CNN Data Analyst Sounds Alarm for Harris Campaign About Low Support From Union Households
“And we know that Donald Trump has been going after that vote, and he is in a very, very strong position—more so perhaps than with any other bloc.”
Harry Enten of CNN recently raised some red flags for the Kamala Harris campaign regarding support from union households. Harris is at a record low, polling even lower than Hillary Clinton in 2016.
We recently noted that Democrats are privately worried about the non-endorsement of Harris by the Teamsters Union. It looks like they have good reasons to be concerned.
Transcript via Real Clear Politics:
HARRY ENTEN, CNN: Sometimes there are data points that just jump off the screen and should set off sirens. Alright, this is union households, this is the Democratic margin in the presidential election. It ain’t what it used to be.
You go back to 1992, Bill Clinton won that union vote by 30 points. Hillary Clinton only won it by 12 points back in 2016. That was the lowest mark for a Democrat since 1984, Mondale versus Reagan. But look at where Kamala Harris is today. She is only leading by nine points. That would be the worst Democratic performance in a generation. Ten points off the mark of Joe Biden, who of course won four years ago as sort of that union guy, “Union Joe,” right? He won by 19 points. She’s ten points off his mark, and the worst in a generation if this, in fact, holds…
Folks who use their hands. I think a lot of people often conflate the union vote with those who use their hands. Mike Rowe, of course, has been arguing more people should go to trade schools, more people should get a vocational degree. Look at this margin. This, to me — oh boy, does this tell you about the state of our politics now versus back in the early 1990s. The margin among vocational and trade school grads in pre-election polling: Bill Clinton was leading that vote over George H.W. Bush by seven points. Look at where Donald Trump is today over Kamala Harris — a 31-point advantage.
When I think people think of the working class, they think of people who use their hands. And we know that Donald Trump has been going after that vote, and he is in a very, very strong position—more so perhaps than with any other bloc.
Watch the clip below:
Trump has more working class support than any GOP presidential candidate in a generation. He's on track for the best performance among union voters in 40 years. He's up 31 points among trade school grads.
He's doing 17 pts better among nonwhite non-college voters than in 2020. pic.twitter.com/0ObrWWNzYf
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) September 30, 2024
Now you know why Kamala Harris claims that she grew up ‘middle class’ almost every time she speaks. Trump is doing extremely well with working class Americans. This could be the tipping point in the election.
Featured image via Twitter video.
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Comments
Personally I don’t this election is going to be close. Harris is an awful person with huge handicaps that prevent her from mounting an effective campaign.
I keep thinking back to that photo-op yesterday with her sitting at the head of the FEMA conference table.
That might have been her Dukakis tank/Kerry moon suit moment. She looked ridiculous and was clearly out of place.
She’s counting on male in ballots, early voting, voting machines, and other methods of cheating.
Don’t underestimate the stupidity of leftist voters, women in particular.
If it were just men voting? Trump would win in a landslide.
Women are propping Harris up.
Your misogyny is strong, Grasshopper, but not strong enough. By all means, blame women for everything.
Women tend to be emotional voters, thinking the government is going to keep them safe and provide all their needs.
Personally, I’ve NEVER relied on the government to help me, it only works against my best interests. Don’t paint us all with the same brush.
I’m not “painting all with the same broad brush” – notice the little word “tend”…
Of course there are exceptions. Such women are more often than not conservative. 🙂
His misogyny is strong, Millipede, but not nearly as strong as your stupidity.
By all means, get the hell out of here.
She’ll almost certainly win the national popular vote. California is simply too far gone. Biden won it 63/32 with 11.1-MILLION votes. CA was almost 14% of all his entire vote count even though the total CA vote count only represented 11% of all votes cast in the country. See the problem?
If you belong to a private sector union, especially in the old school manufacturing and trades areas, and you are voting for Harris you are an idiot.
If you are voting for Harris at all, you’re an idiot
What’s the saying about the horse and barn door?
What I want to know is, who exactly is in this +9 group?!?
Probably comprised of a majority of public sector union members with more than a few die hard d/prog old school union retirees who’ve voted d/prog their whole life.
Thats the question I have.
I cant tell from the article the breakdown between private industry unions and public sector unions. Public sector unions will vote 99+% for harris
As CommoChief says, the remaining union support for Democrats will come from Teachers and Government Employees -Longshore/Harborworkers and other union members whose jobs are not threatened by overseas competition or imported “immigrant” labor.
I bet they ‘work with their hands’ in all sorts of ways
Trade unions may finally be morphing to more aptly reflect the values embraced by it’s members.
The guy that can reliably hold.0005″+/- and run that tolerance all day every day realizes at long last what he holds.
more people have fled the dems than even south america
trump should win 56% at a min and 62% realistically
yes,,realistically
I agree with your numbers. If the Republican nominee was anyone other than Trump, he or she would win 56% at a min and 62% realistically.
TDS-addled drone checks in with today’s hot take.
Harris only leads in union households by 9-points. And, she’s underwater with Latino Men w/o degrees Latino by more than 10-points and may be only winning black males by 60-points…which sounds like a lot until you realize Obama won black males by 95-points. And yet, the usual polling suspects are still showing Harris leading by as much as 6-points. The mathematical gymnastics they must be going through to publish the poll they want/need to publish has to be exhausting.
the latino vote should be interesting.
I ride bicycles competitively and in the Dallas area there is a large segment of hispanics that ride competitively, so as a white guy, I interact extensively with the hispanic community. As cyclists, we rarely discuss politics, and political discussions are taboo. though on the very few occasions with politics come up, there is a very strong sense of pro trump support.
The other divide is increasingly between men and women within these communities. The men are mostly still in blue collar industries while the women who do work are college educated in far higher % ….which comes with the wokiesta indoctrination along with the cultural ‘boss girl’ celebration.
I suspect there will be a 20 point gap between black/hispanic men (DJT) and black/hispanic women (Harris) in candidate choice when we.get exit polling data.
Trump should win so long as the liberals aren’t allowed to “find” votes at the last minute or allow illegal immigrants to vote
Most of my employees are union. IBEW.
Aside from a few African Americans that have really bought into the racist narrative, none of them are Democrats – or anywhere close to being a D on any issue.
D’s losing the Union vote, for private sector unions anyway, is not a Kamala problem.