Polling  (Page 1)

Not-Quite-Super Republican Tuesday

Republican Candidates as of 3-8-2016
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Posted by  ▪  Tuesday, March 8, 2016 at 1:00pm 3/8/2016 at 1:00pm
Republican Candidates as of 3-8-2016

Here’s the primary/caucus schedule today, followed by Real Clear politics poll averages:

Mississippi · 40 delegates

Last poll closes at 8:00 PM ET

There’s only one recent (2/29) poll, showing Trump ahead by 24 points.  Fair to assume Trump will win, but I doubt it’s by 24 points.

Michigan · 59 delegates

Last poll closes at...

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Cruz surges in key state polling, but national polling conflicting

Ted Cruz on Hannity_with Mark Steyn
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Posted by  ▪  Wednesday, December 23, 2015 at 8:30am 12/23/2015 at 8:30am
Ted Cruz on Hannity_with Mark Steyn

Whether it’s an Overton Window effect, an example of Boyd’s “OODA Loop,” or something else, Ted Cruz is enjoying a surge in both state and national polls.

According to the latest Quinnipiac poll, Cruz is now only four points behind the current Republican front-runner, Donald Trump.

CNN reports:

Donald Trump’s lead over Ted Cruz...

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Jeb Bush Fails to Move the Needle in Post-Debate Poll

Jeb Bush Trump Jerk
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Posted by  ▪  Sunday, December 20, 2015 at 11:00am 12/20/2015 at 11:00am
Jeb Bush Trump Jerk

Despite acting a bit more aggressive in the last Republican debate, Jeb Bush has been unable to move his poll numbers up and break away from the pack.

Dana Blanton reports at

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Polls: Trump Regains Lead, Carson Loses Ground, Cruz Surges

Carson-and-Trump-300x211
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Posted by  ▪  Sunday, November 22, 2015 at 12:00pm 11/22/2015 at 12:00pm
Carson-and-Trump-300x211

In light of the terror attack in Paris and (presumably) Obama’s weak performance against ISIS and bizarrely petulant performance in Turkey, terrorism now rivals the economy as the single most important issue to American voters.

ABCNews reports:

Terrorism suddenly rivals the economy as the single most important issue to Americans in the 2016...

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Rasmussen: War on Terror Concerns at 11 Year High

ISIS Libya
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Posted by  ▪  Monday, October 12, 2015 at 1:00pm 10/12/2015 at 1:00pm
ISIS Libya

According to a Rasmussen poll released Monday morning, more voters than ever believe terrorists have an advantage over the United States and her allies.

Conducted from October 4-5, the poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters, asking two questions:

1) Who is winning the War on Terrorism—the United States and its allies or the terrorists?

2)...

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New Polls Have Carson Surging While Trump Falls

Is Ben Carson ready for prime time?
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Posted by  ▪  Sunday, October 4, 2015 at 10:00am 10/4/2015 at 10:00am
Is Ben Carson ready for prime time?

A poll released by Investor’s Business Daily Friday shows Dr. Ben Carson sailing past Donald Trump. While Trump’s numbers are steadily declining, he remains one of three contenders pulling in doubly digits in IBD’s poll, the third being Senator Rubio.

IBD writes:

The nationwide survey found that 24% of Republicans back Carson, compared...

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CNBC debate rules could be bad news for some big names

CNN debate main stage trump fiorina top candidates hugh hewitt donald trump
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Posted by  ▪  Wednesday, September 30, 2015 at 7:45pm 9/30/2015 at 7:45pm
CNN debate main stage trump fiorina top candidates hugh hewitt donald trump

Republican Presidential candidates wanting a podium on the debate main stage will have to first qualify. CNBC set a 3% polling floor for the upcoming October 28th presidential debate.

There will be an undercard debate, but that too has a polling floor. To qualify for the kiddie table, candid...

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The Media’s Cycle of Churning Through Candidates, Trump Edition

how the media churns and burns through candidates
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Posted by  ▪  Friday, September 18, 2015 at 4:25pm 9/18/2015 at 4:25pm
how the media churns and burns through candidates

For everything that might be wrong with large media outlets, there’s no escaping the control they wield over election cycles. They possess the power to crush White House dreams or make them a reality.

Which is part of why headlines like this are hilarious:

Yesterday, we discussed a report released by the ...

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Polling Update: Wordplay Spells Trouble for Hillary

Q poll Hillary Word Cloud
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Posted by  ▪  Thursday, August 27, 2015 at 3:10pm 8/27/2015 at 3:10pm
Q poll Hillary Word Cloud

Quinnipiac University released a new poll today showing a slight shift in the way Democrats perceive their potential field of candidates. The numbers also indicate that those surveyed on the Republican end still crave candidates who by their nature are separated from “business as usual” in Washington.

More from Quinnipiac:

Vice President...

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Rasmussen Poll: Narrative of Hillary’s inevitability tanking

http://news.yahoo.com/photos/democratic-presidential-candidate-hillary-rodham-clinton-speaks-national-photo-043428437.html;_ylt=AwrC1Cn6p6dV9n4AdqXRtDMD;_ylu=X3oDMTB1NTJzaDk0BGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNpbWFnZQ--
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Posted by  ▪  Tuesday, August 18, 2015 at 1:17pm 8/18/2015 at 1:17pm
http://news.yahoo.com/photos/democratic-presidential-candidate-hillary-rodham-clinton-speaks-national-photo-043428437.html;_ylt=AwrC1Cn6p6dV9n4AdqXRtDMD;_ylu=X3oDMTB1NTJzaDk0BGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMxBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNpbWFnZQ--

Polling released by Rasmussen Tuesday show’s the “Hillary meter” dropping dramatically.

Rasmussen explains:

Last month, we introduced this year’s edition of the Hillary Meter to regularly update public perceptions of the f...

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Hillary favorability: Drip, drip, drip …

hillary-favorable-ratings-dropping
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Posted by  ▪  Thursday, July 16, 2015 at 10:47am 7/16/2015 at 10:47am
hillary-favorable-ratings-dropping

Long ago and far away I predicted that the effect on Hillary’s presidential campaign of the multiple scandals would be cumulative.

Since a large portion of the electorate, the younger generation, didn’t know the real Hillary of the 1990s, Hillary’s vulnerability was that the manufactured “nice grandma” and glass-ceiling breaker image of...

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Has Israel lost Democratic “opinion elites”?

[Megan Marzec ordering arrest of Pro Israel student Rebecca Sebo Ohio University)credit: Kaitlin Owens video)]
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Posted by  ▪  Monday, July 6, 2015 at 4:15pm 7/6/2015 at 4:15pm
[Megan Marzec ordering arrest of Pro Israel student Rebecca Sebo Ohio University)credit: Kaitlin Owens video)]

Frank Luntz recently conducted polling of American “opinion elites” attitudes toward Israel.

The results, but not the data, were published in an article by David Horvitz, Editor in Chief of The Times of Israel, Israel losing Democrats, ‘can’t claim bipartisan US support,’ top pollster warns:

Three quarters of highly educated, high income, publicly...

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Poll shows Bush, Walker leading the pack in NH

scott walker jeb bush new hampshire poll suffolk university poll
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Posted by  ▪  Saturday, March 28, 2015 at 10:45am 3/28/2015 at 10:45am
scott walker jeb bush new hampshire poll suffolk university poll

Still ten months away from New Hampshire’s primary, and with only one official candidate, this election season is sure to be a horse race. A poll released by Suffolk University Thursday shows Jeb Bush and Scott Walker taking early leads among likely voters.

Conducted between March 21-24, Jeb Bush is the...

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Gallup: GOP Leads on Top Issues

capitol-building-DC
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Posted by  ▪  Tuesday, October 14, 2014 at 8:30am 10/14/2014 at 8:30am
capitol-building-DC

Any reasonable person keeping up with the news cycle knows that Democratic leadership doesn’t inspire much confidence in the American people. Legislation dies in the Senate at the hands of a petulant majority leader; both the IRS and the DOJ have come under fire for targeting Americans based on political affiliation;...

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Messengers of Dem Doom? Gallup finds more voters want to send anti-Obama message

Obama Statement James Foley
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Posted by  ▪  Monday, October 6, 2014 at 8:37am 10/6/2014 at 8:37am
Obama Statement James Foley

According to a recent Gallup poll, voters will be sending a message to President Obama—and it may not bode well for Democrats.

Out of the just over 1000 registered voters surveyed, 32% of respondents said that their vote in the midterms would serve as a message of opposition to Obama; in contrast,...

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Gallup: 60% don’t trust mass media

media trust by party
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Posted by  ▪  Wednesday, September 17, 2014 at 3:01pm 9/17/2014 at 3:01pm
media trust by party

A new poll by Gallup shows that overall trust in the mass media has bottomed out at its previous all-time low of 40%.

Via Gallup:

Prior to 2004, Americans placed more trust in mass media than they do now, with slim majorities saying they had a “great deal” or “fair amount” of...

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Rasmussen: Only 63% know who controls Congress

capitol-building-DC
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Posted by  ▪  Friday, September 12, 2014 at 10:11am 9/12/2014 at 10:11am
capitol-building-DC

Rasmussen Reports has released new data showing that just 63% of likely U.S. voters know which political party controls the Senate and the House of Representatives.

Twenty percent (20%) mistakenly believe Democrats control the House, while 17% are not sure. Similarly, 18% think the GOP is in charge in the...

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