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Kentucky Governor Race a Dead Heat But Republican Daniel Cameron Has Momentum

Kentucky Governor Race a Dead Heat But Republican Daniel Cameron Has Momentum

“A month ago, Emerson’s polling showed Beshear leading Cameron by a whopping 16 percentage points. Friday’s poll showed the men tied with both candidates at 47%”

If you don’t live in Kentucky, you may not be aware that there’s an election happening there next week. Andy Beshear, the incumbent Democrat governor is facing a challenge from Republican Daniel Cameron and the race is a dead heat.

From Emerson College Polling:

Kentucky 2023 Poll: Cameron Catches Up to Beshear in Governor’s Race

The final Emerson College Polling survey of Kentucky voters before the 2023 gubernatorial general election finds incumbent Governor Andy Beshear and Attorney General Daniel Cameron in a dead heat: 47% support Beshear and 47% support Cameron. Two percent support someone else and 4% are undecided. Undecided voters were asked which candidate they lean toward at this time; with their support accounted for, Cameron holds a slight advantage with 49% support to Beshear’s 48%.

Since last month’s poll of registered Kentucky voters, Beshear’s initial support has decreased by two points, 49% to 47%, while support for Cameron increased 14 points from 33% to 47%. Undecided voters have reduced by nine points, from 13% undecided to 4% ahead of the Tuesday election.

Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, said, “Cameron appears to have gained ground by consolidating Republican voters who supported former President Donald Trump in the 2020 election. In October, 54% of Trump supporters supported Cameron; now, as election day approaches, that number has jumped to 79% – a 25-point increase. Notably, October’s poll was of registered voters in Kentucky, while this final election poll includes only those who are very likely or have already voted in Kentucky.”

Support for Cameron has increased among older voters in Kentucky since the October poll. A majority of voters (58%) ages 50-69 now support Cameron for governor, a 22-point increase from October, where Cameron held 36% support among the same age group. Beshear’s support among 50-69-year-olds has dropped 9 points since October, from 49% to 40%.

Selena Zito of the Washington Examiner suggests that momentum has been shifting to Cameron in recent weeks:

Even before the new poll from Emerson College came out Friday morning, the ground was shifting in Daniel Cameron’s favor across the state in the Republican Kentucky attorney general’s race against incumbent Gov. Andy Beshear (D-KY) for the state’s highest office.

Much like Cameron’s successful run for Kentucky attorney general in 2019, where he made history as both the first black person from either party to win statewide office and the first Republican in 70 years to be the commonwealth’s top prosecutor, his candidacy has been largely ignored by the national press and vilified by the local press…

A month ago, Emerson’s polling showed Beshear leading Cameron by a whopping 16 percentage points. Friday’s poll showed the men tied with both candidates at 47%, with 4% of voters undecided and 2% supporting someone else.

Politico is calling this election a referendum on Biden:

Kentucky is about to give us a major test of Biden’s unpopularity

To win a second term as governor next week, Andy Beshear needs to prove that the Democratic Party isn’t dead and buried in places like the Eastern Kentucky Coalfields.

And he needs to do it with unpopular President Joe Biden in the White House.

Democrats repeatedly invoked the specter of Trump to energize their base and defeat GOP candidates in blue states. Now, Republicans are hoping Biden’s deep unpopularity will help them in places like this.

We will know in a few days. This is a race to watch.

Featured image via YouTube.


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Kentuckians on the fence need to remember King Andy’s covid tyranny and vote accordingly.

    diver64 in reply to Paddy M. | November 5, 2023 at 3:17 pm

    How quickly they are running away from what they did to us or, rather, what scared sheep allowed them to do. Will enough people remember the lies and thug fascists in government that destroyed their lives despite the rain of cash we all got? I bought gold and a new firearm. People are seeing the prices in the supermarket for milk, bread and hamburger but Brandon insists all is great. When my wife and I drop $100 week on basic items we are not fooled

They’re pushing anti-Cameron ads pretty hard. I had one pop up on Fox before a video I was trying to watch.

    That vile scumbag Soros is funding “House N*gger” adds against Cameron.

    But hey, those conservatives are RAYCISS, huh?

      Tiki in reply to Paul. | November 4, 2023 at 9:05 pm

      No one is buying that Uncle Tom nonsense; they are the “river to the sea” neo-Democratic party freak faction.

A plurality, but not majority usually favors incumbents. Besides, isn’t Kentuk the same state which keeps sending cocaine Glitch McConnell, and his ‘we (heart) China’ wife, back to the senate for the previous 147 years?

My wife and I have a home in far-southern Illinois, so we get to see the Paducah TV stations. Mr. Beshear is running scared — he has those lovey, feel-good ads about himself running along with the Soros-inspired attack ads, both of which one runs if one senses one is behind. He might still win as Louisville and Lexington will certainly have ‘extra’ votes waiting. But right now he’s in the fight of his political life.

Another Voice | November 4, 2023 at 6:49 pm

Out of curiosity I looked and found candidate Cameron’s acceptance speech when he won the Republican slot for Kentucky Governors race.
He’s for sure a strong candidate which Beshear will have to make a strong accounting for the time he’s been in office.

It is extremely discouraging that this contest is close.

Christopher B | November 4, 2023 at 7:39 pm

Beshear’s anti-Cameron ads have been clearly racist i.e. I’m an old white Republican male voting against the black man my party nominated.

And I remember the racist democommies in Ohio would not vote for Ken Blackwell for Governor because he was with the wrong party.

We’re recent transplants from Idaho (May 2022), and we’ll be voting for Cameron … no contest. One of the primary reasons is his pushback on Beshear’s Covid tyranny as AG.

However, we visited with him briefly at a campaign stop last week, and urged him to stop linking himself to Trump and MAGA. Remember, Trump claimed that Andrew Cuomo handled Covid BETTER than Ron DeSantis?! WTF Donnie?!

Also, note that after keeping his promise to appoint SC justices who would overturn Roe v Wade, TRUMP IS NOW DOING A ROMNEY ON THE ISSUE!

Just stick to your platform and policies for Kentucky, Mr. Cameron. And unhitch your wagon from Teh Donuld.