I’ve been skeptical of polls since 2016, but hey, this seems noteworthy since Republicans have a slim House majority, 220 to 212, with three vacancies.
Republicans could lose two Iowa House seats. From Fox News:
Democrats have the upper hand in the 1st and 3rd Congressional Districts, while Republicans remain ahead among voters in the 2nd and 4th Districts, according to a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll.In the 1st Congressional District, 53% of respondents said they preferred the Democratic candidate, while 37% said they would vote or have already voted for the Republican.Democratic challenger Christina Bohannan, therefore, has a 16-point lead over Republican incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in their 2022 rematch contest.
Miller-Meeks, representing the 1st Congressional District, defeated Bohannan in 2020 by seven points in 2022.
She defeated Rita Hart in 2020 by six points.
Cook Political changed the race to toss-up on October 4. However, the organization put the race at R +3 in March.
The 3rd Congressional District is slightly closer:
The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows 48% of voters in the third congressional district prefer the Democratic candidate, while 41% said they voted or will vote for the Republican. Democratic challenger Lanon Baccam has a 7-point lead ahead of Republican incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn.”We are confident Representatives Zach Nunn and Mariannette Miller-Meeks will win because they have delivered strong results for their communities,” National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) spokesman Mike Marinella told Fox News Digital. “This poll is a clear outlier, as voters are well aware that career political activist Lanon Baccam and radical liberal Christina Bohannan are too out of touch for Iowa.”
Current GOP Rep. Zach Nunn barely defeated then-Rep. Cindy Axne, 50.3% to 49.6%, in 2022.
Cook Political also changed the race from Lean R to Toss-up in October and had it at R +3 in March.
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