Shift in Massachusetts: Scott Brown leading while Elizabeth Warren’s campaign finances come under scrutiny
A new Boston Globe poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center shows Scott Brown is making a successful October push in Massachusetts to keep his seat in the United States Senate. The Globe now has Brown leading 47-45.
The poll is a reversal from a September Globe survey that showed Warren ahead 43 percent to 38 percent, as well as several other recent polls that have found Warren with a slight lead. The shift underscores the belief long held by both sides that the race, active for more than a year, would be competitive until the end.
[WAJ adds — UNH have been overly friendly in its polling to Democrats, including Martha Coakley back in January 2010 and Warren in early September, so this is particularly surprising.]
On top of this good news for the Brown campaign is more bad news for the Warren Campaign as new details about the questionable source of a large chunk of her campaign contributions is raising eyebrows.
Michael Patrick Leahy at Breitbart.com reports:
A Breitbart News analysis of Massachusetts Democratic Senate candidate Elizabeth Warren’s recent October 15, 2012 filing with the Federal Election Commission shows that more than half of the $36.2 million Ms. Warren has raised for her campaign has come from online websites that are vulnerable to fraud and foreign donations.
Ms. Warren has set several fundraising records that she doesn’t want voters in Massachusetts to know about. The two most alarming records are:
(1) Most money raised in a single election cycle by a candidate for the United States Senate from online sites vulnerable to fraud and foreign donations: $18.3 million ($15.8 million in “unitemized” donations and at least $2.5 million in itemized donations from conduit site ActBlue.org).
(2) Highest percentage of money raised in a single election cycle by a candidate for the United States Senate online sites vulnerable to fraud and foreign donations as a percentage of total funds raised: 50.5% (43.7% in “unitemized” donations and at least 6.8% in itemized donations from conduit site ActBlue.org).
Warren’s 43.7% of receipts from “unitemized” donations is more than double the 15% of her opponent, incumbent Republican Senator Scott Brown.
Brown’s website deploys industry standard security methods, and none of the 15% of contributions that come from “unitemized” donations are vulnerable to fraud and foreign donations. In contrast, all of the 43.7% of Warren’s contributions that come from “unitemized” donations. In addition, the 6.8% of her donations that have come through conduit website ActBlue.org are vulnerable to fraud and foreign donations.
The article goes on to note that there is one other campaign that happens to be in the same ballpark as Elizabeth Warren’s record setting fundraising numbers that are vulnerable to fraud.
The Warren campaign has been even more successful than the Obama campaign at raising money from vulnerable online websites. Obama’s 38% (according to Open Secrets) of total contributions raised in “unitemized” donations from vulnerable online websites is the only other major political campaign that comes close to Warren’s 43%.
The Warren campaign is faltering at the finish line and from the looks of the new Boston Globe poll, Scott Brown is capitalizing.