Rasmussen just released a Delaware poll showing Christine O’Donnell down 49-40% to Chris Coons in a race in which Mike Castle mounts a write-in campaign:

It is possible that a write-in campaign by Congressman Mike Castle could hurt Democrat Chris Coons more than Republican Christine O’Donnell in the Delaware campaign for U.S. Senate.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Delaware voters finds Coons with 49% support, while O’Donnell earns 40% of the vote. Castle, a longtime congressman who lost to O’Donnell in the state’s GOP Primary, picks up five percent (5%). Another five percent (5%) remain undecided.

The Rasmussen release does not indicate how the vote breaks out if Castle is not in the race, except to note that Castle hurts Coons more than O’Donnell, and that almost all of the Castle supporters said they otherwise would vote Coons or were undecided.

The poll obviously is what it is, but what is most surprising is that Castle gets only 5%.  What if Castle pulls 10 or 15% (or higher) as most people expect, and almost all of those are Coons supporters?

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