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California’s Democratic Drought: Only 190 New Voters After Months of Effort

California’s Democratic Drought: Only 190 New Voters After Months of Effort

The new large, independent, and unaffiliated voting bloc may well decide the 2026 governor’s race, so perhaps there is hope the state will elect as governor someone less odious than Katie Porter.

California is, indeed, experiencing a drought.

However, that particular drought does not involve the Earth’s climate…but a political one.

California’s political climate is changing, and the situation does not bode well for the Democrats.

According to a report from California Secretary of State’s office, Democrats have only gained 190 new voter registrations in the last 200 days compared to an increase of 48,104 Republican voters, 82,723 have No Party Preference, and 29,350 “Other” voters since February 10, 2025.

Nearly half of all voters are registered with the Democratic Party, 25 percent are registered with the Republican Party, and 22 percent have no party preference. California is home to nearly 27 million voters who will each receive a ballot in the mail for the upcoming November 4, Prop 50 special election.

The decrease in new Democrat registrations are in-line to a nationwide drop Democrats have suffered during Joe Biden’s presidency.

As reported by The Globe, “between the elections of 2020 and 2024, Democrats lost 2.1 million voters compared to Republicans’ gain of 2.4 million voters. In swing states like Nevada and North Carolina, Democrats are on life support as registration advantages have plunged. Representing a cross-section of age groups and demographics, voters have resoundingly rejected the rhetoric and policies espoused by the Biden administration and the Democrat party at large.”

A deeper dive into the numbers reveals a great deal of this shift is due to the Hispanic and Asian voters no longer being enamored with Democrats.

Though some have been drawn in by President Donald Trump, many of these voters aren’t driven by MAGA politics but economic concerns and a loss of trust in the Democratic Party.

The result was a sharp partisan swing in 2024, according to election results. Vice President Kamala Harris won the state handily, but her margin of victory (20%) was 9 points smaller than Joe Biden’s in 2020 (29%). That was the third-largest swing away from Democrats of any state.

Hispanic voters in particular fled the Democratic Party, according to a Chronicle analysis of election returns, census data, and voter data.

In fact, an analysis at the voting precinct level showed that ethnicity — to a much greater degree than income, education or even birth in the United States — correlated with a shift in voter preference for Trump in 2024. The share of Hispanic residents in a precinct was most strongly associated with a rightward shift, followed by the share of Asians.

This August, The New York Times noted that the Democratic Party was hemorrhaging voters. However, if the party can’t attract over 200 in the deepest blue state, the situation is clearly dire.

The Republican Party’s slight resurgence is due in large part to the success of President Donald Trump and his team. However, the state’s GOP has yet to demonstrate that it can capitalize on the shift away from the Democrats in any meaningful way.

The numbers also highlight cracks in Governor Gavin Newsom’s once-solid standing amid mounting policy failures. I almost pity the Democratic voters in 2028, as he appears to be the designated standard-bearer for the next presidential election cycle.

But it must be noted that the fastest-growing segment of voters is rejecting both major parties altogether. The new large, independent, and unaffiliated voting bloc may well decide the 2026 governor’s race, so perhaps there is hope the state will elect as governor someone less odious than Katie Porter.

Truly, marrying her would be a mistake:

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Comments

Porter definitely has something wrong with her..

    Dimsdale in reply to rbj1. | October 15, 2025 at 7:14 am

    She put the “odious” in odious. She is loud, unattractive and whiney. Like most Dem women, she freely abuses her staff and thinks she is entitled to the governorship because of her Democrat record.

    I hope that the recent and long term actions of Porter, Noisome, Bass etc. turn Commufornica as red as Reagan did in the 80’s.

Maybe the older graveyards will have some…

Scolding mash potatoes. I can believe that.

Odious is a good adjective for her. Lot of good adjectives. Ugly. Vile. Dumpy. Stupid. Ignorant. Loud. Obnoxious. Odious world well too.

Porter looks like Buc-ee the beaver.

Subotai Bahadur | October 14, 2025 at 8:28 pm

One key question is how many times each Democrat vote will be counted and reported to the Secretary of State’s office.

Subotai Bahadur

“…less odious than Katy Porter…” . It would be nigh impossible to find someone more odious than Katy Porter…well, other than Gavin Noisome,…(and maybe Nancy Pelosi)…hmm, I guess odious Democrats are as numerous as grains of sand on a beach.

The California Democratic party will drag down the national Democratic party. California has too big a population for the national party to ignore and too crazy for most of the country. Sadly they have infected the nearby states already.

Democrats in trouble? What do you think unverified mail in ballots, ballot harvesting and early voting are for? Being the party in charge of counting everything doesn’t hurt either,

    CommoChief in reply to Concise. | October 15, 2025 at 6:11 am

    Yeah, until the voter registration rolls get cleaned up or more accurately when CA is forced, kicking and screaming under judicial order to do so, political victories in CA for anyone but machine d/prog will be tough to get.

Whoever the D’s nominate for Governor will win.

What’s more interesting is if they go through with their US Congressional redistricting.

In order to put enough D’s into 5 currently R seats to flip them, they’ll need to weaken their current advantage in 10-12 currently D seats.

This could backfire on them spectacularly.

    lichau in reply to Aarradin. | October 15, 2025 at 9:15 am

    I live in California. Charles Manson (D, Dead) wins any statewide race.
    In fairness to the California voters, only by about ten points as opposed to the usual twenty plus.

The surge in no-party registration (in California termed “declines to state”) has its roots in the replacement of the state’s closed primary with the “top two” format, now in effect for over 15 years. If all voters can participate, then there’s no reason to affiliate publicly with a party–especially the GOP, when you can be doxxed and fired from your job for making that wrong choice.

However, California parties choose their county central committee members at the primary, and that part is still closed (obviously, the GOP is not going to let Dems choose their party officials, and vice versa), but for the overwhelming majority of voters, that’s not a really compelling reason to declare a party affiliation publicly.

If this trend continues for another 40 years, the GOP will be competitive in California.

190 is still way too high. I wonder how many of them are family members of incumbent Ds becoming eligible to register to vote for the first time. Or family of D candidates becoming eligible to register.

That’s still 200x the number of building permits issued since the fires.

destroycommunism | October 15, 2025 at 10:40 am

the left is weaving its way throughout the usa especially in smaller cities to power

stop the mailing in ballots as a norm

stop the ranked choice voting

stop the funding of the holding cells aka public schools

parents START taking over/back the responsibility of your own children

Democrat voter drought? No matter. The Communists – er, I mean the Democrats – control the three key positions in California: Governor, AG, Secretary of State. That’s all they need. In every election within the state, they could literally receive ZERO votes and still “win” because those three positions control the elections and the certification of the election results. And this process is not limited to California: the Democrats do it in every state they control, and have been doing so for a long time.

“Scolding potatoes”?! Now there’s an image. There ought to be a Far Side cartoon.