Don’t expect it, even though there is good polling news today for Romney-Ryan, as detailed at Hot Air:
Welcome to October! Today must be Poll Day, as media groups try to determine the lay of the land ahead of the first debate on Wednesday. The new Washington Post/ABC News poll put the national race in a virtual tie at 49/47 for Barack Obama, and so does the new Politico/GWU Battleground Poll. In both cases, the national results look more or less like stasis, except the Battleground poll shows a little movement for Romney among independents — and a slight slackening of Democratic enthusiasm.
I don’t care if its true or not, it is HEADLINE WORTHY. Come on MSM, you can do it, let’s get the Romney supporters out of the doldrums and get people excited!
Don’t hold your breath.
Anyway, this video sent to me by a reader gets me excited.
It’s what we saw in 2010, on Chick-fil-A Appreciation Day, and on National Empty Chair Day — the quiet cell-phone paying majority showing up.
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“Economic growth grew at an incredibly sluggish 1.3 percent in the second quarter, revised down from 1.7 percent. According to business writer Jim Pethokoukis, this is ‘dangerously slow.’ However, NBC skipped the bad news for Barack Obama entirely. ABC allowed it a mere 21 seconds. CBS was the only network to allow the story a full report.”
—Ed Driscoll @ InstaPundit
Just think what our news would look like if we had a working press.
If they can embargo economic numbers like that…what breaks through?
Many will look at the stock market and figure all is well. They ignore the $40 billion a month being pumped in by Bernanke’s fed reserve banks. Greenspan had said he thought it would be OK for that funny money to be put into the stock market, so who knows how much market manipulation is going on.
Anyone trying to short this market on fundamentals can get their head handed to them by the funny money pumpers. But a day of reckoning is coming … it’s just arranged for after the election. For now … vote buying writ large.
Good polling news today for Romney-Ryan?
Why so cynical? I can easily see the MSM headlines:
“Upswing in Anti-Obama Racism Coincides with Good Romney-Ryan Polling News.”
I’ve seen few indications (signs, bumper stickers, etc) of any sort that one of the most important elections in our nation’s history is to take place in a month+.
That’s terrific, if anecdotal. It does help push away the doldrums I’ve been feeling the last few days about the state of the race in general. I’ll be much more interested to see the latest Rasmussen poll for Ohio, which should be out soon. I doubt you’ll see many headlines about that, either, if it shows a tie.
As I look at RVP averages..here is one fact liberals will ignore
October 01, 2008
48.9 Obama
43.6 McCain
Spread
Obama +5.3
Today only 3.8 and falling
But that was mythical Obama riding his winged unicorn over the rainbow. His wings have melted now.
Also, only 9% answer the poll takers. These are people that are not out doing something else with their life. Even of those that answer, only one in seven are sedentary enough to bother to answer. My own polling tells me sedentary poll takers lean heavily toward Obama, even if they claim to be Republicans. Active people that can’t be bothered lean heavily for Romney.
Obama had all the anti-incumbent rhetoric in spades then … but real Obama bears the full weight of failure and broken promises on every front. He can try to sing and dance his way out, with big media playing his song, but serious Americans want a real president.
Romney in a landslide is a real possibility .. followed by massive mental breakdowns by liberal elites.
I can offer no “headlines” for MITTMENTUM–“the fix is in” with the Presstitutes. Nevertheless, the following questions must be kept in mind by every Democrat federal government officer or employee to:
“QUESTIONS FOR DEMOCRAT DAYS”
[Private and personal questions for every democrat federal appointee, employee, or staffer].
We’ll admit that you had a h#ll of a run
That you gave it your “very best shot”
We’ll assume you believed when you started,
That Obama was something he’s not.
We’ll concede “arguendo”* that your motives were pure
We’ll trust, for the moment, your vow,
That all those “ideal” plans, schemes, and demands,
Were intended to help us…somehow.
But those glorious “hopes” are now victims,
To a history both costly and grim,
Still, you’ll ALWAYS deny that your “savior’s” a lie,
And that we’re now imperiled by him.
We don’t ask that you renounce your “master”,
We’d as soon hope the leopard change spots.
But we have gotten so close to “crunch time”
THAT SOME QUESTIONS ARE NOW BURNING HOT:
1. If you are asked to violate your own oath of office or conscience, “for Obama”, will you?
2. If you are asked to violate rights and rules of our CONSTITUTION, “for Obama”, will you?
3. If you are asked to conceive of, carry out, support, or hide any act reasonably deemed illegal under existing law, “for Obama”, will you?
* Arguendo = Hypothetically; for the purpose or sake of argument. A term used to assume a fact without waiving the right to question it later on.
Alternatively framed: Between now and January 21, 2013 (inauguration day) are you so personally committed to Barack Obama (whether you are a White House staff member; a Member of Congress; a photo copy expert; or …whatever) that HIS DEMAND FOR RE-ELECTION WILL LEAD YOU TO VIOLATE THE LAW?
UP FRONT, WE ADMIT THIS “ASSUMES” ROMNEY & RYAN’S ELECTION on November 6. Again, “arguendo” we never expect you to even believe this possible. We expect you to lobby for Obama with every lawful power at your disposal. BUT, IF ROMNEY & RYAN ARE ELECTED, WILL YOU STILL DEEM YOURSELF AMERICANS REQUIRED TO ACCEPT THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE? WILL YOU STILL SUPPORT THE RULE OF LAW? TO YOU, WILL THE ENDURANCE OF OUR NATION AS A REPUBLIC BE MORE IMPORTANT THAN OUR CURRENT PRESIDENT-IF HE IS VOTED OUT OF OFFICE?
Everyone who supports Obama as President of our country should MAKE VERY SURE THEY LOVE OUR COUNTRY AND WILL NOT VIOLATE OUR LAWS AND CONSTITUTION. Then we vote and we all live with the decision of the majority.
Here’s a quote from a yahoo-finance article. Man, 2012 is the year the media stopped even pretending to be anything other than “Dem operatives with bylines”.
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/wall-street-secretly-loves-obama-bleier-141915787.html
“The polls suggest President Obama will be re-elected. While there’s a legend surrounding the 1980 election when Ronald Reagan overcame a huge poll deficit in September of 1980, the truth says otherwise. The reality is a sitting President polling as highly as Obama is now is all but certain to regain the White House.”
Rasmussen shows +4 for Obama in swingstates over the last two days. Which worries me a bit but it hardly the dire news the lamestream media would report. That these other polls are showing things about the same as Rasmussen indicate that this is the reality of the race (Obama probably slightly ahead but within the margin of error essentially).
I have to say, as a recovering liberal, I’m always amazed and stunned how conservatives are so easily fooled and demoralized by this fake momentum. Its all an illusion, I campaigned for so many dems, and appearance of momentum was always drilled into the volunteers, etc.
These overpaid idiot pundits (and I include the DC cocktail party elitist repubs in this mix) keep saying with the economy in the crapper, all the problems, how is it Romney isn’t outright winning. I take the opposite view, with the entire american press corp in the tank for their hero Barry, how is Barry isn’t up by 10, 20 points??
First Romney is either tied, a little behind or a little ahead.
Second independents, of which I am one, overwhelming support Romney, why do you think the Obot LSM doesn’t bring up independents this time around? the bring up women, and even those polls aren’t that far apart.
Third, why do conservatives trust any LSM anymore, heck I’m a former howard dean voter and I don’t trust the lying snakes in the MSM anymore, they are all fully in the kool aid tank for their man Barry.
I do follow this following site once in a while, they actually “unskew” the polls, hint: Romney is winning! and momentum is on his side. Take some advice from a former liberal, stop believing the corrupt lefty american media!
stop whining about it, stop looking at them as a legitimate source of info, just ignore them, starve them of money. The internet is the new american press corp.
http://unskewedpolls.com/
Good points, alex.
In the end it’s going to boil down to one simple thing…turnout. Obama’s support may be a mile wide but it’s an inch deep. Romney’s supporters are champing at the bit to get to the polls on November 6.
Interesting phenomenon yesterday on teevee. Obama saturated the football games with advertising. Those were almost the first ads I’ve seen for him and suddenly they were everywhere. They weren’t 15-second quickies, either. Dems spent a ton of money on those spots. I wonder why they targeted that audience.
Just saw a headline on Drudge that the Jets coach would rather Romney win than the Jets!
I believe his statement was something along the lines of
“It is more important for Romney/Ryan to win than for the Jets to win”.
I typed “coach” and it was the owner.
I put the following in the tip line, but it fits well here:
From PJ Media:
“WE ARE THE 91%: Only 9% of Americans Cooperate with Pollsters
One of the most amazing — and significant — statistics of this election season has gone almost completely unnoticed:
“Only 9% of sampled households gave an answer to pollsters in 2012:
It has become increasingly difficult to contact potential respondents and to persuade them to participate. The percentage of households in a sample that are successfully interviewed – the response rate – has fallen dramatically. At Pew Research, the response rate of a typical telephone survey was 36% in 1997 and is just 9% today.
The general decline in response rates is evident across nearly all types of surveys, in the United States and abroad. At the same time, greater effort and expense are required to achieve even the diminished response rates of today. These challenges have led many to question whether surveys are still providing accurate and unbiased information.”
http://pjmedia.com/tatler/2012/09/30/we-are-the-91-only-9-of-americans-cooperate-with-pollsters/
There’s a neat little graph showing the decline in cooperation rates from 1997 to present.
exactly right. I was polled by PPP this past week, and by Gallup the week before.
I told them both I’m voting for the idiot in the WH. Oh yes I did, why? Just to mess up their data.
And after reading this article, I will lie again to the pollsters considering they never disclose to the public just how skewed the polls are overall, in samples and numbers.
The presidential candidates, other state and local candidates for public office, and their supporters could really benefit from some “MITTMENTUM”. Next time you’re contacted, how about telling them the way you do intend to go. We could all use a boast! Thanks.
I did a voter registration drive at my church yesterday. Almost everyone is already registered and chomping at the bit to vote.
Awesome, great to hear, not because your church is necessarily special, but because it is likely very much like churches all across the country, the implication being that yours is not the only church doing so. Awesome.
The QStarNews Poll on Politics and Current Events
Released October 1, 2012
Survey conducted by The QStar Group – some highlights:
Support for Romney, Obama by racial groups
candidate White Black Hispanic Asian
Romney 52.1 / 48.7 / 62.4 / 50.9
Obama 45.4 / 37.4 / 35.6 / 44.4
Support for Romney, Obama by religious groups
candidate Christian / Catholic / Atheist / Muslim
Romney 54.8 / 53.0 / 46.3 / 21.7
Obama 43.5 / 46.2 / 48.3 / 73.3
Support for Romney, Obama by gender — Male or Female
candidate Male Female
Romney 49.9 / 51.8
Obama 47.9 / 46.4
http://unskewedpolls.com/qstarnewspoll_20121001.cfm
I drove out to Dayton last week to hear Mitt & Paul speak. It was a 10+ hour there and back car drive (little chance they will give a speech in Illinois). The line was similar (vehicular, not walking like) and started early. It was a good speech and I am happy I made the trip.
I continue to believe that it will be a big win come the first tuesday in November for Mitt and Paul, plus a whole lot of other conservatives.
There is nothing wrong with your television set. Do not attempt to adjust the picture. We are controlling transmission. If we wish to make it louder, we will bring up the volume. If we wish to make it softer, we will tune it to a whisper. We will control the horizontal. We will control the vertical. We can roll the image, make it flutter. We can change the focus to a soft blur or sharpen it to crystal clarity. For the next hour, sit quietly and we will control all that you see and hear. We repeat: there is nothing wrong with your television set. You are about to participate in a great adventure. You are about to experience the awe and mystery which reaches from the inner mind to — The Liberal Media.
I grew up in Toledo and visit family there often (planning on going out later this month. I have sent an email to a cousin asking him to let me know about the reporting on the Romney turnout.
I guarantee you, in all of my years (many, many) in Toledo, NOTHING like this has happened for a Republican–ABSOLUTELY NOTHING! The earth may have come to an end.
Also, note that downtown Toledo is a ghost town and has been for years and years (thanks, Democrats). This video was taken on a Wednesday afternoon. The only people who work downtown are at Owens Corning, (just up the block from where the video begins), a handful of other companies, attorneys (it’s the county seat), and municipal employees. No retail anymore, no reason for people to stay after work or come down in the first place. Note the “for lease” sign–there are plenty of them everywhere. No wonder the guy who filmed it began expressing himself in expletives as he rounded the corner. Nothing like this has happened in 50 years.
MITTMENTUM..!! YES…!! Thanks for the October 1st SMILE on my face, Dr.J!!
[…] – One Headline For Romney? Just One? – via […]
“the quiet cell-phone paying majority showing up”
Well said, Professor!
This tax-paying, cell-phone-paying citizen will be showing up election day with bells on!
If I have to, I’ll crawl through Hell over broken glass with a full gasoline can on my back to VOTE THESE GRIFTERS OUT.
Couple the following from Fox News, “Drop in Ohio voter registration, especially in Dem strongholds, mirrors nationwide trend,” with the fact that the bad-looking (for Romney) polls are oversampling Democrats, and the fact that Independents are being seen mostly breaking for Romney … and I wouldn’t be surprised if the MSM is in for a big, big surprise come election day.
Bear in mind when reading all this that Obama only beat McCain in Florida by a mere 2.8 points, 51.03% to 48.22% and by only 4.59 points in Ohio, 51.50% to 49.91%.
With Obama’s horrible record and the economy awful, does anyone see Romney doing worse than that? I sure don’t.
From Fox News:
“The off-hand call to vote may be by design. It comes amid a precipitous decline in Democratic voter registration in key swing states — nowhere more apparent than in Ohio.
Voter registration in the Buckeye State is down by 490,000 people from four years ago. Of that reduction, 44 percent is in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County, where Democrats outnumber Republicans more than two to one.
“I think what we’re seeing is a lot of spin and hype on the part of the Obama campaign to try to make it appear that they’re going to cruise to victory in Ohio,” Cuyahoga County Republican Chairman Rob Frost said. “It’s not just Cuyahoga County. Nearly 350,000 of those voters are the decrease in the rolls in the three largest counties, Cuyahoga, Hamilton and Franklin.”
Frost points out that those three counties all contain urban centers, where the largest Democrat vote traditionally has been.
Ohio is not alone. An August study by the left-leaning think tank Third Way showed that the Democratic voter registration decline in eight key swing states outnumbered the Republican decline by a 10-to-one ratio. In Florida, Democratic registration is down 4.9 percent, in Iowa down 9.5 percent. And in New Hampshire, it’s down down 19.7 percent.
“It’s understandable that enthusiasm is going to wane a little bit from that historic moment (in 2008),” says Michelle Diggles, the study co-author and senior policy adviser for Third Way. “You can only elect the first African-American president of this country once.”
Correction:
Ohio (or Oiho as Obama spells it) results were:
Obama 51.50% to McCain 46.91%.
I mistakenly typed 49.91% in the above comment. The difference remains the 4.59 points that I stated.
Luke, endure me playing devil’s advocate on the reported drop in Democrat registrations….
Could it be that enthusiasm to elect The Country’s First Black President was so high in 2008 that a lot of people were registered who ordinarily would not have been in a more mundane race? And if so, that *might* explain why there are fewer new registrations in 2012 – they’re already registered because of the 2008 Historic Election.
I have no idea if my thought has any merit, but it makes sense to me. OK, I agree, that’s hardly a big qualifier…
Take a peak at RCPolitics just now. Polls are swinging + for Romney.
Gallup just posted and the Obama lead is down from +6 the other day to 4.0
On average now Obama +3.7
Eliminate the obvious outlier and were within margin of error. I figure maybe +2.5
Or as our old goofy friend Dan Rather might say
“This race is hotter than a Times Square Rolex.”
Update from my cousin, who did not attend the rally, but saw someone he knew on the video:
“There’s a lot of polls that say Obama has this big lead in Ohio. I just can’t believe that. We elected a republican governor,attny gen’l, lieutenant gov, and sec’y of state in 2010. Last year – at the same time voters turned out in droves to repeal the new law severely curtailing the rights of public workers – they also voted overwhelmingly in favor for a constitutional amendment to outlaw mandated healthcare in Ohio.
This video (nor anything like it) was not on the news last week when Romney came to speak at the Seagate Convention Center downtown.”
Ha. HotAir’s going the way of Politico ever since Michelle Malkin sold out to the highest bidder — wolf in sheep’s clothing. Ostensibly conservative by throwing a few bones out there — definitely going left leaning with some of the Left-leaning apologist pundits they’re currently sporting.
If Romney wins the election — I dare say HotAir.com will go all LittleGreenFootballs on the blogosphere — or some semblance thereof.
HotAir.com — Guaranteed Soft & Squishy Or Your Money Back™
True dat!
Yeah, Flatdude…Michelle didn’t build that!! Right?? Prolly a Lib, too.
Back here on earth we love that girl with her gorgeous visage and rock-ribbed, tougher than 6-corral snakes temperament.