After yesterday’s speech by Hosni Mubarek, I noted: “Things will be interesting. I can’t imagine the situation will stay stable until September.”
Well I was right, although I didn’t predict Mubarek would resign the next day.
But it has happened, and now the military controls Egypt.
I repeat what I said yesterday, but in a different context: “Things will be interesting. I can’t imagine the situation will stay stable until September.”
The reverberations will be felt throughout the Middle East, and not just with regard to the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty.
It will be interesting to see if the same standard will be applied by the Obama administration and the Europeans to Syria and Iran — change now (or yesterday) or else.
And once the shackles are removed from the Arab street, will it mean war or peace?
If I were the Israelis, I’d be dusting off the old Sinai tank battle maps and strategies, and calling on the veterans of the prior Sinai battles for wisdom. Because at 3 a.m. there isn’t going to be any help.
Update: I tweeted this yesterday regarding what was being broadcast over the loudspeakers during the anti-Murarek protests:
There is tremendous opportunity for the Egyptian people, but also tremendous risk.
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Screen shot of military officer delivering statement on Egyptian TV, thanking Mubarek, and stating that the military will issue further information on what is to happen next:
This may be the face of Egypt for the coming months. And it could be worse.
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Related Posts:
Egyptian Upheaval Shows Why Territory Still Matters for Israel
An Israeli Return to Sinai?
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