The only thing about green energy that might be truly green is the river of cash the technology is bleeding.
Ford Motor Company recently released its first-quarter earnings of the year. The results were mostly good…except for its electric vehicle unit.
Ford (F) reported first quarter revenue and earnings that topped Wall Street expectations on Tuesday while also breaking out results for its EV segment for the first time, where losses totaled more than $700 million in Q1.Revenue came in at $41.5 billion for the quarter, up 20% from last year and beating expectations for $36.1 billion. Earnings per share came in at $0.63, more than the $0.41 expected by analysts. Last year, Ford reported a net loss of $3.1 billion during its first quarter due to losses related to its investment in EV maker Rivian (RIVN).In a separate release on Tuesday, Ford announced it would be re-opening orders for its all-electric Mustang Mach-E on Wednesday with prices lowered by up to $4,000 for some models.Ford stock was down about 1% in after-hours trading following these results.
The projections for 2023 for its electric vehicle unit point to potential losses of $3 billion.
But the company expects to be making money soon!
Ford (F) said it will lose $3 billion on its sales of electric vehicles to consumers this year, but it still expects to hit the profit targets it set for this year of between $9 billion and $11 billion.Ford said those EV losses and the overall profit both come before expenses from interest and taxes. The $3 billion loss is roughly equal to what it lost on EVs on that basis the last two years combined. It said it lost about $900 million in 2021 and $2.1 billion in 2022. It’s the first time it gave a breakout of the results from its EV operations.But it said it still expects EVs to start making money soon, going from a 40% operating loss margin last year, when it sold about 96,000 EVs, bringing in $5.3 billion in revenue, to about an 8% profit margin by the end of 2026. It expects increased production of EVs to bring global product of those vehicles to a 2 million annual rate by the end of that year.
Interestingly, price drops to be competitive among competitors have also fit into Tesla’s profit margins, dropping by 24 percent. Additionally, there are signs that the demand for EV’s is softening.
Early in the quarter Tesla reduced US prices on many of its models, then did it a second time early in March. The company slashed US prices two more times in April, including overnight Wednesday, in an effort to boost demand. It trimmed them in Europe as well.The net income drop came even though Tesla’s sales last quarter rose 36% to a record 422,875 vehicles worldwide. That’s largely because the average sale price per vehicle fell just over $5,000 from the first quarter of 2022 due to the price cuts. Analysts estimated that the average Tesla sold for $46,850 last quarter, down from $52,100 a year earlier.The company produced nearly 18,000 more vehicles than it sold during the quarter, indicating softening demand.
A problem contributing to the profitability challenge is related to the component parts of the batteries that store the electrical energy in those cars. The price of materials soared in 2022.
The volume-weighted average for lithium-ion battery pack prices reached $151/kwh this year, a 7% increase over 2021, according to the report. It marks the first time average pack prices have increased since BNEF began tracking prices in 2010—and delays EV price parity with internal-combustion vehicles.That figure represents an average across multiple battery end uses, including different types of electric vehicles, buses, and stationary energy storage, BNEF noted, adding that the specific average for EV packs was $138/kwh in 2022.Average prices could have been even higher in 2022 if not for increased adoption of the lower-cost lithium iron phosphate (LFP) chemistry as an alternative to the nickel manganese cobalt (NMC) used by many manufacturers. On average, LFP battery cells were 20% cheaper than NMC cells, in part because they don’t require cobalt, one of the raw materials that saw significant prices increases in 2022, according to BNEF.
With more regulations for more and more people into electrical vehicles of all kinds and environmental activism limiting American mining operations, the price for component parts is unlikely to decrease anytime soon.
If we could only capture the energy behind virtue signaling, the US would be energy independent within a month.
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