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For the first time in my adult life I believe Romney might beat Obama

For the first time in my adult life I believe Romney might beat Obama

Why now?

Because Team Obama is proving itself to be too smart by half, and too incompetent by three-quarters.

There is a way to do Bain, but I’m done giving that advice.  Rehashing old news, which already has been out for months, isn’t going to do the trick.

Cory Booker stuck a fork in the balloon, putting Obama and AxelPlouffe on the defensive, but Booker didn’t say anything that already wasn’t percolating to the top anyway.  Yet Think Progress already is going after Booker; they’re eating their own!

And AxelPlouffe seems surprisingly tongue tied:

If Obama intends to make Bain a centerpiece of the campaign, but he’s going to have to do better than this.

So far, Team Obama has shown no ability to land a blow with the Bain bat in a room full of Mitts.

Mitt’s biggest liability has made Obama look foolish.  Some people have all the luck.


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You don’t expect Obama to run on his own record, do you?

All of this reminds me of the Irish.

One major forgotten fact about Irish political power is that it didn’t peak when they voted for just one party. It peaked when some of the Irish spun off to become a force in both political parties. They don’t take you seriously when they have your vote already in their pockets.

It is quite likely that Barack Obama could become a transformimg figure to the Black community. If he drives enough Blacks into the Republican Party, the power of the Black community could expand.

    myiq2xu in reply to Neo. | May 22, 2012 at 11:17 am

    They don’t take you seriously when they have your vote already in their pockets.

    And if the other party knows they can’t win your vote they can ignore you.

Charles Curran | May 22, 2012 at 9:47 am

I notice in all their ads, and when the pundents speak they bring up Bain and Romney, it’s about him creating, or not a lot off jobs. Romney and his ‘Super-Pacs’ should counter with ” Which would you prefer, someone who knows how to creat jobs, or a ‘Community Organizer’ who’s created a net – 4 plus million jobs”?

    Cowboy Curtis in reply to Charles Curran. | May 22, 2012 at 10:03 am

    I’ve never thought the attacks on Bain would be the magic bullet democrats believe it to be. At the end of the day you are still talking about a very successful businessman and a very successful business, compared to a guy who’d never run anything and, as the last few years have shown, doesn’t have the first idea of how economics and economies run.

    Personally, I think the appalling shrinkage in America’s workforce participation is the hammer that will carry Romney through election day. Its the unanswerable reply to whatever claims or numbers Obama and the press can cook up about unemployment and the economy.

      About now, Mitt should be thanking Newt.
      By having Newt bring up Bain early in the process, he help Mitt by making it old new.

        Cowboy Curtis in reply to Neo. | May 22, 2012 at 10:33 am

        More importantly, in my mind, it forced him to sharpen and refine his defenses in regard to Bain. People always talk about the downside of rough, protracted primaries, but forget that such leaves the victor tested and battle hardened. If the candidate doesn’t know how to take a punch going in, he damn sure does when he comes out the other end.

        PhillyGuy in reply to Neo. | May 22, 2012 at 10:52 am

        Newt’s attacks were weak and self-serving. Obama is doing even worse. I am shocked at how bad their campaign has been.

        And of course, this is just good old fashioned punch hard politics by a so far brilliant Romney team.

Not to split hairs, Professor, but isn’t Mitt’s biggest liability his 2006 “solution” to Massachusetts’ health care? In my book, convincing America that Obama’s mandate is bad – but good for Massachusetts – is a pretty tough sell.

    southcentralpa in reply to IrateNate. | May 22, 2012 at 10:19 am

    Concern troll much? That was only an issue in the primaries. One candidate would sign a repeal of Obamacare that gets to his desk. The other won’t.

    Obama is the crappiest jobs president in at least a half-century. That’s why your man will lose.

      Lina Inverse in reply to southcentralpa. | May 22, 2012 at 2:02 pm

      I wouldn’t say he’s a concern troll, it’s certainly a big issue, the salient point is that Obama can’t use it to attack Romney, which is why it was only an issue during the primaries.

      And I’ll add that we don’t know how a President Romney will act once in office.

      IrateNate in reply to southcentralpa. | May 22, 2012 at 8:38 pm

      Good Lord, man – Obama is not “my man” by any means. I was only pointing out that the issue of Romneycare v. Obamacare will not just go away and die.

      I do hope, however, that the unpopularity of Obamacare will prevent this being a major campaign issue, because I cannot see how Romney can defend his position without looking extremely hypocritical.

      But, judging by the ferocity of Obama’s critique of Bain Capital, I don’t see any stone being left unturned.

    Neo in reply to IrateNate. | May 22, 2012 at 10:25 am

    By the time health care comes up again, the SCOTUS will probably have struck ObamaCare down.
    The question will then pivot to who can ultimately make health care better ? .. the guy who have an awful working relationship with the ruling party in the House (and perhaps after the election, in the Senate) ? .. or the guy who tried and watched his program go bad under the outstanding leadership a governor from the other party when he could do nothing to correct the mistakes ?

    Casey in reply to IrateNate. | May 23, 2012 at 11:10 pm

    Nate, there’s this annoying thing called “representation.” You might want to read up on it. The people of Massachusetts wanted a health care bill, and they got it. If Romney vetoed it, the state legislation would override. I might also add that the version Romney approved was very different from the final product, after the aforementioned state reps finished buggering it.

my incidental poll shows a strong anti-obama stance. folks that don’t pay attention now do and have decided he needs to go…to the tune of seven out of ten with two undecided.

Pres. Dog Breath and his “brights” have been snake-bit for several months.

Every attack they have contrived has turned on them…every meme has been a small-to-large disaster.

Maybe he’s not the smartest guy in any room, after all…

    A meme is just a meme. Obama has offered nothing but more of the same since he started his campaign back in 2007.

    “Four More Years !!” isn’t exactly what I’d be wishing for.

      More of the same? Since George McGovern, the Democrats have been pushing for a centrally planned economy and a robust Welfare/Entitlement State in every national election to one degree or another. The party hasn’t had a new idea at least as far back as LBJ.

      The Democrats, Socialists, Progressives, consolidate their power IN ALL THREE branches of government, it will make what the Nazis did in the 1930s look trivial by comparison.

    Neo in reply to Ragspierre. | May 22, 2012 at 2:42 pm

    As if this were some surprise or something …

    Breitbart News has established that Obama’s grades and Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) scores may have been even lower than those of his supposedly less capable predecessor, George W. Bush.

    The smartest man in an empty room

Because Team Obama is proving itself to be too smart by half, and too incompetent by three-quarters.

That Team Obama has been too smart by half and too incompetent by three-quarters is the reason they have no record to run on. They can’t land a blow that doesn’t have the potential to knock themselves out in the process. The entire administration has been nothing but incompetence as far as the eye can see.

It wasn’t too difficult for Team Obama 2008 to appear uber competent when they were up against Team McCain. One thing you have to hand Mitt so far, his team has truly shown the incompetence of the Nicole Wallace and Steve Schmidt types John McCain relied on for advice. Now that we see team Obama strangled by a record, fighting a competent campaign we see their last perceived strength as overblown as the hope and change they sold in 2008.

    PhillyGuy in reply to Mary Sue. | May 22, 2012 at 10:44 am

    Well and give Mitt credit as well. So far he’s is doing a brilliant job. Great staff he’s put together. He has run circles around Obama. Our president can only run on platitudes not performance.

    Mitt is going to blow him away in the general. This is going to be a very ugly election for Democrats. IMO of course.

    Congrats on your daughter’s graduation. I believe we probably live close to one another as I am in the northern suburbs…

      Mary Sue in reply to PhillyGuy. | May 22, 2012 at 11:53 am

      Thanks for that, I really appreciate it. We are probably very close since I am North as well. Nice to meet at neighbor here at LI.

      You’re right about giving Mitt credit for putting the team together. He also deserves a lot of credit, IMO, for having the foresight Obama would be beatable this time round. I don’t believe he spent years laying the groundwork for this election only to offer himself up as sacrificial lamb. Mitt made a lot of money at Bain surrounding himself with good people and spotting good opportunities. That experience seems to have served him quite well in this election.

I predict a landslide against Obama. Even my Dem friends can’t stand the guy anymore, and these are the same people who drank the kool-aid 4 years ago.

The Republican turn-out in Wisconsin should be a clear indicator of what’s coming in November.

Obama will be ROUTED by Romney.

    raven in reply to Tamminator. | May 22, 2012 at 10:25 am

    I admit I believed there was no way Romney could beat Obama. But I don’t think that’s really the dynamic anymore. This race doesn’t have all that much to do with Mitt Romney. In broadcasting parlance, he’s simply the “least objectionable program.” Obviously if he falters horribly at some point it will matter. But otherwise, he’s just there at a moment when that is all that counts.

    Obama is too mind-bendingly, world-beatingly and immeasurably bad. His badness is literally immeasurable; There are no metrics for this kind of person as president in our experience or collective consciousness.

    Ragspierre in reply to Tamminator. | May 22, 2012 at 10:35 am

    For those who are new to the concept, look up “preference cascade”.

    I think MAYBE we’re seeing one form here…

    PhillyGuy in reply to Tamminator. | May 22, 2012 at 10:46 am

    Yep that’s exactly what I’m hearing too.

So, you don’t really think Romney can win, but rather that Obama might lose.


it’s weird. the more obama talks the more he screws up.

    Milwaukee in reply to drozz. | May 22, 2012 at 10:16 am

    This is what happened in the run up to passing 0bamaCare. The more he promoted it, the less the American public liked it. Then he blamed the American public, and said something like, ‘if I could only explain it to them, then they would like it!’

    Neo in reply to drozz. | May 22, 2012 at 11:59 am

    It’s a real truism that when the Congress (and President) are in recess, away from Washington, that their favorability goes up.
    This President has been so over exposed that most Americans jut want him to go away (like the mythical Country song “How can I miss you if you won’t go away”).

60/40. Landslide against Obama. Even cheating won’t save him.

Obama has LOST ground in every group, and he never won by all that much in the first place. Just losing the white guilt vote alone is enough to oust this horrible mistake.

It’s too bad – he had every opportunity. He was given an enormous gift, and the full faith and good will of a nation. All he had to do was be competent, judicious, and NOT the activists’ activist who hates his own people.

Massive #FAIL.

Welcome aboard Professor! Its been lonely here for the past year.

Obama is going to lose in 2012 by at least the same margin he won by in 2008. The only thing – I repeat ONLY thing -that will keep this election from being an all out route is Obama’s race and his ties to the minority vote. That one thing gives him a floor. If we were talking about a Dean or a Kerry or a Feingold, then this election would already be over.

Obama is going down. Hes going down hard. And its going to be very ugly.

    drrogera in reply to Jaydee77. | May 22, 2012 at 10:24 am

    I was going to use the headline – Welcome to the Party Pal but your choice is just as good.

    I stopped commenting when any mention of Romney in a positive manner was hit with accusations of being a troll or worse. I hope now we can all be friends again.

It’s too bad – he had every opportunity. He was given an enormous gift, and the full faith and good will of a nation

Well stated.

I’m not even angry at Obama anymore.

All I feel is deep, implacable contempt.

A senior official with the Romney campaign said that if Mr. Walker survives, the campaign would take a fresh look at the state. “If opportunity hits, we will capitalize,” the official said.

“People are suddenly starting to talk about Wisconsin as a potential swing state, which was not the case even two weeks ago,” said William Galston, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a former policy adviser to President Bill Clinton.

It is going to be an uphill battle…

But if the other team makes unforced errors, you can get an opening…

I have absolutely no doubt about Romney’s ability to visualize and develop a course of action to reverse the anointed one’s mistakes.

Anyone with two neurons to rub together should able to make a logical choice and if true, it should be a Republican landslide in November.

The problem as I see it is the dumbed down public ready to forgo all the free stuff and vote for what is best for the country? I sure hope so…

NC Mountain Girl | May 22, 2012 at 11:07 am

There are some interesting fault lines inside the black community between recent African immigrants and the descendents of slaves, not to mention that some blue collar blacks loath the college educated brothers and sisters who presume to rule over them. Confirmation that Obama is a pretentious phony who lied about being born in Africa could shake things up. Add in some younger black politicians who fear that Obama has screwed up so badly he is reducing their odds of ever making it to the top of the heap and we might find out that the black community isn’t as unified as is often assumed.

Subotai Bahadur | May 22, 2012 at 11:39 am

Two points if I may:

1) Polling is not a tool for measuring political preferences, as much as it is a weapon for influencing voters. Two things to watch for are a. The only polling that reflects what election results are likely to be is “Likely Voters”. “Registered Voters” and “All Adults” polls skew increasingly Democrat, but are not reflected in actual election results. If it isn’t “Likely Voters”, it is an expensive attack ad. b. Political demographic breakdown is crucial. Democrats, Republicans, Independents. From HOTAIR, the breakdown in 2008 [when the Enemy won] was 39%D/32%R/29%I. In 2010 {when the Enemy lost] it was 35%D/35%R/30%I. Most media polling we are seeing is like today’s WaPO/ABC poll which shows Romney and Obama essentially tied. But the sample is 32%D/22%R/38%I. That is a Republican sample ten points below the worst Republican loss in decades. If the polling sample is not at least between the 2008 and 2010 figures, the poll is a deliberate lie, and not a measuring tool.

2) If it looks like Buraq Hussein Obama is going to lose, the results of an election on November 6, 2012 may well not be what determines who holds power in the Federal government from January 2013 on.

Subotai Bahadur

This is the nut of the argument we need to drive home.

The Obamic Decline IS programmed austerity…a descent into lowered standards of living the Collective actually WANTS for Americans.

The American Revolution is about GROWTH, innovation, and raising the standard of living.

    raven in reply to Ragspierre. | May 22, 2012 at 2:19 pm

    Very good point, and signature Reagan.

      Ragspierre in reply to raven. | May 22, 2012 at 2:39 pm

      I do not believe that the solution to our problem is simply to elect the right people. The important thing is to establish a political climate of opinion which will make it politically profitable for the wrong people to do the right thing. Unless it is politically profitable for the wrong people to do the right thing, the right people will not do the right thing either, or if they try, they will shortly be out of office.

      Milton Friedman sums up my position WRT Romney and everyone else we send into the DC machine.

      Gradients are powerful. WE have to create a gradient that MANDATES fundamental government reform.

I have to agree. About two weeks ago I came to see it is possible that he could win. I didn’t believe that until now. I am not overly thrilled with him, and more than likely never will be. But this is what we have.

    Same here, although I do like him better now. I attribute it to liking anyone who hands obama his head, and Romney has been able to do that a surprising number of times so far.

Welcome to the club, Professor! Obama’s goign down in November. And it’s nice to see the media falling over themselves to spin Booker’s words. Fittingly, an anniversary of one of the MSM’s darkest hours comes up next month – though something tells me we won’t be hearing much about it …

Allen West today on the Obama Campaign, excerpt:

Last week, it was hobnobbing with Sarah Jessica Parker. Then yesterday comes this email from President Obama’s campaign gushing about what it be would like to “be a fly on the wall” at his fundraising event with President Clinton.

They described it as “almost ridiculously cool.” I describe it as embarrassing and out of touch.

Really, Mr. President? With record high unemployment and spending through the roof, you’re focused on parties with Hollywood celebrities and how cool it is to hobnob with you…

The Bain argument would probably go nowhere anyway, even if you tried. People have closed their mind to it, besides the economy is the topic du jour.

I wouldn’t go as far to crown Mitt as yet. Granted, Obama has no record to run on, but Mitt will need to call out Obama on his Marxist views. If he doesn’t do it, I can see it as being disasterous.

John McCain wouldn’t do it in ’08. Hopefully, something was learned from that.

People are not happy. Some have stable employment now but they are agraid of what’s up ahead. plus the value of their homes has gone down – in some cases, very dramatically. Plus the cost of sending their kids to college is unbelievably high. These are things that won’t be corrected by early November.

Obama has no sense for that. He doesn’t get that people can be unhappy on a variety of fronts. They see he cares little about them. He talks about Romney putting a dog on the roof of his car, or giving away free contraception or what happened when Romney was a teenager or how Bain was so awful…all things that don’t connect with voters.

Romney will slowly start to pull away. They don’t want more of Obama. What will be interesting is if he drags the House and Senate and Governorships with him. I think he will and this will be an historic victory for the Rs.

After the election, Obama can go back to being born in Kenya.

I began to feel Romney could take it after I saw the Democratic primary results in West Virginia and North Carolina. Now, with John Wolfe presenting a significant primary challenge to Obama in Arkansas, couple with the calm-and-steady campaign approach of Team Romney, I am really start TO……..BELIEVE!!!

Cory Booker was candid in 2 ways: minority voters are especially hurting from Obamanomics, and the topic of Bain is too esoteric for them. Plus, they’d be happy to work for the company and its companies. He was warning Obama that the enthusiasm to vote for him doesn’t exist like in 2008, hence the “nausea”.