UK Election: Labour Party Heading for a Landslide
BBC: “Labour is set to win a general election landslide with a majority of 170.”
The Labour Party is set to win by a landslide in the United Kingdom’s general election held on Thursday. “Sir Keir Starmer and the Labour Party are on course for a massive landslide general election victory, with Rishi Sunak and the Tories facing wipeout,” The Daily Telegraph reported, citing the exit poll.
Early projections indicate that the Starmer-led Labour Party could win around 410 seats, giving him a majority of 170 in a 650-seat Lower House. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives are expected to get merely 131 seats, a far cry from the 365 they got in 2019.
Labour has won a landslide victory in Britain’s #GeneralElection2024, an exit poll indicates.
Follow the latest #GE24 results through the night https://t.co/sVeAEsxGuN pic.twitter.com/SdGuORzJEf
— The Economist (@TheEconomist) July 4, 2024
If the exit poll proves correct, the Labour Party will return to power for the first time after 14 years of Conservative rule. Starmer, who replaced Jeremy Corbyn as the Labour leader in 2020, managed to turn around the party despite the colossal mess left behind by his predecessor.
The BBC reported the exit poll:
Labour is set to win a general election landslide with a majority of 170, according to an exit poll for the BBC, ITV and Sky.
If the forecast is accurate, it means Sir Keir Starmer will become prime minister with 410 Labour MPs – just short of Tony Blair’s 1997 total.
The Conservatives are predicted to slump to 131 MPs, their lowest number in post-war history.
The Liberal Democrats are projected to come third with 61 MPs.
The Scottish National Party will see its number of MPs fall to 10 and Reform UK is forecast to get 13 MPs, according to the exit poll.
The Green Party of England and Wales is predicted to double its number of MPs to two and Plaid Cymru are set to get four MPs. Others are forecast to get 19 seats.
"If these numbers are right, it's historic in so many different dimensions."
Sky's @EdConwaySky talks us through the data following the release of the exit poll.
Latest: https://t.co/xItZsH7tea
📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube pic.twitter.com/Y55F5q4PGG
— Sky News (@SkyNews) July 4, 2024
The early results do not come as a surprise. Opinion polls ahead of the vote suggested that the Conservatives were on course to a historic defeat. If the trend shown in the exit poll continues, Labour will likely head for one of the largest majorities in parliament. Conversely, the Conservatives are expected to suffer one of their worst-ever defeats.
The Conservatives failed miserably on the issue of Brexit following the 2016 referendum. Eight years after the people of Britain voted to take back control of their borders from the European Union (EU), the country has been swarmed by illegal migrants from continental Europe.
To everyone who has campaigned for Labour in this election, to everyone who voted for us and put their trust in our changed Labour Party – thank you. https://t.co/q6yDNPnAbo
— Keir Starmer (@Keir_Starmer) July 4, 2024
Nigel Farage’s anti-establishment UK Reform Party is expected to get 13 seats.
Last night marks the end of the Conservative Party as we know it.
— Nigel Farage MP (@Nigel_Farage) July 5, 2024
First UK general election requiring voter ID
It is the first UK general election in which voters need a photo ID to vote in person. “This is the first general election where voter ID will be required, after new rules were introduced in 2023,” Sky News UK reported. “There are 22 types of identification you can use, including a passport or driving licence.” This is a fairly common practice across Europe. I voted in last month’s EU elections by showing my German photo ID card.
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UK Labor Party heading for a landslide. Just like Trump.
Labour is not more popular, the Tories just committed suicide
Much like many of the ruling parties in Europe during elections this summer. Seems the common people have had about enough of elite class and what they are doing to their countries
I guess playing the race card doesn’t actually get you Hindu voters
Electing Sunak leader was not playing the race card; he won the position fair and square — and then wasted his entire time there. Both reflect his own merits, not that of a race card.
Sorry Paula, I up voted you by accident.
Labour is the UK version of Democrats, just not as intelligent as Democrats 😂
They are all in on the politics of envy, while being incredible wealthy themselves (but not to the same level as Democrats), can’t tel you what a woman is and is all in on fucking children (like Democrats).
The only real question is how much damage they can do in 5 years before Reform takes the country back??
Ah, but the catch is voter ID. Our “Tories” fight that tooth and nail, even to the point of insinuating that blacks are too stupid to have ID.
I guess the Brit Tories just needed mail in ballots…
You have that exactly backwards. Our Tories support it; it’s our Labour that fights against it.
UK Labor is the Democratic Party with upper class British accents.
No, those accents have been out for a long time, in all parties. Except Jacob Rees-Mogg, who does the right thing and doesn’t seem to care what anyone else thinks of him. In another age he’d be a PM, but these days his background is a mark against him.
What did Labour promise to do about the unwanted immigration? I don’t follow British politics closely. But it would seem to only get worse. Not sure what the vote means in that regard.
Bascially, The country has to somehow survive five years of all of the stuff they threw the Tories out for, except worse, before they get another vote. I expect labour will persecute anyone who foted Reform in attempt to prevent a vote in five years from making a difference. Oh, and up the rate of importing hostile foreigners.
The electoral system is set up to penalize the smaller parties. And the short notice meant Reform didn’t have candidates in place or much time for swaying the electorate.
The first thing Labor is going to do is lower the voting age to 16.
They may very well not do that after seeing the youth vote fall heavily to Reform.
Don’t be surprised if it shows up in the King’s speech. Their internal polling shows it would help Labor keep control of the government. Promise the young and dumb you’ll pay their bills and take care of them and surprisingly enough, they will vote for you in droves.
A country that chooses to be governed by 16 year olds deserves what it gets.
maybe it means ppl are tired of being lied to by the political class…
smoke and mirrors and stacks of BS
if you can’t deliver … time for you to go away …
You can read their manifesto on their sight and that is what they call it, manifesto
https://labour.org.uk/change/my-plan-for-change/
They promise to be everything for everyone. Secure borders, clean energy, attack banks and the wealthy, throw more money at the NHC. It’s going to be interesting. Seems to me that people were more sick of the Tories flailing around destroying their country with open borders and riots in the streets than have faith Labour will fix everything but Labour took advantage.
The thing is, the British people put the Tories in power specifically to deal with things like unwanted immigration and the EU trying to lord it over them.
The Tories completely failed to address the issues that they were specifically put into power to address.
My guess is the people decided “well, if the Tories are going to act like Labor in every way that we care about, might as well just put Labor in power because they’ll do the same things, but at least give us more free stuff…at least until they run out of other people’s money.”
Actually no. There was no significant swing to Labour. Very few people who didn’t vote Labour last time decided to vote for them this time. The swing was against the Tories, because they had messed up royally and deserved to lose.
More of it, by a landslide. The to mass immigration was demoralized by seeing that their Tory government was also a pro-mass migration party and didn’t turn out.
Labour will only make things worse, but it has to happen in order for things ever to get better. The Tories had to be brought down, because they were almost as bad as Labour. Reform now has a foothold, and will either become the real alternative at the next election, or will arrive at some sort of agreement / merger / takeover with the Tories.
hmmm
maybe france will fight the uk again
Maybe Britain will benefit from Marine LaPenns party kicking all the African migrants out of Calaise…..or maybe she will offer them all boat rides to Dover to spite labor. Either way, popping corn……
ohh the conservatives were in power during the acceptance of the migrants from hell????
Frankly the Tories deserve this outcome. They squandered their opportunity to make substantial reforms backing down and running trying to be ‘labor lite’. Hopefully the disastrous policies that labor is about to embark upon can be overcome before they do too much lasting damage. We were very fortunate to have had a political reform wake up call with DJT in ’16 who disrupted to some extent the existing status quo of the reigning DC consensus/uniparty policies whose extent depended on if the d/prog or GoP was running the show but whose direction was the always the same; bigger, more intrusive Federal gov’t, over regulation, open borders/imported cheap labor, forever wars, outsourcing manufacturing and restrictions on domestic natural resource extraction. Hopefully Farage can be the same sort of thorn to the political establishment in Britain of the voters give him the opportunity at some point.
The only way the UK survives is with a violent popular uprising cleaning house and clearing out the ongoing invasion.
That’s just not going to happen, nor does it…just yet.
The real news was the vote Reform got. Over night they just took the 3rd largest proportion of votes, coming third behind Labour and the Tories.
That should worry Labour greatly.
With what? It’s not like they
are armed with anything more than butter knives and cucumber sandwiches. The modern European man is toothless
There will be overwhelming damage. Another 4 years of mass immigration will change the UK forever when you remember it comes on top of 14 years of it from Johnson, May, and Cameroon.
The question is will Tory learn the lesson or continue competing for good reviews in the Guardian about how they are the right kind of conservative?
Rishi Sunak lost any chance of re-election when he fired Braverman for asking for the authority to force the police to enforce laws equally instead of based on how leftist the people are.
In other words not only will Tory keep pissing on you and doing exactly the opposite of what you want but if you aren’t for it the police will arrest you and the government will in no way try to intervene on behalf of rule of law.
Maybe, maybe not.
Even though Labour won a landslide the numbers don’t tell the full picture.
Over all their vote % only increased by 1.7% and what’s worse is that their percentage this time was nearly 10% lower than when Tony Blair swept in to power and the end of the 90’s.
Labour may have a majority 5 miles long the reality is it’s about 2 inches thick so they will have to be very careful these next 6 months least they fuck everyone off and they crash and burn bigly! At least one of the good things Boris achieved was to repealed the fix parliamentary term legislation so a general election can be called at any time.
So we may not have to suffer for 5 full years 🤷♂️🤷♂️ Although we probably will 🫣
A good question is will the chamber of commerce sorts of ‘conservatives’ learn from this example and stop stiff arming the growing populist mood of the electorate? They didn’t seem to understand the populist mood and intense dissatisfaction with the status quo offered by Brexit. Nor did they understand the groundswell of support for Trump in ’16 who ran on shutting off cheap imported labor by closing the border spigot, reining in govt bureaucracies hell bent on misusing their govt jobs to form an unelected fourth branch of government, ending the forever wars and the US foreign policy establishment’s preference of bullying other Nations instead of achieving real partnership among other things. Those were pre-existing populist positions that Trump became the avatar for.
I hope they draw the correct lesson that voters can/will stay home for an election where the candidates have/are ignoring the policy preferences of the average voter and are instead pushing the agenda favored by the triumvirate of big gov’t, big business and lefty academics/media talking heads. If they don’t and instead seek to thwart the agenda DJT is elected to implement… I suspect that the politics which come after Trump, of he is thwarted will be far more incendiary, far less congenial, far less interested in the appearance of civility and focused entirely on short term victories gained by overturning lots of previously sacrosanct apple carts. If you thought one Speaker HoR getting ousted was unpleasant and/or unnecessary…. buckle up b/c the ride gonna get bumpy.
Five years, not four. And repealing the fixed term doesn’t change that, since there’s nothing that can force Starmer to call an early election, and he’s unlikely to do so unless Labour does very well and gains significant support. On this election’s numbers, Starmer would not dare risk another election a day before he has to have one.
True. The only way is either through some series of events that generate extreme public/political pressure to do so. I suppose the King could ask for his resignation then ask another to form a govt and that might trigger a series of events leading to an early election. Those are unlikely and I don’t see how/why Labor would agree to give up power voluntarily. The man might be less radical than we believe and govern closer to Sunak’s policies than many expect, Sunak’s policies were not exactly ‘conservative’ to put it mildly which is why voters abandoned the Tories by voting Reform or staying home.
I don’t think the King could do that. So long as he has a majority in the Commons nothing can make him call an early election. So it would take a massive defection by Labour MPs.
The Tories enjoyed an enormous victory 5-years ag0 and then decided to govern like progressives; incompetent, financially unrestrained and burdened by scandal after scandal. Brits were tired of an anemic economy, crumbling infrastructure and a health system that was ineffective and unresponsive. So, they’ve decided to put people in charge who will surely only make it worse BUT, will make it worse with even more foreigners. Good luck Limeys, you’re gonna need it.
The people who voted labor voted labor last time to or are only recently eligible to vote.
The Conservative vote was depressed by seeing the government dedicated to net zero, mass immigration, and setting police on them to do trumped up charges instead of equal justice under the law (remember Braverman?).
The labour voters want exactly what you described, there was no crossover of voting conservative 5 years ago but labour today.
The Conservative Party are being punished for betraying their voters and Labour and the Lib Dems are benefitting from this. In Scotland the SNP is also being punished for different reasons. But the main news is the emergence of Nigel Farage’s Reform UK which is forecast to move from no seats in the last General Election to 13 in this and it is expected that one of these seats will go to Farage and another to the abrasive Lee Anderson. The first five seats have gone to Labour, four have been held and one has been taken from the Conservatives. The big story here though is Reform’s strong results. Unfortunately, due to the British system, the Lib Dems will receive far less votes than Reform but will have many more seats. This could be a tipping point where Reform puts itself in a position to either replace or absorb the Conservatives. Quite honestly though, it would not want the majority of Conservative MPs.
Farage is 99% chance of winning his seat now
The Guardian is calling it for Farage. Took 8 tries but he is in Parliament and his Reform took the 3rd most votes. This is pretty much like the US where leftists win the cities and those on the right win most of the rest with the problem being the cities have a greater population.
Farage, Tice (Deputy Leader) and Anderson won their seats.
reform also gained nearly 15% of the popular vote for their 13 seats while the Lib Dem’s got 12% and 72 seats!
Watch leftists suddenly lose interest in the popular vote 😂
Typo, 15% for its 4 seats vs 12% for Lin Dems 72 seats!
It absolutely wants to absorb the Conservative MPs. Don’t confuse the British system for ours because of the similarities. Parties in Britain have control over MPs in their party and it is very easy to enforce party discipline.
Ideally they would have their own candidates who will bring something to the table other than voting in silence but a back bencher who has to do as the party says, and says nothing will do.
The party system doesn’t promote independent thinkers. Hence why the established parties are just mirror images of each other.
Exactly why when people assume our systems are the same they are wrong.
I am not saying our systems are unrelated but the difference that yes the party does control you and has the authority to enforce party discipline and make you vote as the party wishes is very meaningful.
Labour is not more popular. It’s that the Tories have committed suicide (as did the SNP) and Reform is taking as many of their voters away as possible.
They’re going to be sorry, but then they would end up being sorry either way. There are no conservatives in the UK.
Great Britain will be toast within 2 years. The UK will probably be gone as an entity. This is the final stretch.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pBUYXGEqgEU
Labour will manage the decline better …. it will be steeper and more precise. Labour will be replaced with a Pan-Muslim/Pan-Immigrant Party just as France will.
Not a pretty thought or vision
The good thing about the landslide is that Labour will have no one else to blame but themselves 😂
The real question is what percentage of the popular vote Reform gets. Never mind seats, if they get more votes than the Tories then it’s all over and at the next election they’ll be the challenger to Labour.
Labour was going to win regardless, but the Tories had to be taken down, because there simply wasn’t an alternative to Labour. Reform is the successor of the old Tories.
Nearly 15% for its 13 seats vs 12% for Lib Dem’s and 72 seats.
I expect Farage will be the true leader of the opposition for the next 5 years while the Tories and the Lib Dem’s do nothing more than pander to Labour and their Muslim electorate.
Conservatives lost 2/3 of their seats. A monster defeat well deserved.
Sorry, 15% for 4 seats which is roll a major win!
14% and they went from 0 seats to 4. Farage is now in Parliament. I think this is the biggest story, that a party went from nothing to the 3rd most votes in such a short amount of time. Both Labour and Tories should take a long, hard look at this but from the Manifesto Labour put out with attacking the banks and wealthy to emphasis on green energy I don’t think they are seeing what just happened for what it was.
Labour only increased its vote share by 1.7% for its massive majority.
So more a case of Tories destroying themselves than Labour doing anything to win those seats.
No argument there. With a first past the post and second being first loser the other parties didn’t have to do much to bypass the Tories implosion. They did enough, though. The big deal is Reform and although they came in 2cd or 3rd in many ridings so only picked up 4 seats, the vote count they pulled in should give everyone pause. Casting the 3rd most popular, by vote, party as a bunch of xenophobic racists works in Britain about as well as it did trying that on the RN in France. People are watching their country be invaded and destroyed. Don’t much care for it.
Such is the danger of a very fractured parliamentary system, I guess. Labour didn’t even get a third of the vote and yet enjoys a super majority of seats.
Labour: 34% of the vote. 64% of seats.
Reform UK: 14% of the vote. 1% of seats.
Wild. The Tories and Reform combined vote total is larger than Labour’s vote total and yet, have less than a third of the seats of Labour. Of course, if you add up all the leftist parties, you get to roughly 56% of the total vote. So, the leftists were always going to win. But, their seat total is hugely disproportionate.
Countries w/Parliamentary systems love to criticize our two-party system. But, our system is more likely to produce actually representative results in Congress.
I found a X-post that calculated what the seat totals would have been under a representative system rather than the UK’s First-past-the-Post system.
Labour: 219
Conservative: 154
Reform: 93
Lib Dem: 79
Green: 44
SNP: 16
The leftist parties would have enjoyed a 111-seat majority. And/But, exit polling apparently indicates that a significant chunk of Labour’s vote was a vote against the conservatives not a vote for Labour. Hard to tell exactly how the country is split ideologically.
We have the exact same system. There is no difference. And if a MAGA-type party were to emerge to challenge the Republicans and take 15% of the vote away from them, the result would be the same: the Dems would win nearly every seat. That’s a strong argument against doing so, but in the UK’s case it just had to be done. There was no alternative.
Compare how this election in the Uk was run vs elections in America.
Here you HAD to have photo ID to vote. No photo ID, no vote.
Also here you need to vote ON the day IN person with very few exceptions for postal or absentee voting.
Here the election result was known by 5am THE NEXT MORNING!
Here it’s all done on paper! Not a single fucking computer anywhere!
Ok, I know the Uk is a million times smaller than the US but the system here virtually guarantees no fraud.
And with no fraud comes no voter disenfranchisement through making that vote worthless (it’s just made worthless in other ways like voting in the same people from another political party sign the same policies and no accountability to the electorate).
Finally, if Florida can get their election sorted and the result announced the next day so can every other fucking State in America!
Sadly though, there is an entire industry around ensuring voter fraud is never eliminated in Democrat controlled States and I can’t see that changing any time soon.
A major difference between the UK and the USA is that in the USA you’re never just voting for one position. In the UK your ballot paper is just one small page, with the candidates for just one seat, you vote for one of them and that’s that. So it’s easy to count these by hand, on election night. In the USA you might be voting for 10 different positions at the same time, plus referendum questions, so counting the ballots is more complicated and takes longer.
I’d say this has much more to do with the conservative party stabbing their voters in the back. Sound familiar?
Yep, they absolutely betrayed their constituents by being “not conservative”. Just the fact that over 700,000 immigrants came in to the UK in 2022 ALONE when they promised no more than 10k a year (and even then 10k is a huge fucking number!).
The Tories absolutely deserve their hard earned political obscurity as they did this to themselves.
Have suspicion the Muslims will run all over the Labour party
Its not a suspicion mate.
when you fear upsetting your enemies
you will fail
the next great migration??
conservatives to the usa
and not let in by the lefty
Saw this fascinating factoid from Politics UK…
Keir Starmer received fewer votes than Jeremy Corbyn did in both 2017 and 2019
2017 – 12,887,918 votes (Corbyn)
2019 – 10,269,051 votes (Corbyn)
2024 – 9,686,329 votes (Starmer)
Also, the new Justice Secretary has been named: Shabana Mahmood, a Muslim who spent half her childhood in Saudi after being born in the UK. I’m sure that’s gonna work out swell for everyone.