Polls closed at 8 p.m. Central. Will be updating through the night with the most recent news at the top. Updates or tips in the comments would be appreciated. Democrats need to take three races to take control of the Senate (there are two recalls against Democrats next week).
Here is a guide to districts and candidates (I’ll try to keep up with the percentages, on this chart, let’s see if it works):
Via WisPolitics Election Blog (updates in Central Time):
Last updated at 12:48 a.m. Central
2nd Senate District – 100% reporting
60% – Sen. Robert Cowles, R-Allouez (Incumbent) – x
40% – Nancy Nusbaum, D-De Pere
8th Senate District – 99% reporting
54% – Sen. Alberta Darling, R-River Hills (Inc.) – x
46% – Rep. Sandy Pasch, D-Whitefish Bay
10th Senate District – 100% reporting
58% – Sen. Sheila Harsdorf, R-River Falls (Inc.) – x
42% – Shelly Moore, D-River Falls
14th Senate District – 100% reporting
52% – Sen. Luther Olsen, R-Ripon (Inc.) – x
48% – Rep. Fred Clark, D-Baraboo
18th Senate District – 100% reporting
49% – Sen. Randy Hopper, R-Fond du Lac (Inc.)
51% – Jessica King, D-Oshkosh – x
32nd Senate District – 100% reporting
45% – Sen. Dan Kapanke, R-La Crosse (Inc.)
55% – Rep. Jennifer Shilling, D-La Crosse – x
Updates (Eastern Time):
9:45: Not getting my hopes up, but … Republicans leading in 5 of 6, but it is early.
10:00: Not getting my hopes up, but … on Twitter the other side is getting glum
10:15: AP calls District 2 for Republican
10:24: AP calls District 10 for Republican
10:42: WisPolitics calls District 14 for Republican // 10:49, but then removed designation, Dem’s hometown still hasn’t reported.
10:58: Darling losing but per Charlie Sykes key districts (Waukesha) not yet reported.
11:03: AP calls District 14 for Republican
11:10: AP calls District 32 for Democrat (this was expected)
11:42: AP calls District 18 for Democrat.
12:09 Per Charlie Sykes, Darling pulls ahead with Waukesha vote (not yet in totals above)
12:20: Darling now in the lead, but I’m not breaking out the Victory Dance until it’s been declared.
12:41: News 3 calls the race for Darling. that’s it, time to break out the Victory Dance:
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Comments
Tuesday, August 9, 2011
11:53 AM: Clerks: Turnout steady to near presidential levels
Various clerks in the recall districts reported steady turnout so far with some projecting numbers that will rival a presidential election.
http://elections.wispolitics.com/2011/08/clerks-turnout-steady-to-near.html?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed
looking good so far
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2011/by_county/WI_Page_0809.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS
Not to get too ahead of ourselves: What will the narrative coming out of this night be if the R’s take all of them?
I found this site via Michele Malkin’s post:
http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/Recall_of_Wisconsin_State_Senators_election_results,_2011
Looks similar, but thanks for the “live-blog” updating.
Appears good thus far. Although, it’s early. Only 1 seat may flip, at this point? Hope the rest hold, and that one changes to an R!!
https://twitter.com/#!/search?q=%23wirecall
Kapanke and Darling may be in trouble, but it is too early to tell. All others doing well.
1 called for the Republicans
I’m told Hopper just declared winner, but can’t confirm
I think the left losses big….
at least I can hope.
I wonder if 0bama will throw a temper tantrum…
and start crying on the podium….
….and then go into a long winded speech…
about his fallen democrats who failed to win wisconsin back
(and then start a war with wisconsin…. because 0bama thinks it’s not part of the 57 original USA states)
….then he spend about 10 billion of the taxpayers money
to build 100,000 foot stone statue’s in traditional memorialization/tribute of each one of those democrats to honor them so that the left can forever worship them.
The left will be devastated if they lose this to republicans a third time… they will barely recover if this happens.
It is a good thing that McCain/Feingold got rid of the corrupting influence of money in politics.
If the people of Wisconsin have any common sense they will throw out two Democratic Senators in the next round of recall elections.
Several districts still are too close to call so it is best not to make predictions yet…
Hopeful sign: people at the leftist site I frequent–I won’t send it traffic via a hyperlink–are starting to make sweeping accusations of vote fraud.
You don’t seem to understand the rules. If a Democrat wins, it is the will of the people. If a Republican wins, it is obvious vote fraud. Meanwhile:
“In April a Tunica County, Mississippi jury convicted NAACP official Lessadolla Sowers (Less a dolla?) on 10 counts of fraudulently casing absentee ballots. Sowers is identified on a NAACP website as a member of the Tunica county NAACP Executive committee.
She votes as: Carrie Collins, Walter Howard, Sheena Sheton, Alberta Pickett, Draper Cotton and Eddie Davis, and for four dead people; James L. Young, Dora Price, Dorthy Harris and David Ross.”
Ms. Sowers received 5 year sentenced for each of the 10 counts, but will serve them concurrently (of course, she is black).
She’s the poster child for supporting voter ID laws.
The 2 districts down for Repubs have large urban areas and low % reporting, so very hard to tell unless you know which areas have been reported. Ex: The SC race with Prosser would have looked like a loss, except that the Repub strong hold with high population had not reported until the end…then won by over 7,000 votes. The other 4 are more rural and small city/town with less polarization.
I am told Waukesha and Ozaukee counties have yet to report. Very strong for Darling.
Olsen leads 54-46 with 95% reporting.
This is looking uncomfortably close at 22:45 EDT. The Republicans have held three seats but the are behind in two and dead even in one.
Never underestimate the determination of leftist thugs…
Rev. Sharpton classically explains to MSNBC viewers why thes Wisconsin recall elections are important:
http://www.breitbart.tv/greatest-al-sharpton-clip-ever/
The Dems are probably going to get their three seats. At least that’s how it looks now. But unless they hold on to the seats of the recalled Dems next week, it will be a wash.
maybe not …. Republicans up in 4
which way does Fond du Lac usually go
You could just take this comment in so many wrong ways…
LOL
Americans really want to know which way Point Place will go…
Fond du Lac should go to Hopper. He just went up by 51-49. Darling may yet win.
Kapanke may be done.
I understand Kapanke was considered the most vulnerable of the six incumbents.
This is uncomfortably close…
Hopper leads by 500 votes with 82% reporting
just called for olson a R…thats 3 ….we need 1 more
Hopper/King has King by about 125 votes with 87% reporting
In the Wi SC race, Prosser won Winnebago county 52/48, so don’t give up on Hopper yet.
It looks to me Darling is going to win. The missing districts are coming in heavily for her (2 or 3 to 1).
will be very close, but I think Republicans got this.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B9V2OpsTbAw
@Viator. Hope you are right. I live in one of those precincts. It’s been a brutal few months and tonight is killin’ me.
Are any of the Dems being recalled vulnerable???
Conversely, the missing Winnebago districts for Hopper are coming in somewhat in favor of King.
2 of the three Dems are vulnerable. Kim Simac has run a terrific race and Steitz in Kenosha also has a good shot.
All I can say is Ozaukee and Waukesha sure are slow and steady election counters.
Here is the site for Waukesha County Clerk – below the picture is a link for the PDF of election results.
Waukesha County Clerk
One municipality in, 397 Darling/200 Pasch
Why do I see this ending up in the courts. It’s like déjà vu all over again…
Darling now up 53-47 with 80% reporting
It’s a real corker…
Thanks for keeping us updated, Professor Jacobson.
Using the pro-rata distribution of the 39 of 51 precincts in Milwaukee that have reported, it looks like Darling will lose by about 700 votes.
Huge caveat: I have no idea if the 12 precincts that have not reported are in the suburbs which lean Republican or inner city which lean Democrat — I’ve just modeled out and extrapolated how the reported voting has come in.
Since you don’t know how many votes were cast in the non-reporting precincts, you do you arrive at this result?
Never mind. I modeled Waukesha but missed Ozaukee. If the three remaining districts in Ozaukee break like the 8 that have already reported, it’s going to be a nailbiter.
News 3 has called the race for Darling.
http://twitter.com/#!/news3jessica/statuses/101148880997056512
I have been watching results over at HotAir.
4500 vote lead for R’s ….I’m thinking we have won and the democrats have pissed away 40 million + for a fecal sandwich
I am at a loss to understand why the citizens of any state would allow outsiders to determine the outcome of a state election. These people are taxpayers in their states and must support the public sector unions with their tax dollars. For what reason does that make any sense to do that? Then when the state runs up another deficit, they will be looking to the taxpayers from other states [the federal government] to make up the difference. Maryland tax dollars going to Wisconsin to pay for Wisconsin’s deficit.
I am at a loss to understand how the people of the US allow their country to be highjacked by a creepy European born progressive billionaire named George Soros.
Let the court challenges begin!
The votes have been counted but the election is still up for grabs.
Congratulations to the Democratic Party and Big Labor, and best wishes for many many more moral victories.
With 99% reporting the latest results show Darling with 39,471 (54%) to 34,096 for Pasch (46%).
http://elections.todaystmj4.com/G8802.htm
Sooo, now all that’s left is the three Dem’s recall elections in what, Two weeks? Do they face any significant opposition?
The battle continues. These two could use any help you can give them. They both have a decent chance.
http://kimsimacforstatesenate.com/
http://www.steitzforsenate.com/
“Dems would be silly not proceed with Walker recall based on tonight. The results project to a toss-up if you extrapolate out statewide.”
Nate Silver, 538, NY Times
http://twitter.com/#!/fivethirtyeight/statuses/101150111962378240
Top ten ways to tell if you might be a member of a public-sector union…(municipal SPONGE)
10.) You take a week off to protest in Madison and your office runs better.
9.) On a snow day when they say “non-essential” people should stay home you know who they mean.
8.) You get paid twice as much as a private sector person doing the same job but make up the difference by doing half as much work.
7.) It takes longer to fire you than the average killer spends on death row.
6.) The worse you do your job, the more your boss avoids you.
5.) You think the French are working themselves to death.
4.) You know by having a copy of the Koran on your desk, your job is 100% safe.
3.) You spend more time at protest marches than at church.
2.) You have a Democratic congressman’s lips permanently attached to your butt.
1.) You pay more in union dues than you do for your healthcare insurance.
“The revolution has not occurred,” said UW-Milwaukee political science professor Mordecai Lee, a former Democratic lawmaker. “The proletariat did not take over the streets.”
How often do you think a regular person uses the term “proletariat”?
THANK YOU, WISCONSIN!
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Yippee!
Glad my donations went for a good cause. Savor the taste of freedom, Wisconsinites! 😀
An interesting aside: Long after the race was over MSNBC continued to replay Ed Schultz’s “live” coverage of what was going on. I know that the segment was pre-recorded, but it seems a bit irresponsible and misleading to play clips with Ed and all the Union-ites cheering about Pasch being up by 8% long after Darling had been declared the winner. The actual results weren’t mentioned until a 5 minute live breaking update about 20 minutes into the show during a commercial break, Mind you this was about an hour after the results had been announced on the web.