Jon Stewart Lashes Out at Pollsters After Harris Defeat
What Stewart fails to understand about the polling of the 2024 election cycle is that right-leaning pollsters were fairly accurate.
It’s kind of hard to blame comedian Jon Stewart for taking out his frustration over Vice President Kamala Harris’s loss on the pollsters who had forecast either an outright win or at least a super-competitive race.
The week after Harris launched her campaign, Bloomberg-Morning Consult released a poll showing her ahead of former President Donald Trump in Michigan by a whopping 11 points. The overly optimistic poll was followed by others that found Harris drawing support from blacks, Hispanics, younger voters, and women, groups that Trump had been making inroads with prior to Biden’s withdrawal from the race. Democrats were feeling the “joy” of the Harris campaign.
Capping off the silly season, three days ahead of the election, came a stunning poll from Ann Selzer, once a highly reputable pollster with a long record of accuracy. Her survey showed Harris leading Trump by 3 points in Iowa, a red state, triggering shockwaves among Republicans and pumping up Democrats with false confidence.
By the time “The Daily Show” began recording at 11 p.m., Harris’s coming defeat was well known. And Stewart was mad – very, very mad. Below is an excerpt from his opening monologue:
Welcome back to the Daily Show. We don’t, it hasn’t been completely called yet. We don’t exactly know what all the results are going to be. Our time is running out. I do want to very quickly send a quick message to all the pollsters, the election pollsters. Blow me!
I don’t ever want to f***ing hear from you again, ever. I don’t ever want to hear, we’ve corrected the overcorrection. You don’t know sh** about sh**. And I don’t care for you.
…
Here’s the thing. Here’s what we know. Is that we don’t really know anything. And that we’re gonna come out of this election and we’re gonna make all kinds of pronouncements about what this country is and what this world is.
And the truth is, we’re not really gonna know sh**. And we’re gonna make it seem like this is the finality of our civilization and this thing. We’re all gonna have to wake up tomorrow morning and work like hell to move the world to the place that we prefer it to be.
And I just want to point out, just as a matter of perspective, that the lessons that our pundits take away from these results, that they will pronounce with certainty, will be wrong.
Jon Stewart Loses his mind on his late night show.
"To the pollsters I don't want o ever fu*king hear from you again"
"Blow me"#LiberalMeltdown #LiberalTears #liberalfreakout pic.twitter.com/4Nsz40alCG
— Phuzzylogic (@Phuzzyl0gic) November 6, 2024
Stewart told viewers that Republicans learn from their mistakes. For example, after Mitt Romney’s defeat in 2012, he said the GOP learned it must reach out to Hispanic voters. Next, he ran clips of Democrats arrogantly ignoring their own mistakes.
He concluded on a more hopeful note. He said, “My point is this. [Bleep.] But this isn’t the end. I promise you. This is not the end. And we have to regroup, and we have to continue to fight, and continue to work day in and day out to create a better society for our children, for this world, for this country, that we know is possible. It’s possible.”
🚨🇺🇸JON STEWART: ALL POLLSTERS CAN BLOW ME
"I don't wanna ever f**king hear from you again."https://t.co/NAuDUi7XRR
— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) November 6, 2024
What Stewart fails to understand about the polling of the 2024 election cycle is that right-leaning pollsters were fairly accurate. The final poll from Atlas Intel came extremely close to the actual results.
The biggest winner of the 2024 election:
Atlas Intel.
Spot on polling. pic.twitter.com/V68ZRDkAUn
— Han Shawnity 🇺🇸 (@HanShawnity) November 6, 2024
Harris supporters, including Stewart, simply chose to dismiss surveys from conservative pollsters, favoring instead those that told them what they wanted to hear. These were the same pollsters who had underestimated Trump’s strength in 2016 and 2020, and whom Nate Silver described last week as pressing their thumbs on the scale.
Although I do feel Stewart’s pain (not really), perhaps if he stepped out of his liberal echo chamber once in a while, he might stumble upon the truth.
Elizabeth writes commentary for The Washington Examiner. She is an academy fellow at The Heritage Foundation and a member of the Editorial Board at The Sixteenth Council, a London think tank. Please follow Elizabeth on X or LinkedIn.
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Comments
The best thing?
The cries of cheating and foreign meddling will be ignored.
You don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.
Good thing we prevented the vandals from taking the pump handles!
Pollsters all fudge off of one another to try to account for the falibility of sampling error. There isn’t a truly definitive one among them IMO.
The real losers are the Media. They thought they had enough turd polishing cloths to ram Kamala toes into the White House.
What’s missing here is the 10-14 million votes that Biden got and Harris didn’t.
Democrats are blaming each other for not voting, but they ignore the possibility that those ten million voters didn’t vote last time, either.
“”He had no business running again,” said Charlie Comfort, an Iowa Democrat and Oskaloosa City councilman. “I blame him for giving us another four years of Trump because he chose to be selfish and egotistical. His legacy is severely tarnished in my book.” Ah,,,, when did YOU voice concern? Always someone else’s fault. But BIden and Ginsberg were allowed to stay on and covered for until they couldn’t hide the lies.
Total Votes
2004 — 121,069,054
2008 — 129,446,839
2012 — 126,849,299
2016 — 128,838,342
2020 — 155,507,476
2024 — 129,347,671
Nothing to see here, folks.
more like 26 million
Nobody has mentioned the major riots and firestorms raging in the Blue cities. what… none? But i thought… oh… never mind. However, I’d keep the boards around for the inauguration especially D.C. as the Dem children show up the screw up the Trump ceremonies. Harris wants Dem to continue to fight… ah.. like the truth and reality?
We were spared Harris meeting Putin where Putin would pull out a bottle of Russian salad dressing to go with her word salad.
I think it will take some time for them to get organized. They honestly believed (as in 2016) that no one would actually vote for a “convicted Fascist, etc, etc” and so they were caught by surprise by Harris loss.
Additionally, the usual suspects for spontaneous rioting are actually pleased that Trump won. They believe, I hope correctly, that Trump will make life better for the working classes. I know he’ll sure as hell try.
So, expect the “Intellectual Left” to organize a tremendous protest at the inauguration. They will use the next 90 days to get everyone signed up, assigned a bus, and issued preprinted signs. .
Aha, Harry Litman breaks his silence and lays into Trump for the retribution he’s going to do next. Litman attraction: crazy eyes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XGbn2O4Nwew
Ah the cries and lamentation. I love it I want more more more.
You also have to factor in all the “you are racist/homophobic/misogynistic” if you are a Trump supporter – so you are not going to out yourself to some pollster, ie many closet supporters that thus can be undercounted if this effect is not taken into account.
Stewart still thinks it’s all about packaging and messaging; he’s talking about repackaging the same old stinking corpse.
Wake up, the Uniparty died early this morning. Zombie Uniparty will shamble along for a few more years, but it’s over.
So tired of these arrogant, smug and sanctimonious Dhimmi-crat “comedian” pukes. Stewart, Colbert and their wretched ilk. They’re insufferably haughty, painfully unfunny and profoundly stupid.
We can at least enjoy four years of Trump & Vance ignoring these fools and refusing to pay them deference and obeisance.
With all of the climate change, not sure the west and east coast can handle all of the lib tears. The sea level is sure to rise in the coming weeks/months
Stewart is an idiot.
Those “pollsters” are nothing but propaganda pushers. It was his choice to listen to them.
He might learn a thing or two from reading “The Snake”.
WHY DIDN’T THEY FORCE ME TO LISTEN TO THE PEOPLE ACTUALLY TELLING THE TRUTH THAT I CALLED NAZI RACIST EVIL MORONS.
Nate silver of 538 is the definition of fake news.
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