presented before me, is as scant and weak as any argument can possibly be! It really boils my skin!)
This is after I post my usual birther essay, and its conclusion is undeniable in that Cruz cannot Constitutionally be President! So, my response is the same, because they answer as shortly and callously as anyone possibly could.
‘The End Justifies the means!!’ Facsists! Cruz supporters are Facsists and nothing more! Forget about all the Christianity hoopla, where we should do unto others as we would have them do unto us. And where morality and ethics are thrown out the window. Can you be anymore inept? Back in my days we used to call you people bottom feeders.
What is quite clear is the vulgarity of the man and the masses of so-called ’Christians’ who march to his toon: “Let me be clear: Donald Trump may be a rat, but I have no desire to copulate with him.” – Ted Cruz
So, my response is always the same because their inability to read and comprehend the facts comes with the same answer, and is as followings:
Not true. You don’t read much! Read a book, lady / sir! You have to read my essay before you can provide substance. Yea, the court ruled on
Dred Scott v. Sandford too, making slavery permissible according to the law, but not according to the Constitution! Didn’t make it constitutional. And on abortion – still not constitutional – and on central banking – still not constitutional – and on the current taxing system – Marxism – still not constitutional. WTF. Christianity, morality, ethics out the window!
Typical progressive (a.k.a. a termite that continually gnaws at the woodwork) answer. As I know you— being a progressive, and all, are afraid to learn, and by any measure insist on holding fast to your biased opinions, opinions based on false premises, I still implore you to listen and learn to what I have said and to what I have to say, for I am not giving you my opinions, but I am only disseminating facts.

My assertions cannot conscionably be denied by anyone who has learned the most basics in logical reasoning, and especially those who have studied United States Constitutionalism and Constitutional Law.

What I am saying flies in the face of the likes of a long list of progressives, such as, Law Professor Randy Barnett; Robert Levy of the Cato Institute; everyone, apparently at the Heritage Foundation; David Barton; Human Events; and Mark Levin and Rush Limbaugh, most of whom I thought had good intentions and objective aims, but now I am more than confident— and it is not my opinion, but it is fact (I’ll save that dialogue for another time); they are progressives (a.k.a. communists in progress; globalists— strong statement, huh? Not my opinion!); some of that argument has been documented in my pdf files presented here, and others on my website at

In the following pdf file I assert that Ted Cruz is not only not qualified by birth, but he is not by any stretch of the imagination, a United States Constitutional Conservative, and knowingly so. Thus, a pointed question can also be made about his Christian faith: What kind of Christian are you, Ted? What kinds of standards, ethics and morals do you hold for yourself, and why do your standards, ethics, and moral character seem so indignant toward your constituency? Because what is documented in your Christian dogma doesn’t much match with the truth of your character.

Please read my pdf file titled ’ The Truth about Ted Cruz and His Supporters’. You can find the link here: Dispelling the Myths that Support Ted Cruz:

Only after you have read it, can we make an Adult-Adult conversation that is based on intellect, rather than tit-for-tats, where I argue facts, and you don’t. And please follow all of the links within it, starting with ’For-Ted-bots-2016-April-15 – pdf.file’ (the derogatory connotation came from a long host of my experiences with Ted-drones over at, so just look past that title and review it anyway), and ’The Ant and the Termite’, and ending with the Addendums that link to other papers on the matter.
In additional support that Ted is not a Constitutional Conservative, nor Conservative for United States American Values, if it is the constitution you are talking about, nor is the ’Lying Ted’ label far from the truth, along with many facts and misconceptions about Mr. Donald Trump, follow the following links here: For-Ted-bots-2016-April-15 – pdf.file:

To See my fight with some mindboggled Ted-bots, here is an older version:
For-Ted-bots-2016-Feb-25 – pdf.file

The Battle of Athens: Restoring the Rule of Law

Donald J. Trump: The Long Road to the White House (1980 – 2015)

I will not be voting, ever, for Ted Cruz. He has proven to be just as much an insider as anyone. He accepts money from Wall Street and “anybody” (even ran on a platform in Texas of not accepting Wall Street money, but we have found out that was also a lie). He has misrepresented Donald Trump’s positions on nearly everything (and in many cases took Trump’s positions as his own). And he hasn’t done anything whatsoever to earn my vote.

Donald Trump is a donor, sure, I’ll give you that, but he can’t be bought. He doesn’t have to do what donors tell him to do. He is slave to no one. Isn’t that what the Tea Party ran on all those years ago?

And I’ll leave with one last comment. Cruz has done great in caucuses, but pretty terrible in primaries. Since the country is already disgusted with the way the establishment has basically controlled elections in the past (with the Tea Party being at the front of that battle), what makes anyone think that Cruz will win any sort of General Election? Getting delegates in states where there is minimal turnout due to the “rules”, will not help him win over voters in the general election. He just doesn’t do well when it comes to the popular vote.

So I, for one, will not be voting for this man. I have many reasons, the ones listed here are just a few. I don’t see this country changing for the better if he were to be elected. I see the status quo being maintained and the same-old same-old continuing in Washington.

There is something sleazy with virtually everything Cruz does. He is the Republican Obama in many ways.

My enthusiastic vote is for Trump – which I will cast tomorrow. If everything turns out the way the polling has indicated, then Cruz will no longer have a mathematical chance at the nomination after April 19th. He will be effectively eliminated.

    Gunstar1 in reply to PhillyGuy. | April 18, 2016 at 1:38 pm

    You dont seem to understand how the nominee is selected. If Trump doesnt reach the majority number of delegates, he will be “eliminated” as well.

    At that point, a second round of voting begins where votes can change.

      conservative tarheel in reply to Gunstar1. | April 18, 2016 at 2:13 pm

      please don’t confuse the person with FACTS …
      it just makes em put their fingers in their ears
      and go “LALALALA”

      PhillyGuy in reply to Gunstar1. | April 18, 2016 at 9:25 pm

      Cruz is not going to be the nominee on any ballot. That is just silly.

        Gunstar1 in reply to PhillyGuy. | April 19, 2016 at 3:22 pm

        As I thought, you have no idea what the process is for selecting a party’s nominee for president.

        The party has to select the nominee first. That means they must have a majority of delegates (more than half) of the party vote for them.

        As he has crossed the rule 40 threshold, he will be on the nominee ballot.

    Ragspierre in reply to PhillyGuy. | April 18, 2016 at 2:08 pm

    “He is the Republican Obama in many ways.”

    Except totally OPPOSITE.

    OTOH, T-rump IS the “Republican” Obama, and a lot of his supporters are just Obamic cult followers from the other end of the political spectrum.

    But those followers are BIG GOVERNMENT supporters of statism.

    Kelsonus in reply to PhillyGuy. | April 19, 2016 at 11:50 am

    Perhaps Cruz won’t reach 1237 by ballot 1, that I’ll easily grant
    But when Trump doesn’t either, will Trump lose 600 or more delegates on the 2nd?

That is the choice before us and I agree with your assessment.

Why I oppose Ted Cruz:

1. He, his father and Glenn Beck all think he is appointed by God to be president. I am a Christian but I don’t want a preacher in chief with his hand on the nuclear button. I want a commander in chief who certainly does NOT believe he/she was annointed by God to be president. Even more so given Cruz’s religion is a cult like offshoot of Christianity called dominionism that believes its adherents must obtain political power and control over the whole world in order to pave the way for the return of Jesus.

2. Cruz will NOT build a wall and will not secure the border. Cruz doesn’t even lie and pretend he will build a wall and secure the border any longer. Cruz has also stated he will not round up and deport even a single illegal alien.

3. Cruz supports Obamatrade/TPP and will vote to pass it and will if President work for even more stupid middle class and lower class job killing stupid trade deals. Cruz is in the pocket of big global corporations and open borders globalists and has sold out to the GOP establishment. Reagan unlike Cruz was not a dogmatic purist like Cruz. Reagan was smart enough to impose a 45% tariff on Japanese motorcycle imports in order to save Harley Davidson and all those USA jobs. Cruz would NEVER do such a thing because that action isn’t what a pure conservative would do.

4. Cruz’s tax plan is INSANE. His tax plan is NOT a flat tax net income tax. His tax plan is a VAT tax (a modified form of a Gross Sales Tax). His tax plan taxes all money spent on salaries and wages but does NOT tax money spent on robots, machinery, and job killing automation. It therefore will incentivize companies to cut wages, cut employees, and buy machines, all to save money on taxes. Cruz’s tax plan also omits all the safeguards included in the Neil Boortz “Fair Tax” gross sales tax plan. Cruz does not require constitutional amendments contained in the Fair Tax. Therefore, that 16% rate can be increased in future years by democrats as high as they can make it go. Also, without the protective constitutional amendments of the Fair Tax, democrats in the future can reimpose the net income tax we currently have ON TOP OF CRUZ’S VAT tax (modified gross sales tax plan). It is a total disaster waiting to happen, and he isn’t smart enough on economics to realize it.

5. Cruz is a liar. He ranks up there with Obama when it comes to slimy lawyer weasel word lying and parsing.

6. Cruz has never worked in the private sector for any meaningful period and has never run a business based on the risk of his own wealth and his children’s future educations. He has never run any private business. Not even a lemonade stand. Cruz’s entire career is based upon being a BUSH republican. Cruz will never shake up the GOP system. Only Trump will help end the corruption of the GOP party. Cruz has been completely corrupted and co-opted by his mega donors and the GOP establishment.

Cruz will be a disaster for the middle class and lower class workers in this country. Also Cruz will never win the general election. He will be killed as to extreme and dogmatic and outside the mainstream by democrats and their media puppets. It will work. He will lose very badly. Cruz is not Reagan and can not overcome such attacks with a winning personality. Cruz is the opposite of Reagan when it comes to just being “creepy and icky” to many.

    Ragspierre in reply to Gary Britt. | April 18, 2016 at 1:07 pm

    Nobody cares or believes a word, Gaghdad Bob.

    You’ve made yourself a hiss and a by-word here by your constant lying and slime pig attacks on Cruz and his family.

      Ragspierre is the local cruzbot attack weasel, and he projects how he feels about himself onto others.

      Get help loser.

      amwick in reply to Ragspierre. | April 18, 2016 at 2:57 pm

      Speaking of family, why does Rafael’s older daughter look so unhappy when she is with him??? Those pictures of the all American happy family are just so fake. I feel sorry for those two lovely children.

        Cruz didn’t live with the wife and kids for 7 years of his marriage to Heidi. They may not be that close, especially the older one.

          Matt_SE in reply to Gary Britt. | April 18, 2016 at 11:06 pm

          I don’t even bother reading your posts anymore. I just automatically downvote them and move on.

          Well Matty what makes you think I give a rats arse about what you think. Judging from your posts I’m sure you don’t understand most posts here including mine so skipping reading them is probably best. At least you are smarter than the moron Cruz supporter who thinks one needs an ignore button in order to skip reading a post.

          The ignore button is life’s safe space button for snowflakes too stupid to help themselves.

          Yeah… the Cruz tinker belles sure get their petticoats ruffled just seeing the name Trump.

          Meanwhile, another one on a newer post talks of knocking out my teeth out past my tonsils…

          Such is the mentality of that Applicahain hillbilly #NeverTrumper who will vote Hillary b/c sore loser in waiting.

          Wow VF was that threat here?

          When the cruzbots get violent can a post about how uncivil are tge Trump supporters be far behind?

      spartan in reply to Ragspierre. | April 18, 2016 at 8:33 pm


      Ever notice Phony Gary always goes to the Trumpette talking points, instead of inside information from Texas or from his alleged background?
      As usual, he has no idea what he is talking about; especially about “Dominionism” and Cruz’ Tax plan. You would think a real lawyer would have better research skills. You would think a “CPA” would have a better takedown of the Cruz Tax Plan.

      Thus far, he has spent at least 2 hours of billable time spreading his BS; and he still can not argue his way out of a paper bag.

      This was a nice thread until the thugs showed up. They really can’t help themselves.

        Spartan still hurting after being exposed as a chickenshit who likes to talk tough. No wonder you and Rags are friends.

        That aside you claim that what I wrote about Cruz’s tax plan is incorrect so that means you must know why it is incorrect. So please explain how what I wrote is incorrect and why and then tell us how the Cruz tax plan really works since you say what I wrote is incorrect.

        I’m looking forward to your inciteful reply.

          spartan in reply to Gary Britt. | April 19, 2016 at 12:59 am

          Hey Phony Gary,

          Your analysis was a cut and paste job (probably something you read on Breitbart). I would have expected much more from a C .. P .. A.

          You are allegedly an attorney … do your own research. I could help you but that would be casting pearls before swine.

          Exactly the answer I expected. You haven’t the slightest clue what Cruz’s tax plan says or does. You haven’t even read it. You don’t know the difference between a net income tax and a VAT or Gross Sales tax. You are so lacking in any knowledge you actually posted in another thread quoting someone else of course that the Cruz VAT tax is unique and never been tried anywhere before, not realizing that Europe and Asia have all had decades and decades using the VAT tax. And to try and avoid revealing that you know nothing at all about what you write you make more baseless and factless assertions about cutcand paste jobs.

          Here is a clue for you. Even Rags doesn’t try to dispute that Cruz’s tax plan is a VAT tax or tax on modified gross sales that taxes salaries and wages but not money spent on machines and automation. You know why? Because even the analysis of Cruz’s tax plan concedes these points. You know why Rags doesn’t dispute the stuff about the constitutional protections built into the Boortz Fair Tax plan that are missing from Cruz’s plan. Its because Rags at least, unlike you, knows about the Boortz fair tax plan and has read it. He has previously said it was his preferred tax plan.

          Rags may be juvenile in his argumentation and name calling but he is better than the likes of you because you just lie to yourself and everyone else by implying you have actual knowledge about something like the Cruz tax plan when you know absolutely nothing about it and couldn’t explain how it is supposed to work if your life depended on it.

    UK Transplant in reply to Gary Britt. | April 18, 2016 at 2:47 pm

    I agree wholeheatedly with all 6 points, Gary. Good summary! Ii’s hard for me to believe that anyone who has been following this election closely could even THINK about voting for Ted Cruz. I have to say I am very surprised Prof Jacobson is voting Cruz. I’ve been a Tea Party member since day 1 and have not come this far to give up the fight against the establishment, which includes Ted Cruz and his cozy relationship with Jeb & Neil Bush, et al.

I agree, mostly; however, Cruz cannot win and Trump can.

    gmac124 in reply to jwoodatty. | April 18, 2016 at 5:39 pm

    Do you have any proof that Trump does better than Cruz in the general? Everything I have seen shows the exact opposite.

    One anecdote that I believe favors Cruz in the general. EVERYONE knows who Trump is and have made up their mind on him. With his unfavorable ratings, especially with women, he has reached the ceiling of his support. On the flip side Cruz is still unknown to about a third of the country.

Rut Row,

Reports are that National Enquirer will publish photos and report of Ted Cruz’s father in New Orleans with Lee Harvey Oswald passing out pro Castro communist flyers. It was about 3 months before Oswald killed Kennedy. Was Rafael Cruz on the grassy knoll that day ??? Enquiring Minds Want To Know.

IMHO, time to move this post to the top of the blog and keep it fixed there until after the polls close tomorrow. Don’t want anyone casually wandering by to miss it because they didn’t scroll down far enough to see it.

Rush Limbaugh on air today…

Rush: “The Republican Party is prepared, if Ted Cruz gets the nomination, to not care whether he wins or loses.

In fact, if Ted Cruz is the nominee and loses the general, the party will be happy.

They’ll be able to blame the loss on conservatives and conservatism and be done — once and for all — with conservatism in the party.

The party’s primary objective is self-preservation, not winning the White House in this cycle.

Given the vagaries of this cycle, the Republican Party’s primary objective is maintaining its own power structure and base for the current people that occupy it.

The dead giveaway for that is when you hear some of them openly, publicly say that they will vote for Hillary rather than Trump.

And some of them have even said that they’ll vote for Hillary instead of Cruz.

It means they don’t think the country’s in crisis. They don’t think anything of the sort. They don’t have anything in common with you on that score.

And, number two, that it’s all about self-preservation, maintaining the current Republican establishment, the ruling class and their positions in it.”

    spartan in reply to VotingFemale. | April 18, 2016 at 10:04 pm

    Unfortunately, I think this may be right. They despise Cruz, but must think they can hold serve (i.e. keep House and Senate). They likely believe Trump would be a disaster and result in the loss of the House and Senate.
    If Cruz is to be the nominee, he will have to do a lot of heavy-lifting to win. I am really not sure how the GOP Establishment would embrace Trump.

    Kasich would be another in the long line in the style of Alf Landon, Wendell Willkie, Tom Dewey, Bob Dole, McCain, Romney.

Vote Lyin Cheatin Corrupted Cruz? Never Ever #NeverCruz

Trumpkines eunt domus!

Well now-

Looks like Cruz supporters don’t care about who he’s chosen for staffers, or who puts all that money into his campaign. Nor do they care about Heidi and her life’s work, or Ted’s endorsement from preachers who say that gays should be killed.

And they certainly don’t care that Cruz was born in Canada, with a nice birth certificate that proves he’s a natural born Canadian. Um, where’s his US birth certificate?

When it comes to accomplishments, Cruz is in a category all by himself: he has read Green Eggs and Ham on the Senate floor, while causing a government shutdown that the media immediately blamed on “right wing crazies” led by our hero, Ted Cruz. Oh, and he’s accomplished being the most disliked person in Congress, which is admirable. No wonder everyone thinks so highly of Congress; we need more Ted Cruzes!

Has Ted ever been an executive? Has he hired thousands of employees, who he led to great accomplishments? Well, no, but he has handed out teddy bears and soccer balls to illegals, as an act of love.

He’s said that accusations of his multiple philanderings were “rubbish” but he never said, “I never cheated on my wife.” Though he was asked to make that statement. Maybe the lawyers here can parse the meaning in his statements- to me, it just looks like he got caught and is lying his way out. Hmmm. Someone once parsed the meaning of “is”- but I’m sure that person was being absolutely truthful, just like Ted, right?

You’ll vote for Ted, OK, it’s your vote. It’s a pity you’re really voting for: More.Of.The.Same.Crap.From.The.Establishment. Vote wisely!

Cruz cannot, and never was able to get the nomination on the first round. If, a big if, he were to get the nomination in subsequent rounds, exactly what are the deals made with the republican donor class insiders? What will he sell out on?

You don’t believe the GOPe is just going to hand the keys to teddy without extracting a price do you?

For a start –
immigration – he will sell out
TPP – he will sell out (easy enough, he is already sold)
Taxes – don’t make me laugh
It will be a long list, he would sell his mother to be president