Hezbollah in Lebanon needs Bashar Assad to stay in power, as Syria not only supports Hezbollah militarily but also serves as a logistics conduit for Iran.
Hezbollah’s support of Syria’s crackdown has been noticed:
Syrian security forces fired at two protests in the eastern province of Deir al-Zor on Friday as demonstrations demanding the removal of President Bashar Assad swept the tribal area, residents and activists said.
In the city of Albu Kamal on the Iraqi border, protesters burned pictures of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, whose speech in Beirut this week in support of Assad infuriated demonstrators, activists and a tribal leader in the province told Reuters by phone, adding security forces had withdrawn from the streets of Albu Kamal.
While many worry about what would happen if Assad was toppled, I’m less concerned. Unlike Egypt under Mubarak and Jordan, Syria has been a cause of trouble in the region for decades, and Assad has the blood of hundreds of American soldiers on his hands as Syria served as a conduit for foreign fighters to enter Iraq.
If Assad falls, Hezbollah will be isolated geographically and politically. The upside for peace in the region would be enormous.