Failed Democrat presidential candidate Hillary Clinton keeps blaming FBI Director James Comey for losing to President Donald Trump despite tons of evidence proving her wrong.The American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) has produced more evidence that contradicts Hillary claims after she, once again, whined that Comey cost her the election. AAPOR wrote (emphasis mine):
Based on Figure 6, it appears that Clinton’s support started to drop on October 24th or 25th. October 28th falls at roughly the midpoint (not the start) of the slide in Clinton’s support. What’s more, the lag between when interviewing was conducted and when tracking poll results are released means that the slide in Clinton’s support probably began earlier than estimates in Figure 6 suggest. For example, the ABC News/Washington Post estimate of a tied race on October 31 was based on interviews conducted October 28-31. The IBD/TIPP estimates are based on interviews conducted during the six days prior to the date shown. Factoring in this lag, it is reasonable to speculate that Clinton’s slide began as early as October 22 or 23. There were no notable campaign events on either of those days, though the announcement that Obamacare premiums will increase occurred roughly around that time (October 25th).
AAPOR also found this (emphasis mine):
While Figure 6 indicates that Clinton’s lead was eroding before October 28th, it is possible that the FBI letter news story made that erosion more severe than it otherwise would have been. Another way to analyze a possible impact of the first FBI letter is to check whether, all else equal, the trend in support changed following the release of that letter. To test this, we conducted a regression analysis using all national public polls fielded between September 1st and Election Day. This analysis, which controlled for change over time and methodological characteristics of the polls, indicates that the Comey letter had an immediate, negative impact for Clinton on the order of 2 percentage points. The apparent impact did not last, as support for Clinton tended to tick up in the days just prior to the election.
THUS (again, emphasis mine):
Based on all of the data examined here, we would conclude there is at best mixed evidence to suggest that the FBI announcement tipped the scales of the race. Pairing this analysis with the preceding one on NEP data for late deciders, it remains unclear exactly why late-deciding voters broke for Trump in the Upper Midwest. Anecdotal reporting offered a number of other suggestions (e.g., Republicans skeptical of Trump finally “coming home,” Clinton’s campaign – believing the Upper Midwest was locked up – allocating time and money elsewhere, Democrats lukewarm on Clinton deciding to stay home), but ultimately the data available do not offer a definitive answer to this question.
Like I said, Hillary keeps bringing this up. She talked about it at the Women for Women International event earlier this week. From The Washington Post:
“If the election had been on October 27, I would be your president,” Clinton told moderator Christiane Amanpour, the CNN anchor, at a Women for Women International event in New York.Clinton stated broadly that she takes “absolute personal responsibility” for her failure to win the White House. Yet the Democratic nominee declined to fault her strategy or message, nor did she acknowledge her own weaknesses as a campaigner or the struggles by her and her advisers to at first comprehend and then respond to the angry mood of broad swaths of the electorate.Instead, Clinton attributed her defeat to a range of external forces, including saying she was a victim of misogyny and of “false equivalency” in the news media.Clinton said she was confident that she was on track to winning the election until two things reversed her momentum: the release of campaign chairman John Podesta’s emails, which were allegedly stolen by Russian hackers, and Comey’s Oct. 28 letter to Congress that he had reopened the bureau’s investigation into her use of a private email server.
She made these same claims in April when she complained that misogyny had something to do with her loss and pushed that everyone just needs to admit this.
The AAOPR poll just repeats what others have found, but as long as Hillary keeps complaining, we have to keep blogging and reporting these points. Misogyny? NO! I blogged about this last month:
They cannot accept the fact that most women care about issues rather than the chromosomal makeup of the candidate:
What mattered most to voters, exit surveys indicated, was the economy, and, to borrow Trump’s words, “draining the swamp” in Washington. Four in 10 voters attested that they were in search of change, and three in five said the country was seriously on the wrong track. About the same proportion of people felt the economy wasn’t working for them, and two-thirds indicated that their financial situation was either the same or worse than it was when President Obama started his second term four years go.
Our ability to pursue happiness trumped electing the first female president:
Yet in interviews, some women said that electing the first female president wasn’t a reason to back the Mrs. Clinton. They cited misgivings about her use of a private email server while secretary of state, the fact they didn’t trust her or that they disagreed with her policies to expand government aid, such as her plan for free tuition for certain colleges.“There isn’t a great deal of evidence that either her positions on issues or her candidacy as a woman [moved] the numbers very much,” said Karlyn Bowman, senior fellow at the conservative American Enterprise Institute in Washington.
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