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With Beto Far Behind in the Polls, Will Democrats Finally Give Up on Their Boy Wonder?

With Beto Far Behind in the Polls, Will Democrats Finally Give Up on Their Boy Wonder?

“Six weeks out from the midterm elections in November, things are not looking good for O’Rourke. Governor Abbott leads in all recent polls.”

It’s looking like Texas Governor Greg Abbott is going to hold on to his office. Frankly, this was always going to be an uphill battle for Robert Francis ‘Beto’ O’Rourke.

Abbott is a popular and effective governor, and Texas is still a red state. For now.

Karen Townsend of Hot Air notes that Abbott is up seven points in the Quinnipiac Poll:

Quinnipiac: Abbott is up over Robert Francis O’Rourke by 7 points

The latest Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday shows Texas Governor Greg Abbott is up seven points over his Democrat challenger, Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke. Though it is a single-point lead, it is well outside the margin of error. Six weeks out from the midterm elections in November, things are not looking good for O’Rourke. Governor Abbott leads in all recent polls.

The poll of likely voters shows Abbott at 53% and O’Rourke at 46%. Some bad news for O’Rourke, besides trailing in the polls, is that the Quinnipiac poll shows there is little to no wiggle room with voters. Their minds are made up.

Brandon Rottinghaus, a University of Houston political science professor, said the poll confirms that Republicans and Democrats are largely unified around their respective candidate. The poll found that 96% of Republicans favored Abbott, while 96% of Democrats favored O’Rourke.

“There’s not a lot of wiggle room,” he said. “This is going to be a very base versus base election, and there are likely a lot of people in the middle who may not choose to vote.”

Over at the Washington Examiner, Paul Bedard points to polling from Emerson College/The Hill:

Texas Gov. Abbott pulling away from O’Rourke thanks to abortion and border

Texas Gov. Greg Abbott is pulling away from Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, aided by the support of Hispanics and the state’s opposition to abortion.

In the latest Emerson College/the Hill survey, the abortion issue — recently supercharged by the U.S. Supreme Court’s move to strike down Roe v. Wade — appeared to be helping the Republican governor.

Ditto with the ongoing border crisis, which has prompted the governor to ship illegal immigrants to Washington, including dozens sent to the gate of Vice President Kamala Harris’s official home.

“Voters were asked which candidate they align with most on the issue of abortion rights. Forty-nine percent align with Abbott while 44% align with O’Rourke. On the issue of border security, 58% align with Abbott and 39% with O’Rourke,” said the survey analysis.

Overall, Abbott leads O’Rourke 50%-42%. The governor’s lead has grown by 1 point since the last Emerson survey in February.

The Real Clear Politics average of polls gives Abbott a comfortable lead of 8 points.

It seems as though the Democrats have all but given up on Beto.

Exit question: After losing this race, which office will O’Rourke run for next?


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Exit question: After losing this race, which office will O’Rourke run for next?

2024 Senate race against coryn – Duh!

As a texas resident, – I will say that it is very scary that someone as unqualified as Buto even has a chance to be elected. Even worse than unqualified is progressive philosophy

    MrPeabody in reply to Joe-dallas. | October 1, 2022 at 12:55 pm

    Yeah, that is scary. Boy Wonder reminds me of:

    I wonder as I wonder
    Out under the sky

    Texas has wandered far to put up with his shit.

    amwick in reply to Joe-dallas. | October 1, 2022 at 1:02 pm

    and yet, look at our VP…

    It would help if Texas Republicans stopped electing squishes. Cruz just barely defeated Beto last time. and Cornyn? Texas not as blue as Texans believe. On the other hand, look how easy it was for DeSantis to flip Florida? A manly man doing what he promised to do. No BS. Just do it.

      Joe-dallas in reply to Pasadena Phil. | October 1, 2022 at 1:30 pm

      Dallas county is unfortunately very democratic. My neighborhood is heavily populated with huge Beto signs

        I don’t have anything against Texas, I almost moved there right out of college and have considered doing so a few times since. But it’s pretty much the same thing everywhere. Even the reddest states have surrendered their cities because Republicans don’t like to campaign anywhere but country clubs and big hotels. It is almost impossible to give up the big populations centers and expect to prevail. I’ve argued this with Texas commenters who insist on blaming everything on CA for at least 20 years. Texas is just like CA was 5 years ago and for the same reasons. At least we built our border wall before the Republicans skedaddled.

        trubtastic in reply to Joe-dallas. | October 1, 2022 at 2:36 pm

        Escape to Collin County.

      gonzotx in reply to Pasadena Phil. | October 1, 2022 at 1:49 pm

      Cronyn sucks Big time. Monstrous Rino

      Cruz is really a Rino too, sells out often, called Jan 6 political prisoners rioting traitors and just fell apart on committee letting legislation out that will hurt conservatives big time

      Abbott is weak Rino and had done crap about the border. If he had DeSantis balls he would have close it and put the National Guard down there and not tied their hands
      This would have put Biden in the open and called him out nationally!

      Instead, Patton amd Abbott said that the illegals are not “invaders” cause they don’t wear uniforms

      Can’t make this shit up

        gonzotx in reply to gonzotx. | October 1, 2022 at 2:40 pm

        Lol NOT Patton( rest his soul), Paxton…

        texansamurai in reply to gonzotx. | October 2, 2022 at 9:28 pm


        agree cronyn–disagree cruz, abbot, paxton

        regards the border, you simply don’t comprehend the enormity of a 1,200 mile border–how huge it is and how porous– or the manpower required to guard it–and with the feds acting in direct contravention of state policy (with the enthusiastic support of fjb’s administration), it is virtually insolvable

        you’re not in wisconsin anymore

      CountMontyC in reply to Pasadena Phil. | October 1, 2022 at 6:20 pm

      Every state Republican organization needs to be constantly working to expand it’s membership and support. Too many of those organizations seem to only focus on nominating the “right” type of Republicans( the “moderate” and “electable” Republicans). They don’t seem to care about what the base wants either.

Beto polling at 46% is pretty scary even if it’s inflated.

    txvet2 in reply to Eddie Baby. | October 1, 2022 at 12:59 pm

    Californians. They’ll vote for anything if it has a D after the name.

      The Gentle Grizzly in reply to txvet2. | October 1, 2022 at 3:39 pm

      Oh, for Heaven sake! You Texans are like Oregonians and Washingtonians: you blame everything on Californians, from a crack in the sidewalk to the heartbreak of psoriasis.

      They state that inflicted Jackson-Lee, the Bush clan, and Lyndon Johnson on the nation is in NO position to complain.

        How about Montana? Are we allowed to complain, and blame California?

          The Gentle Grizzly in reply to bigskydoc. | October 1, 2022 at 4:31 pm

          The subject was Texas. I don’t see Montanans strutting around bragging and being noisy about how much better they are.

          For the record: I am both a Californian, and if I could stand the extreme cold, I would live in Montana, in a heartbeat. That is because unlike some Californians, I left California in my rearview mirror when I moved to Tennessee.

          tlcomm2 in reply to bigskydoc. | October 1, 2022 at 4:34 pm

          Hell yeah

          Reformed Californian here

          More likely the long term result of college programming and young voters settling in MT for all the recreational opportunities there.

          We just drove through Montana from Washington the last 2 days. I’ve rather shocked at the numbers of young adults in the Missoula to Butte area and the way businesses hotels cater to them for hiking and other activities. I don’t know if it’s a summer thing but among the things that shocks me as the cost of hotels going through here I might spend up to 100 a night on hotels in Wyoming South Dakota and Iowa and then the hotels in Montana many of which are two and three hundred dollars a night and if I do have to rent one of those I’m shocked by the numbers of young adults who were there and think how the hell can they afford that.

          I don’t think voting ought to be a right granted by age even though I’m sure the constitutional allows it. It ought to be accorded by paying taxes are owning property.

          With lots of time to talk on a long road trip the wife and I were discussing goings on at college today. How some of these student unions are confronting their colleges to make them admit their built on stolen land. And I was wondering if anybody ever confronts them with your parents home is built on stolen land and someday you’re going to buy a house of your own and it will be built on stolen land depending on how far back you look everything in this country is built on stolen land. And I’m imagining if some of these little snots when they’re 30 years old and they’re five or six or 10 years into a mortgage on a family home we’re told your home is built on a stolen land you need to surrender it, I don’t think they would be so insistent on their beliefs. It’s easy to have a political opinion when you’re not a stakeholder. When you’re invested up to your eyeballs things are just different politically. So I’d love to see the age raised to a tiered system maybe at a young age you can vote for your local rep maybe when you’re a little older you can vote for a congressman. Maybe when you hit 30 or more you can vote for president.

          In Spearfish for the night. I haven’t been drinking but I think I got food poisoning from the fish and chips 🙂 good night.

        Bullcrap. I’ve got a new subdivision anthill on my southern property line filled with Californians. I don’t blame them for anything they’re not doing, like pushing up property values/taxes and voting for Communists.

    geronl in reply to Eddie Baby. | October 1, 2022 at 7:02 pm

    Progressives have no standards, check out Fetterman and Biden

As long as they spout the party line, dummies like Beto are allowed to run for whatever office they want. Hey, he won a Congressional seat, didn’t he?

    healthguyfsu in reply to Dave. | October 1, 2022 at 2:24 pm

    That’s the problem with Beto…he’s tried everything, including lying about his positions and not toting the party line.

    People see right through it.

There are legit contenders, then there are ‘vanity candidates’ – also-rans, like O’Rourke, Valentine, Abrams, et al. It’s frightening how well they poll among the morons who seek a sock puppet to advance their wack-a-doodle leftist drivel, and put money where mouth is, but there you go.

And money is the point. According to federal and many state laws, political losers have no obligation to return campaign contributions; about the only prohibitions on these funds is they cannot be used for ‘personal expenditures.’ *wink *wink So, in other words, this money is a slush fund that can go to other candidates, or state/national party affiliates which makes the also-ran a valuable ally in a winner’s campaign/administration. IE: money buys access. Bonus: the smart vanity candidate will data mine a treasure trove of volunteer/donor lists that other campaigns prize – raising the also-rans ‘valuable ally’ status in the party.

Hate the game and the player.

    gonzotx in reply to LB1901. | October 1, 2022 at 1:50 pm

    Eros family has millions and his wife is the only child of a billionaire

      ss396 in reply to gonzotx. | October 3, 2022 at 10:28 am

      7 points (3-1/2, actually)? That’s all that Abbot can manage above O’Rourke? Cruz only took O’Rourke by 1-1/2 points back in 2018. This ought to scare the hey out of every Republican in the State. Texas isn’t nearly as red as the complacent GOP there seems to think it is. “Why, just look at all those red counties overwhelming the blue ones” they seem to think….while forgetting that land doesn’t vote.

      City populations are blue: always have been, always will be. It’s just the nature of living on top of each other that you need more rules (more government) than you do rurally to keep civil order. Texas was full blue 30 years ago, and it is a major DNC policy goal to turn Texas blue again. The Texas GOP does not seem to understand this, or care about it.

Maybe Beta can turn this around by going door to door and promising to take everyone’s firearms if he wins.

I expect him to be Newsom’s VP running mate.

Gavin Newsom waiting in the wings. Just as stupid and arrogant. The perfect candidate to glom on to. Good luck with that!

Puto O’Toole and Abortion Barbie make a cute couple.

This is why I love polls.
“With Beto Far Behind in the Polls…”
Gee, the very last time I heard polls on this subject, Beto was kicking Abbott’s ass.

Hope twitches eternal.

When he and Stacey et al lose, they will crank up their own “election denial” machine. LOL

he craves the attention, the limelight–he has to have it–without it his wife, who could probably have any man she set her sights on, would come to realize she doesn’t have to settle for some low-powered soyboy

He’s a little long in the tooth to be called a boy.