Well, I will eat my crow. I thought Robert F. Kennedy Jr. becoming an Independent would only harm President Joe Biden.
Nope. He’s taking votes away from President Donald Trump.
A new poll with RFK Jr. as an Independent shows Biden lost five points. Trump lost 10 points.
“Although it’s always tricky to assess the impact of a third-party candidate, right now Kennedy alters the equation in Biden’s favor,” says Lee M. Miringoff, Director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “What this does speak to, however, is that about one in six voters are looking for another option especially independents.”
The poll is through October 17.
Biden leads Trump, 44% to 37%.
Between Biden and Trump, 49% of the Independents preferred Trump.
Add Kennedy to the mix, who is the Independent, and the Independents still favor Trump at 34%.
The Independents also chose Biden above Kennedy, 33% to 29%.
RFK Jr. is still a Democrat. The right seems to have embraced him because of his stance on COVID vaccines and Big Tech.
Here is the Marist poll through October 4. It had Biden leading Trump, but not by much.
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