Two recent polls have shown Donald Trump tied with Joe Biden in Virginia. This is significant because no Republican has won the state in a presidential contest since George W. Bush in 2004.
Trump winning in Virginia would send a shockwave through the political media complex.
Several days ago when the first poll came out, Jeremiah Poff wrote at the Washington Examiner:
Donald Trump may have a shot at winning VirginiaThe last time the Commonwealth of Virginia supported a Republican presidential candidate was in 2004, when then-President George W. Bush capped off 10 consecutive wins for the GOP in the Old Dominion, but former President Donald Trump has a shot at reversing that trend this November.Once considered a perennial swing state, Virginia has tilted ever so slightly toward the Democratic Party in recent elections. Former President Barack Obama won the state in 2008 and in 2012, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton carried the state in her losing campaign in 2016, and President Joe Biden won the state in 2020 by a 10-point margin. In statewide elections, Republicans have fared slightly better, winning races for governor, lieutenant governor, and attorney general in 2009 and 2021, while Democrats won the same positions in 2013 and 2017. Democrats have held both Senate seats since 2006…It is amid this backdrop that a new poll from Roanoke College shows the presidential election in the state tied. Biden and Trump both registered 42% support in the new poll, while the president opens up a slim 2-point advantage when third-party candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein are included.For a state that has hardly been competitive for Republicans in recent cycles, the poll results are nothing short of astounding. If Biden fails to carry Virginia in November, his path to 270 electoral votes and a second term in the White House is practically nonexistent, given his polling in other swing states.
The second poll to find the race tied in Virginia was the FOX News poll:
Fox News Poll: Biden, Trump in a dead heat in VirginiaVirginia is not widely considered a battleground state this election cycle — or perhaps just not yet. After winning the state by more than 10 points four years ago, President Biden finds himself in a tie with former President Donald Trump, according to a new Fox News survey of Virginia registered voters.The poll, released Thursday, shows Biden and Trump with 48% each in a head-to-head matchup in the Old Dominion State…While Biden leads among Black voters, it is nowhere near where he was in 2020 – according to the Fox News Voter Analysis. In 2020, Biden won Blacks by 81 points, compared to 48 points in the new survey. Trump nearly triples his share among Black voters: 9% in 2020 to 25% today.
Matthew Continetti of the Washington Free Beacon commented on this development this week. Watch:
If these polls are accurate, this is a game-changer.
Alarm bells should be going off at the Biden White House.
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