The 2022 midterms are still almost a year away, but there are already some bad signs for Democrats. The state of Nevada seems to be trending red and Florida, which was already trending Republican is just getting redder.
It’s too early to know if this is part of a larger national trend, but it should still set off alarm bells for Democrats.
From the report in the Nevada Independent:
UPDATE: Trend continues of more Dems switching to GOP than vice-versaMore than two-and-a-half times as many Democrats changed their party registrations to Republican in Nevada during December, according to figures from the secretary of state.About one and a half times more Dems switched to nonpartisan as did Republicans. (Those Independent American party numbers below surely reflect many who thought they were switching to nonpartisan, and Dems lost more there, too.)I will be tracking this all year. The numbers for last month:Democrat to Republican: 350Republican to Democrat: 142Democrat to nonpartisan: 587Republican to nonpartisan: 395Democrat to IAP: 195Republican to IAP: 150Democrat to Other: 11Republican to Other: 16—-All major party branding problems are equal, but some are more equal than others.To wit:More than two and a half times as many Democrats have switched their voter registrations to Republicans as vice-versa during the last three months, a statistic with ominous portents for Democratic candidates.
At the same time, Florida is going deep red:
This Politico report is from November:
‘Milestone moment’: Republicans officially overtake Democrats in FloridaFlorida is now officially a red state.Republicans now hold a slight voter registration edge over Democrats, just another sign that the state is moving away from its two-decade-old reputation as the nation’s largest battleground state. It’s also more bad news for Democrats as they try to knock off rising national GOP star Gov. Ron DeSantis next year.Voter registration data collected by the state and shared with POLITICO shows that there are now 6,035 more voters registered as Republicans than Democrats out of 14.3 million active registered voters. Each party has more than 5.1 million voters.“This is a milestone moment in Florida’s history,” said Helen Aguirre Ferré, executive director of the Republican Party of Florida.Democrats — who once had solid control at all levels of elected office until Republicans won the Legislature and governor’s mansion in the ‘90s — held a substantial edge in voter registration just a few years ago.
Will Pennsylvania be next?
Republicans picked up 60 seats in the 2010 midterms and 2022 could be similar in scale.
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