As we move closer to the November 3, 2020 presidential election, more and more Americans are “tuning in.” Not everyone follows politics as closely as we and our readers do here at LI, so it’s not unusual for people to first think about a presidential election sometime in October and to be influenced by what they see when they finally “tune in.”
So what are they seeing? Some think it can’t be good, the economy is no longer the thriving record-breaking monster it was before the Wuhan coronavirus happened, before the Marxist Black Lives Matters organization seized on George Floyd’s death to further their anti-American agenda, before months of burning, looting, and murder destroyed Democrat-run cities because elected Democrats allowed—even encouraged—the lawlessness, and before unscientific mask and shutdown mandates in Democrat-run areas destroyed lives and livelihoods.
You’d think, given the Wuflu/climate/blah, blah blah despair we are being told cripples every American coupled with the mainstream media’s incessant attacks on President Trump, that he is not only unpopular but unelectable. And you might be wrong.
More than 700 decorated vehicles converged on Albany Oct. 3 in a parade to honor the ailing president. In Staten Island, 2,500 Trump fans filmed a raucous get-well message that racked up 6 million views on Twitter. On Fifth Avenue, Trump supporters drove a contingent of flag-flying trucks to stage an impromptu rally outside Trump Tower.. . . . Enthusiasm for Trump among his voters “is historically high,” said Richard Baris, the director of Big Data Poll. “We saw that very early in the cycle, in his primary vote totals,” when the president drew unusually large voter turnout in uncontested races.“Meanwhile, Biden’s enthusiasm level is historically low — so low that the Democrats run the risk of replaying 2016,” Baris said.. . . . Rank-and-file Dems are sounding the alarm.“I look out over my Biden sign in my front yard and I see a sea of Trump flags and yard signs,” Pennsylvania voter Susan Connors told Biden worriedly at a CNN-sponsored town hall Sept. 17.
However, there is research that suggests that “yard signs don’t vote.”
The New York Post continues:
Experienced political hands have a saying: “Yard signs don’t vote.” And research appears to bear that out — a 2016 study found that political signage increases vote share by a mere 1.7 percentage points, on average.Biden holds a 10-point lead in the RealClearPolitics national polling average, a commanding position with Election Day less than four weeks away. But the exuberant signs and displays of Trump passion may actually point to a yawning enthusiasm gap that could make a big difference on Election Day — just as they did in 2016.
Ironically, the constant barrage of negative press intended to harm Trump may be fueling Trump enthusiasm.
The New York Post continues:
“Their bond with Trump in most cases has only grown stronger, because of the bashing he has taken from the media elite, cultural elite, Hollywood, pro sports — everyone these people feel belittled by,” Allott told The Post. “The very fact he is getting attacked makes them his allies.”That loyalty is the engine driving Trump supporters’ election-season outpourings, agreed flotilla boater Ryan.“This guy is constantly getting dragged by a press that is so obviously leaning the other way,” Ryan said. “If everything was reported fairly, I don’t think you’d see this level of overt support. Because we wouldn’t feel like we had to.”Voters tend to turn out more reliably, and in greater numbers, when they are enthusiastic about casting a ballot for their candidate — not when their prime motivation is an opponent’s defeat, Baris said.
On Saturday, two events spoke to the enthusiasm gap.
In the first,#Blexit Trump supporters marched for Blue Lives and walking away from the Democrat plantation of lies and false promises.
President Trump addressed the #Blexit marchers when they reached the White House.
In the second, tens of thousands of Latinos for Trump rallied in Miami, Florida.
Ultimately, policy matters. Not only does Trump stand against socialism and communism, but he has produced results for Latinos in America.
Meanwhile, Biden’s campaign is whipping up tens of supporters.
We won’t know whether or not enthusiasm matters in this election until November 3rd, but if history is any indicator, the Biden team should be worried.
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