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	<title>Comments on: What if Israel has no demographic time bomb?</title>
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		<title>By: Daled Amos</title>
		<link>http://legalinsurrection.com/2014/05/what-if-israel-has-no-demographic-time-bomb/comment-page-1/#comment-516493</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Daled Amos]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 May 2014 17:54:31 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[The issue of Middle East demographics was addressed as early as 2002 by Ben Wattenberg in an article in the WSJ entitled &quot;Parents of Arabia&quot; (http://archive.today/osqC3#selection-489.0-561.35)

...Truth is, fertility rates in Arab and Muslim countries have been falling rapidly in recent decades. Indeed, it would be remarkable were they not; it’s been happening everywhere else. Consider North Africa, using data from the United Nations Population Division. Forty years ago, the total fertility rate (number of children per woman) was 7.1. Today it is 3.1 and sinking like a stone. Egypt, the most populous Arab country, has seen its TFR plummet from 7.1 children per woman to just 2.9 today; Tunisia’s is 2.1, below the rate required to keep a population stable over time in a less developed country, and down by a child in just a decade.

Go East. Syrian fertility has fallen from 7.8 to 3.6. Lebanon: 6.4 to 2.2, about replacement level and sinking. From peak year to the present, here are some other numbers: Jordan dropped from eight to 4.3 children per woman; Iraq from 7.2 to 4.8; Saudi Arabia 7.3 to 5.4. The numbers are still high by Western standards, but they’re falling steadily.

Go further East. The incredible story is Iran, a theocratic and despotic Muslim country. At its peak, its TFR was seven children per woman. At a recent U.N. conference, an Iranian demographer delivered a paper which calculated the current TFR at 2.06 and falling. Like Iran, the most populous Muslim countries are not Arab. Nearly all—including Turkey, Bangladesh and Indonesia—have also seen major declines in fertility, only Pakistan remains high.

...The bottom line is that the demographic situation for the Jews of Israel is not nearly as bleak as it is sometimes portrayed. The Jewish Israeli TFR is about 2.7 children per woman. It has come down some but it remains the highest of any modern country, the only one seriously above the replacement rate, and about twice the rate for Jews in the rest of the world.

Wattenberg wrote this 12 years ago.
Eventually, someone is bound to listen, no?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The issue of Middle East demographics was addressed as early as 2002 by Ben Wattenberg in an article in the WSJ entitled &#8220;Parents of Arabia&#8221; (<a href="http://archive.today/osqC3#selection-489.0-561.35" rel="nofollow">http://archive.today/osqC3#selection-489.0-561.35</a>)</p>
<p>&#8230;Truth is, fertility rates in Arab and Muslim countries have been falling rapidly in recent decades. Indeed, it would be remarkable were they not; it’s been happening everywhere else. Consider North Africa, using data from the United Nations Population Division. Forty years ago, the total fertility rate (number of children per woman) was 7.1. Today it is 3.1 and sinking like a stone. Egypt, the most populous Arab country, has seen its TFR plummet from 7.1 children per woman to just 2.9 today; Tunisia’s is 2.1, below the rate required to keep a population stable over time in a less developed country, and down by a child in just a decade.</p>
<p>Go East. Syrian fertility has fallen from 7.8 to 3.6. Lebanon: 6.4 to 2.2, about replacement level and sinking. From peak year to the present, here are some other numbers: Jordan dropped from eight to 4.3 children per woman; Iraq from 7.2 to 4.8; Saudi Arabia 7.3 to 5.4. The numbers are still high by Western standards, but they’re falling steadily.</p>
<p>Go further East. The incredible story is Iran, a theocratic and despotic Muslim country. At its peak, its TFR was seven children per woman. At a recent U.N. conference, an Iranian demographer delivered a paper which calculated the current TFR at 2.06 and falling. Like Iran, the most populous Muslim countries are not Arab. Nearly all—including Turkey, Bangladesh and Indonesia—have also seen major declines in fertility, only Pakistan remains high.</p>
<p>&#8230;The bottom line is that the demographic situation for the Jews of Israel is not nearly as bleak as it is sometimes portrayed. The Jewish Israeli TFR is about 2.7 children per woman. It has come down some but it remains the highest of any modern country, the only one seriously above the replacement rate, and about twice the rate for Jews in the rest of the world.</p>
<p>Wattenberg wrote this 12 years ago.<br />
Eventually, someone is bound to listen, no?</p>
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		<title>By: n.n</title>
		<link>http://legalinsurrection.com/2014/05/what-if-israel-has-no-demographic-time-bomb/comment-page-1/#comment-516359</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[n.n]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 May 2014 01:44:15 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Make life, not abortion/murder.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Make life, not abortion/murder.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: n.n</title>
		<link>http://legalinsurrection.com/2014/05/what-if-israel-has-no-demographic-time-bomb/comment-page-1/#comment-516358</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[n.n]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 May 2014 01:43:22 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[It&#039;s both a principle of evolution (i.e. natural law) and God&#039;s prime directive to man: 

&lt;i&gt;Be fruitful and multiply and fill the earth and subdue it, and rule over the fish of the sea and over the fowl of the sky and over all the beasts that tread upon the earth.&lt;/i&gt;

There is a reason why the Left is pro-choice.  The aristocracy cannot manage the population, and they can ill-afford another American or French revolution.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s both a principle of evolution (i.e. natural law) and God&#8217;s prime directive to man: </p>
<p><i>Be fruitful and multiply and fill the earth and subdue it, and rule over the fish of the sea and over the fowl of the sky and over all the beasts that tread upon the earth.</i></p>
<p>There is a reason why the Left is pro-choice.  The aristocracy cannot manage the population, and they can ill-afford another American or French revolution.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Juba Doobai!</title>
		<link>http://legalinsurrection.com/2014/05/what-if-israel-has-no-demographic-time-bomb/comment-page-1/#comment-516349</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Juba Doobai!]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 May 2014 00:57:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Israel can ensure against the demographic time bomb by banning abortion.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Israel can ensure against the demographic time bomb by banning abortion.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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	<item>
		<title>By: edgeofthesandbox</title>
		<link>http://legalinsurrection.com/2014/05/what-if-israel-has-no-demographic-time-bomb/comment-page-1/#comment-516307</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[edgeofthesandbox]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 May 2014 21:01:42 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[It&#039;s amazing to me how Israel manages to sustain a pro-natal culture.  Quite a few of my girlfriends who came to Israel from the Soviet Union, both Jewish and Slavic, ended up with 3 kids.  Had they stayed, they&#039;d probably had one.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s amazing to me how Israel manages to sustain a pro-natal culture.  Quite a few of my girlfriends who came to Israel from the Soviet Union, both Jewish and Slavic, ended up with 3 kids.  Had they stayed, they&#8217;d probably had one.</p>
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		<title>By: Musson</title>
		<link>http://legalinsurrection.com/2014/05/what-if-israel-has-no-demographic-time-bomb/comment-page-1/#comment-516299</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Musson]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 May 2014 20:31:00 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Arab and Iranian birthrates are tumbling.  Tehran recently saw the biggest drop in birthrates ever measured.  And in the industrialized world only Observant Jews and Evangelical Christians have a positive birthrate.

In 40 years - Israel will have more military aged men than Germany.  (WOW) And, most of them will be Observant Jews.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Arab and Iranian birthrates are tumbling.  Tehran recently saw the biggest drop in birthrates ever measured.  And in the industrialized world only Observant Jews and Evangelical Christians have a positive birthrate.</p>
<p>In 40 years &#8211; Israel will have more military aged men than Germany.  (WOW) And, most of them will be Observant Jews.</p>
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