I am not someone who tries to keep track of how many of my predictions have come true. That sort of gamesmanship by hindsight is beneath me.
And I don’t try to settle scores with people who criticize me. That would be petty.
So it brings me absolutely no joy to point out that I was right, and Carl in Jerusalem was wrong, on the easing of the Israeli blockade of Gaza.
I bring this up solely to continue recording an accurate history of current events, not for any other purpose, and certainly not to gloat. My intentions are pure.
On Sunday, June 20, 2010, at 9:35 p.m. E.S.T., I posted Israel Outmaneuvers The Flotilla. The central thesis of the post was that Israel was the ultimate winner in the Gaza flotilla confrontation, because with the easing of the civilian aspects of the blockade the naval military blockade had been recognized as legitimate by Europe and the U.S.
To which, Carl in Jerusalem responded: “I wish Jacobson was [right], but he’s not.”
On June 22, 2010, at 8:37 a.m. E.S.T. I posted the now classic Tunnels for Sale, Cheap, noting that the easing of the civilian blockade was collapsing the Gaza tunnel economy and thereby a critical source of Hamas revenue.
With the benefit of dreaded hindsight, and thanks to some tips from Soccer Dad, I now am able to declare victory. Check out these two analyses:
That last link, well h/t to Carl in Jerusalem:
If we’d known this would work out so well, maybe we would have lifted the ‘blockade’ sooner. It seems that not everyone in Hamastan is thrilled about Israel having lifted its ‘blockade’ of the Gaza Strip. In fact, the Hamas rulers themselves may want the ‘blockade’ back.
There’s only one thing missing in your post, Carl.DONATE
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